Severe Thunderstorm Warning 162, NWS Louisville, KY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
900 PM EDT SAT MAY 10 2003

UPDATED ZONES TO REFLECT RELATIVE LATE EXPECTED ARRIVAL OF
STRONG/SEVERE LINE OF STORMS.

MUCH OF OUR FORECAST AREA (FA) SC INDIANA, NC KY AND EC KY REMAINS
IN A HIGH RISK OF SEVERE. SC AND SE SECTIONS IN A MODERATE RISK.

STRONG STORMS HAVE MOVED EAST OF CWA EARLIER THIS EVENING. LATEST
SPC MESOANALYSIS HAS CONSIDERABLE CONVECTIVE INHIBITION OVER CENTRAL
KENTUCKY IN THE WAKE OF THE STORM COMPLEX THAT MOVED OVER EXTREME
NORTHERN KENTUCKY EARLIER THIS AFTERNOON. ATTM INDIVIDUAL
SUPERCELLS/ BOW SEGMENTS HAVE MOVED INTO EXTREME SOUTHEAST MISSOURI
AND SOUTHERN ILLINOIS. AS LOW LEVEL WINDS INCREASE AND VEER
OVERNIGHT...BELIEVE INDIVIDUAL CELLS WILL FORM BROKEN LINES. MAIN
THREAT WILL REMAIN STRAIGHT LINE DAMAGING WINDS...HOWEVER BRIEF
TORNADOS POSSIBLE AT NORTHERN EDGE OF INDIVIDUAL BOW SEGMENTS.

LINES OF STORMS OR SQUALL LINE EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO SOUTHWEST
INDIANA AROUND MIDNIGHT AND RAPIDLY MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS CWA BY
MORNING HOURS. WITH STRONG COLD AIR ADVECTION BEHIND FRONT...EXPECT
BREEZY WEST WINDS SUNDAY.

.LMK...NONE.
DENMAN

INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ023>043-045>049-053>057-061>067-
070>078-081-082-111100-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
1030 PM EDT SAT MAY 10 2003

...SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER EPISODE FORECAST TONIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL KENTUCKY AND SOUTH
CENTRAL INDIANA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

A SIGNIFICANT RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER IS FORECAST FOR OVERNIGHT. THE
STORM PREDICTION CENTER SAYS THERE IS A MODERATE RISK FOR SEVERE
STORMS ALONG AND NORTH OF A BOWLING GREEN TO LEXINGTON LINE, WITH A
SLIGHT RISK SOUTH OF THAT LINE. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH
THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. THUNDERSTORMS
WILL ORGANIZE INTO A SQUALL LINE AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT.

THE SQUALL LINE SHOULD REACH THE INTERSTATE 65 CORRIDOR BY 3 AM EDT,
AND CROSS THE BLUEGRASS REGION AFTER 3 AM EDT. DAMAGING WIND GUSTS
AS HIGH AS 80 TO 90 MPH IN BOW ECHOES AND LARGE HAIL TO THE SIZE OF
GOLFBALLS ARE THE PRIMARY THREATS. WIDESPREAD STRAIGHT-LINE WIND
DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE WITH THIS LINE OF STORMS. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE
ALSO POSSIBLE WITHIN THIS LINE. THERE IS ALSO A GOOD POTENTIAL FOR
FLOODING WITH THIS LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS. THE STORMS WILL BE HEAVY
RAIN PRODUCERS AND SOILS REMAIN NEARLY SATURATED OVER MANY LOCATIONS
FROM PRIOR RAINFALL.

SINCE THIS LOOKS TO BE A LATE NIGHT EVENT, YOU SHOULD ENSURE THAT
YOUR NOAA WEATHER RADIO IS TURNED ON, OR LEFT IN ALERT MODE, SO THAT
YOU CAN BE AWAKENED SHOULD SEVERE WEATHER APPROACH YOUR AREA. STAY
TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND LOCAL MEDIA, OR VISIT WEATHER.GOV ON
THE INTERNET, FOR FURTHER UPDATES AND ADDITIONAL DETAILS ON THIS
POTENTIAL SEVERE WEATHER SITUATION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS AND AMATEUR RADIO NETWORKS SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR
ACTIVATION, PARTICULARLY TONIGHT. SPOTTERS AND LAW ENFORCEMENT
OFFICIALS, ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER OR FLOODING TO
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LOUISVILLE.

SCHOLZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE, KY
251 AM EDT SUN MAY 11 2003

TIME(EDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0235 AM    CENTERTOWN                KY   WIND DAMAGE
05/11/03   OHIO                           TREES DOWN. REPORTED BY
                                          LAW ENFORCEMENT.

MRC