Flash Flood Warning 69, NWS Jackson, KY

000 
WGUS73 KJKL 171510
FFSJKL
KYC071-119-195-171600-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
1105 AM EDT TUE JUN 17 2003

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR...

  FLOYD COUNTY UNTIL 1230 PM
  PIKE COUNTY UNTIL 1215 PM
  KNOTT COUNTY UNTIL NOON

* AT 1105 AM EDT...EMERGENCY RESPONSE OFFICIALS REPORT NUMEROUS 
ROADS IMPASSABLE AND CLOSED DUE TO FLOWING WATER. OFFICIALS REPORT 
OVER TWO FEET OF WATER IN THE GREASY CREEK FIRE DEPARTMENT FACILITY 
IN PIKE COUNTY. HEAVY RAIN PRODUCING STORMS WILL CONTINUE MOVING 
OVER THE SAME AREA AND WILL AGGRAVATE THE CURRENT FLOOD 
PROBLEM.

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING OF CREEKS AND 
STREAMS...ROADS AND ROADSIDE CULVERTS. THE HEAVY RAIN COULD ALSO 
TRIGGER ROCK AND MUDSLIDES.

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
FLOWING WATERS BY FOOT OR BY AUTOMOBILE. IF YOUR VEHICLE STALLS...
ABANDON IT IMMEDIATELY AND SEEK HIGHER GROUND.

REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY.

LAT...LON 3720 8254 3719 8298 3725 8310 3740 8311
          3745 8313 3748 8310

$$
MCLANE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED TO INCLUDE FLOOD WATCH INFO
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
719 AM EDT TUE JUN 17 2003

FORECAST DISCUSSION IS DELAYED THIS MORNING DUE TO THE MORE URGENT
MATTER OF FLASH FLOODING. 3 WARNINGS OUT AND 2 VERIFIED.

SAME OLD SCENARIO TO START THE DAY TODAY...WITH MOISTURE ALL THE WAY
TO THE STRATOSPHERE...AND A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY IN THE AREA. THE
FLOODING RAINS IN THE NORTH WERE CAUSED BY RELATIVELY LOW TOPPED
CONVECTION SET OFF AT THE TAIL OF A SHORT WAVE EVIDENCED ON WATER
VAPOR IMAGERY.

ANOTHER LARGER WAVE IS ROTATING THROUGH THE MIDWEST IN THE NORTHERN
STREAM. IT WILL BRING DRIER AIR IN AT THE MID AND UPPER
LEVELS...WHICH WILL START TO LOWER OUR PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES
FROM NORTH TO SOUTH TODAY. THIS WILL BE THE BEGINNING OF THE END FOR
THE HEAVY RAIN THREAT. HOWEVER...LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL
REMAIN...AND MORE SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE A GOOD BET. WITH FFG VALUES
RUNNING GENERALLY A HALF INCH TO AN INCH IN AN HOUR AND FLOODING
ONGOING...HAVE EXTENDED THE FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THE DAY. WILL LET
DAY SHIFT EVALUATE THE THREAT FOR TONIGHT.

TONIGHT THE SHORTWAVE SLIPS TO OUR EAST AND WE SHOULD SEE LESS IN
THE WAY OF CONVECTION DURING THE NIGHT. HOWEVER...WITH LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE LINGERING...SO WILL INSTABILITY...AND WILL CARRY A CHANCE
OF SHOWERS AND STORMS UNTIL A SIGNIFICANT COLD FRONT PASSES LATE
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. AFTER THIS...A BREATHER AS HIGH
PRESSURE WITH MUCH DRIER AIR SHOULD BUILD IN FROM THE NORTH.

.JKL...FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 6 PM TODAY FOR ENTIRE AREA.

HAL

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PREVIOUS DISCUSSIONS FOLLOW
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1008 PM EDT MON JUN 16 2003

IT APPEARS SOUTHEAST KENTUCKY IS UNDER THE GUN FOR ANOTHER ROUND OF
HEAVY RAINS/FLOODING OVERNIGHT. LATEST WATER VAPOR SAT PIX INDICATE
A HEALTHY SHORTWAVE RIDING NORTHEAST THROUGH SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE
PLUME INTO SOUTHERN KENTUCKY. 18Z MESOETA GENERATES LIFT ACROSS THE
REGION AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE...SO NEEDLESS TO SAY WE WILL CONTINUE
WITH THE FLOOD WATCH FOR FLASH FLOODING TONIGHT. OTHERWISE...ONLY
CHANGES MADE TO THE ZONES WILL BE TO ADD MENTION OF FOG AS MOIST
GROUND/LIGHT WINDS WILL ALLOW FOG TO QUICKLY FROM DURING BREAKS FROM
PCPN. ALSO...CONVECTION OVERNIGHT MAY BE STRONGER THAN IN PREVIOUS
NIGHT/S AS LAPS DATA INDICATES ELEVATED LI/S HAVE BEEN FALLING WITH
TIME...WITH 850MB LI/S NOW BELOW ZERO FOR MUCH OF THE AREA.

HYSELL

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230  PM EDT MON JUN 16 2003

WATER VAPOR REVEALS AN AREA OF SEVERAL SMALL PERTURBATIONS OF WEAK
POSITIVE VORTICITY STREAMING FROM THE LOWER MS VALLEY ALL THE WAY UP
TO OUR REGION. DEEP MOISTURE AND A WEEK SURFACE BOUNDARY IN THE AREA
WILL CONTINUE TO PROVE PROBLEMATIC...WILL EXTEND FLOOD WATCH THROUGH
6 AM THIS MORNING BECAUSE OF THIS.   EXPECTING MUCH OF THE SAME ON
TUESDAY AS A WELL DEFINED SHORTWAVE CURRENTLY NEAR THE WI/IL BORDER
WILL DROP DOWN AND INTO THE OHIO VALLEY.  WE SHOULD BE ON THE
SOUTHERN EDGE OF THIS ENERGY TO PROVIDE ANOTHER GOOD CHANCE FOR
PRECIP...BUT NOT SURE IF PRECIP WILL BE AS HEAVY AS TODAY.  MOS POPS
AND TEMPS LOOK FAIRLY CLOSE TO REASONABLE.  KEPT SUNDAY IN SLIGHT
POP AND INTRODUCED CHANCE POPS FOR MONDAY MOISTURE STARTS TO STREAM
IN FROM THE SOUTH ONCE AGAIN.

HEINLEIN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, KY
612 AM EDT TUE JUN 17 2003

TIME(EDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0550 AM    WRIGLEY                   KY   FLASH FLOODS
06/17/03   MORGAN                         DISPATCH REPORTED ONE FOOT
                                          RUNNING WATER ACROSS KY HWY
                                          7 AND HWY 711. DEBRIS
                                          FLOWING ACROSS ROAD.

0605 AM    WRIGLEY                   KY   FLASH FLOODS
06/17/03   MORGAN                         DISPATCH REPORTED TREES
                                          BEING WASHED OUT AND TAKING
                                          DOWN POWER LINES.

RAY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, KY
651 AM EDT TUE JUN 17 2003

TIME(EDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0615 AM    5  SW SANDY HOOK          KY   FLASH FLOODS
06/17/03   ELLIOTT                        DISPATCH REPORTED RUNNING
                                          WATER ACROSS KENTUCKY
                                          HIGHWAY 7 NEAR SANDY HOOK.
                                          DISPATCH ALSO REPORTED THAT
                                          HIGHWAY 7 WAS BEING CLOSED.

RAY