Flash Flood Warning 73, NWS Jackson, KY

000 
WGUS73 KJKL 171723
FFSJKL
KYC195-171915-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
118 PM EDT TUE JUN 17 2003

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR

  PIKE COUNTY

* UNTIL 315 PM EDT

* AT 115 PM EDT...STORMS WHICH PRODUCED THE HEAVY RAIN OVER THE 
REGION THIS MORNING WERE MOVING OUT OF EASTERN PIKE COUNTY.

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM THESE STORMS WILL HOWEVER CONTINUE TO CAUSE 
FLASH FLOODING OF CREEKS AND STREAMS...ROADS AND ROADSIDE CULVERTS. 
THE HEAVY RAIN COULD ALSO TRIGGER ROCK AND MUDSLIDES.

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
FLOWING WATERS BY FOOT OR BY AUTOMOBILE. IF YOUR VEHICLE STALLS...
ABANDON IT IMMEDIATELY AND SEEK HIGHER GROUND.

REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY.
 
LAT...LON 3753 8197 3726 8235 3720 8256 3725 8263
          3724 8269 3728 8272 3741 8260 3768 8261
          3769 8250 3768 8240 3774 8233 3768 8231
          3763 8218 3757 8215

$$
MCLANE

000 
WGUS73 KJKL 171917
FFSJKL
KYC195-171930-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
315 PM EDT TUE JUN 17 2003

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING EXPIRED AT 315 PM FOR PIKE COUNTY...

AT 3 PM NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT THE 
HEAVY PRECIPITATION HAD ENDED ACROSS PIKE COUNTY. EXCESSIVE RUNOFF 
HOWEVER WILL CONTINUE TO CAUSE FLOODING OF SOME CREEKS... 
STREAMS...AND ROADSIDE CULVERTS.

FLASH FLOODING IS NO LONGER A THREAT...THOUGH WIDE SPREAD AREAL 
FLOODING WILL CONTINUE THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON. THE FLASH FLOOD 
WARNING WILL REPLACED WITH A FLOOD WARNING.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE 
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS 
SAFELY. VEHICLES CAUGHT IN RISING WATER SHOULD BE ABANDONED QUICKLY. 
IF YOUR VEHICLE STALLS...ABANDON IT AND SEEK HIGHER GROUND 
IMMEDIATELY. RAPIDLY RISING WATER MAY ENGULF YOUR VEHICLE AND ITS 
OCCUPANTS AND SWEEP THEM AWAY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL TELEVISION AND RADIO
STATIONS...AND THE INTERNET FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

FOR ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION...CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/JKL

$$
GEOGERIAN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED TO INCLUDE FLOOD WATCH INFO
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
719 AM EDT TUE JUN 17 2003

FORECAST DISCUSSION IS DELAYED THIS MORNING DUE TO THE MORE URGENT
MATTER OF FLASH FLOODING. 3 WARNINGS OUT AND 2 VERIFIED.

SAME OLD SCENARIO TO START THE DAY TODAY...WITH MOISTURE ALL THE WAY
TO THE STRATOSPHERE...AND A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY IN THE AREA. THE
FLOODING RAINS IN THE NORTH WERE CAUSED BY RELATIVELY LOW TOPPED
CONVECTION SET OFF AT THE TAIL OF A SHORT WAVE EVIDENCED ON WATER
VAPOR IMAGERY.

ANOTHER LARGER WAVE IS ROTATING THROUGH THE MIDWEST IN THE NORTHERN
STREAM. IT WILL BRING DRIER AIR IN AT THE MID AND UPPER
LEVELS...WHICH WILL START TO LOWER OUR PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES
FROM NORTH TO SOUTH TODAY. THIS WILL BE THE BEGINNING OF THE END FOR
THE HEAVY RAIN THREAT. HOWEVER...LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL
REMAIN...AND MORE SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE A GOOD BET. WITH FFG VALUES
RUNNING GENERALLY A HALF INCH TO AN INCH IN AN HOUR AND FLOODING
ONGOING...HAVE EXTENDED THE FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THE DAY. WILL LET
DAY SHIFT EVALUATE THE THREAT FOR TONIGHT.

