Alert archive / Georgia / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2003

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 132, NWS Jacksonville, FL

May 18, 2003Brantley County, Georgia

NWS Jacksonville, FL issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 18, 2003, 6:45 PM EDT for Brantley County, Georgia. It was in force for 60 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
May 18, 2003, 6:45 PM EDT (22:45 UTC)
Expired
May 18, 2003, 7:45 PM EDT
In force
60 min
Issued by
NWS Jacksonville, FL
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Brantley County, GA

The radar

The Jacksonville radar (KJAX), 84 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:48 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
May 18, 1:40 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC6 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Jacksonville, FL (KJAX), launched 12:00Z, 10.8 hours before the alert went out and 82 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Jacksonville, FL at 12:00Z on 2003-05-18Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2020 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Jacksonville, FL at 12:00Z on 2003-05-18The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -20 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2020 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-34 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
763 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
15 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-20 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
54 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jacksonville, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 18, 3:00 PM EDT, 3 hours 45 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 18, 3:00 PM EDT, 3 hours 45 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
300 PM EDT SUN MAY 18 2003

PUBLIC...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IN EFFECT FOR WHOLE CWA UNTIL
8 PM. AS UPPER LOW DROPS SOUTH TO THE GULF...IMPRESSIVE UPPER
DIVERGENT PATTERN COUPLED WITH IMPRESSIVE INSTABILITY PARAMETERS
TO RESULT IN A GOOD CHANCE OF STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS THIS EVENING.
MAIN CONCERN WILL BE PULSE TYPE SEVERE. GOOD AREA OF CONVERGENCE
BETWEEN HIGHWAY 301 AND I-75 WHERE MOST STORMS ARE FIRING UP.
HIGHEST POPS WILL BE ACROSS THIS AREA (50 TO 60 PCT) THIS EVE.
A FEW STORMS MAY LINGER OVERNITE ACROSS INLAND GA. MONDAY...SIMILAR
PATTERN AS TODAY WITH UPPER LOW ENTERING GULF AND STRONG UPPER
DIVERGENT PATTERN AND GOOD LOW LEVEL MOISTURE FROM THE SOUTHEAST.
HIGHEST POPS INLAND (60 PCT) AND SLIGHTLY LOWER TOWARDS THE COAST.
TUESDAY...HAVE LEANED TOWARDS ETA MODEL WHICH KEEPS WEDGE JUST NORTH
OF THE AREA...BUT MOIST SE FLOW RESULTING IN A CHC POPS MOST AREAS.
WEDNESDAY...COLD APPROACHES FROM THE NW RESULTING IN A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS LATE WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

EXTENDED...AS AN UPPER TROUGH DIGS SOUTHEAST FROM THE GREAT LAKES TO
THE GULF OF MEXICO...FRONTAL BOUNDARY SAGS SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE CWA
THURSDAY AND STALLS OVER NORTH FLORIDA FRIDAY. MRF DEVELOPS WAVE
ALONG FRONT WHICH MAY ENHANCE PRECIP. NOT SURE TO BUY INTO THAT THIS
EARLY...HOWEVER WITH FRONTAL SYSTEM IN THE AREA...WILL GO WITH A
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BOTH THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. AS AN
UPPER LOW CLOSES OFF IN THE EASTERN U.S. DURING THE WEEKEND THE COLD
FRONT PUSHES THROUGH WITH DRIER AIR MOVING IN. HAVE GONE WITH LOW
POPS FOR SATURDAY AND A 10 PERCENT POP (SILENT) FOR SUNDAY.

MARINE...NO HEADLINES.

FIRE WX...NO CONCERNS.

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

AMG 68 86 66 80 / 60 60 20 50
SSI 71 82 71 79 / 40 50 20 30
JAX 70 86 70 80 / 40 50 20 50
SGJ 72 84 73 80 / 30 40 20 40
GNV 69 90 68 85 / 30 50 30 50
OCF 69 92 68 87 / 30 40 20 50

.JAX...
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.

PP/JH
Hazardous weather outlook, May 18, 1:49 PM EDT, 4 hours 56 minutes before
FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-190000-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
149 PM EDT SUN MAY 18 2003

UPDATED TO INCLUDE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 413

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST
GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM...

...RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AT THE BEACHES ABOVE NORMAL...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 413 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM THIS
EVENING. THIS WATCH INCLUDES ALL COUNTIES IN NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND
SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

AN UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM COMBINED WITH THE SEA BREEZE BOUNDARY AND A
COLD FRONT JUST TO THE NORTH WILL RESULT IN SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS ALL OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. THE BEST CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE FROM NEAR THE
HIGHWAY 301 CORRIDOR WEST TO THE I-75 CORRIDOR. STORMS MAY BECOME
SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING THE MAIN CONCERNS.

