Severe Thunderstorm Warning 41, NWS Baltimore/Washington

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
400 PM EDT SAT MAY 31 2003

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM...

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON.
AIRMASS RATHER MOIST AND UNSTABLE..WATCH AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
MOST OF THE DYNAMICS SHOULD MOVE EAST OF THE AREA AROUND SUNSET.
WILL CARRY LIKELY POPS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON AND DROP
TO CHANCE AT 00Z. WITH THE WRAP AROUND MOISTURE WILL CARRY LOW POPS
AT LEAST UNTIL MIDNIGHT.

RATHER TIGHT GRADIENT TO SET UP ACROSS THE AREA. WINDS WILL REACH
ADVISORY CRITERIA LATE TONIGHT/EARLY SUNDAY AND WILL PERSIST THROUGH
MUCH OF THE DAY.  WILL ISSUE WIND ADVISORY FOR ALL OF THE CWA
SHORTLY.

LITTLE CHANGE TO THE REST OF THE EXTENDED. DRY FOR THE FIRST HALF OF
THE WEEK. THEN SW FLOW ALOFT DEVELOPS OVER THE AREA AS A BROAD
TROUGH DEVELOPS OVER THE NATIONS MID SECTION. WILL CARRY CHANCE
POPS FOR WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

.LWX...
DC...NONE.
MD...NONE.
VA...NONE.
WV...NONE.

DCZ001-MDZ002>007-009>011-013-014-016>018-VAZ021-025>031-036>042-
050>057-WVZ048>055-010800-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
1230 AM EDT SAT MAY 31 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MARYLAND WEST OF THE CHESAPEAKE
BAY AND EAST OF GARRETT COUNTY...THE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA...NORTHERN
VIRGINIA...THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL SHENANDOAH VALLEY...AND THE
EASTERN PANHANDLE OF WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON...
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL...AND ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE
POSSIBLE FROM THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THIS EVENING. THE GREATEST CHANCE
FOR SEVERE WEATHER IS FROM METRO WASHINGTON SOUTH AND EAST.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...
IT WILL BE VERY WINDY LATE TONIGHT AND SUNDAY AS A STRONG AREA OF
LOW PRESSURE OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST DEPARTS THE REGION. PRESENT
INDICATIONS ARE THAT SUSTAINED WINDS WILL BE IN THE 25 TO 35 MPH
RANGE WITH HIGHER GUSTS. A WIND ADVISORY OR HIGH WIND WARNING MAY BE
REQUIRED LATE TONIGHT AND SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SKYWARN WILL LIKELY BE ACTIVATED THIS AFTERNOON.

CPW

WVZ050-311915-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
211 PM EDT SAT MAY 31 2003

AT 211 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 9 MILES
EAST OF LEVELS...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AND
VERY HEAVY RAINFALL IN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME. RADAR ESTIMATED
ALMOST 2 INCHES OF RAIN IN THE WESTERN PART OF HAMPSHIRE COUNTY.
RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE WARNINGS ARE
ISSUED.