TONIGHT THE SHORTWAVE SLIPS TO OUR EAST AND WE SHOULD SEE LESS IN
THE WAY OF CONVECTION DURING THE NIGHT. HOWEVER...WITH LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE LINGERING...SO WILL INSTABILITY...AND WILL CARRY A CHANCE
OF SHOWERS AND STORMS UNTIL A SIGNIFICANT COLD FRONT PASSES LATE
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. AFTER THIS...A BREATHER AS HIGH
PRESSURE WITH MUCH DRIER AIR SHOULD BUILD IN FROM THE NORTH.

.JKL...FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 6 PM TODAY FOR ENTIRE AREA.

HAL

---------------------------------------------------------------------
PREVIOUS DISCUSSIONS FOLLOW
---------------------------------------------------------------------

1008 PM EDT MON JUN 16 2003

IT APPEARS SOUTHEAST KENTUCKY IS UNDER THE GUN FOR ANOTHER ROUND OF
HEAVY RAINS/FLOODING OVERNIGHT. LATEST WATER VAPOR SAT PIX INDICATE
A HEALTHY SHORTWAVE RIDING NORTHEAST THROUGH SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE
PLUME INTO SOUTHERN KENTUCKY. 18Z MESOETA GENERATES LIFT ACROSS THE
REGION AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE...SO NEEDLESS TO SAY WE WILL CONTINUE
WITH THE FLOOD WATCH FOR FLASH FLOODING TONIGHT. OTHERWISE...ONLY
CHANGES MADE TO THE ZONES WILL BE TO ADD MENTION OF FOG AS MOIST
GROUND/LIGHT WINDS WILL ALLOW FOG TO QUICKLY FROM DURING BREAKS FROM
PCPN. ALSO...CONVECTION OVERNIGHT MAY BE STRONGER THAN IN PREVIOUS
NIGHT/S AS LAPS DATA INDICATES ELEVATED LI/S HAVE BEEN FALLING WITH
TIME...WITH 850MB LI/S NOW BELOW ZERO FOR MUCH OF THE AREA.

HYSELL

---------------------------------------------------------------------

230  PM EDT MON JUN 16 2003

WATER VAPOR REVEALS AN AREA OF SEVERAL SMALL PERTURBATIONS OF WEAK
POSITIVE VORTICITY STREAMING FROM THE LOWER MS VALLEY ALL THE WAY UP
TO OUR REGION. DEEP MOISTURE AND A WEEK SURFACE BOUNDARY IN THE AREA
WILL CONTINUE TO PROVE PROBLEMATIC...WILL EXTEND FLOOD WATCH THROUGH
6 AM THIS MORNING BECAUSE OF THIS.   EXPECTING MUCH OF THE SAME ON
TUESDAY AS A WELL DEFINED SHORTWAVE CURRENTLY NEAR THE WI/IL BORDER
WILL DROP DOWN AND INTO THE OHIO VALLEY.  WE SHOULD BE ON THE
SOUTHERN EDGE OF THIS ENERGY TO PROVIDE ANOTHER GOOD CHANCE FOR
PRECIP...BUT NOT SURE IF PRECIP WILL BE AS HEAVY AS TODAY.  MOS POPS
AND TEMPS LOOK FAIRLY CLOSE TO REASONABLE.  KEPT SUNDAY IN SLIGHT
POP AND INTRODUCED CHANCE POPS FOR MONDAY MOISTURE STARTS TO STREAM
IN FROM THE SOUTH ONCE AGAIN.

HEINLEIN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, KY
651 AM EDT TUE JUN 17 2003

TIME(EDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0615 AM    5  SW SANDY HOOK          KY   FLASH FLOODS
06/17/03   ELLIOTT                        DISPATCH REPORTED RUNNING
                                          WATER ACROSS KENTUCKY
                                          HIGHWAY 7 NEAR SANDY HOOK.
                                          DISPATCH ALSO REPORTED THAT
                                          HIGHWAY 7 WAS BEING CLOSED.

RAY