Alert archive / Virginia / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2003

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 255, NWS Baltimore/Washington

September 2, 2003Stafford County, Virginia

NWS Baltimore/Washington issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Sep 2, 2003, 3:14 PM EDT for Stafford County, Virginia. It was in force for 61 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Sep 2, 2003, 3:14 PM EDT (19:14 UTC)
Expired
Sep 2, 2003, 4:15 PM EDT
In force
61 min
Issued by
NWS Baltimore/Washington
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Stafford County, VA

The radar

The Sterling radar (KLWX), 62 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:15 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Washington/Dulle, VA (KIAD), launched 12:00Z, 7.2 hours before the alert went out and 59 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Washington/Dulle, VA at 12:00Z on 2003-09-02Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 222 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Washington/Dulle, VA at 12:00Z on 2003-09-02The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 31 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
222 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-66 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
987 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
32 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
31 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
62 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Baltimore/Washington wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Sep 2, 10:30 AM EDT, 4 hours 44 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 2, 10:30 AM EDT, 4 hours 44 minutes before
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Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 2, 11:29 AM EDT, 3 hours 45 minutes before
DCZ001-MDZ002>007-009>011-013-014-016>018-VAZ021-025>031-036>042-
050>057-WVZ048>055-030800-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
1129 AM EDT TUE SEP 2 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MARYLAND WEST OF THE CHESAPEAKE
BAY AND EAST OF GARRETT COUNTY...THE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA...NORTHERN
VIRGINIA...THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL SHENANDOAH VALLEY...AND THE
EASTERN PANHANDLE OF WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

PERIODIC HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY
FRIDAY. THIS MAY CAUSE RAPID RISES OF SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS
THROUGHOUT THE AREA. A FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK HAS BEEN ISSUED WITH
FURTHER DETAILS.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Baltimore/Washington issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 1, 9:19 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningLWX26 min
Sep 2, 3:32 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningLWX88 min
Sep 2, 3:36 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningLWX39 min
Sep 2, 3:38 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningLWX37 min
Sep 2, 3:40 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXMadison50 min
Sep 2, 3:44 PM EDTTornado WarningLWXStafford46 min
Sep 2, 4:14 PM EDTTornado WarningLWXKing George46 min
Sep 2, 5:52 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningLWX83 min
Sep 2, 7:26 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningLWX94 min
Sep 2, 4:07 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXCharles53 min
Sep 2, 4:53 PM EDTTornado WarningLWXCharles37 min
Sep 2, 5:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXSaint Mary's60 min
Sep 2, 5:47 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXCalvert28 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Virginia, 2003Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.