THE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AT THE BEACHES WILL BE ABOVE NORMAL.
PLEASE REFER TO THE SURF ZONE FORECAST.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TOMORROW THROUGH SATURDAY...
A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE REGION THURSDAY AND FRIDAY
INCREASING THE CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS BOTH THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED NEXT WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS REQUESTED AT THIS TIME.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
JACKSONVILLE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAX.

PP/HESS

In the hours before

Special weather statement, May 18, 6:03 PM EDT, 42 minutes before
FLZ021-182230-

SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
603 PM EDT SUN MAY 18 2003

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT NORTHEAST SUWANNEE COUNTY
THROUGH 630 PM...

AT 603 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS NEAR HOUSTON...OR ABOUT 5 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF SUWANNEE SPRINGS...MOVING SLOWLY EAST AROUND 5 MPH.
THIS CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO AFFECT AREAS ALONG
INTERSTATE 10 IN EASTERN SUWANNEE COUNTY THROUGH 630 PM EDT. HAIL UP
TO ONE HALF INCH IN DIAMETER...EXCESSIVE CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING
AND GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE
MINOR DAMAGE.

BROYLES
Local storm report, May 18, 6:14 PM EDT, 31 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE, FL
614 PM EDT SUN MAY 18 2003

TIME(EDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0520 PM    JASPER                    FL   WIND DAMAGE
05/18/03   HAMILTON                       LARGE TREES DOWN AND
                                          POWERLINES DOWN NEAR
                                          HIGHWAY 41 AND 129.
                                          REPORTED BY 911.

0530 PM    TAYLOR                    FL   WIND DAMAGE
05/18/03   BAKER                          LARGE TREES DOWN REPORTED
                                          BY 911

0345 PM    BAXLEY                    GA   WIND DAMAGE
05/18/03   APPLING                        TREES AND POWERLINES DOWN
                                          NEAR CHURCH REPORTED BY 911

PP
Special weather statement, May 18, 6:14 PM EDT, 31 minutes before
GAZ152-182300-

SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
614 PM EDT SUN MAY 18 2003

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT THE FOLLOWING PIERCE COUNTY
THROUGH 700 PM...

AT 614 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM CENTERED 4 MILES SOUTH OF HOBOKEN...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH. THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL ALSO AFFECT AREAS
AROUND HOBOKEN...HICKOX...NAHUNTA...RAYBON...HORTENSE...ATKINSON AND
WAYNESVILLE THROUGH 700 PM EDT. HAIL UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN
DIAMETER...EXCESSIVE CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS OF 45
TO 55 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR DAMAGE.

TRABERT
Special weather statement, May 18, 6:30 PM EDT, 15 minutes before
FLZ024-182315-

SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
630 PM EDT SUN MAY 18 2003

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT WESTERN NASSAU COUNTY THROUGH
715 PM...

AT 623 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ABOUT 9 MILES WEST OF CALLAHAN...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 5 MPH. THIS CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL
ALSO AFFECT AREAS AROUND HILLIARD AND BOULOUGNE THROUGH 715 PM EDT.
HAIL UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN DIAMETER...EXCESSIVE CLOUD-TO-GROUND
LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH
POSSIBLE MINOR DAMAGE. TAKE SHELTER IF LIGHTNING IS IN YOUR AREA.

BROYLES
Local storm report, May 18, 6:32 PM EDT, 13 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE, FL
632 PM EDT SUN MAY 18 2003

TIME(EDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0520 PM    JASPER                    FL   WIND DAMAGE
05/18/03   HAMILTON                       LARGE TREES DOWN AND
                                          POWERLINES DOWN NEAR
                                          HIGHWAY 41 AND 129.
                                          REPORTED BY 911.

0530 PM    TAYLOR                    FL   WIND DAMAGE
05/18/03   BAKER                          LARGE TREES DOWN REPORTED
                                          BY 911

0345 PM    BAXLEY                    GA   WIND DAMAGE
05/18/03   APPLING                        TREES AND POWERLINES DOWN
                                          NEAR CHURCH REPORTED BY 911

0500 PM    10 N LAKE CITY            FL   WIND DAMAGE
05/18/03   COLUMBIA                       NUMEROUS TREES DOWN ALONG
                                          HIGHWAY 441 REPORTED BY 911

0600 PM    FOLKSTON                  GA   WIND DAMAGE
05/18/03   CHARLTON                       NUMEROUS LARGE TREE LIMBS
                                          DOWN REPORTED BY 911

PP
Special weather statement, May 18, 6:39 PM EDT, 6 minutes before
GAZ152-182345-

SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
639 PM EDT SUN MAY 18 2003

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT BRANTLEY COUNTY THROUGH 745 PM...

AT 639 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED 3 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
HICKOX...OR ABOUT 7 MILES SOUTHWEST OF NAHUNTA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT
10 MPH. THIS CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO AFFECT AREAS
AROUND HICKOX...NAHUNTA...RAYBON...HORTENSE AND ATKINSON THROUGH 745
PM EDT. HAIL UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN DIAMETER...EXCESSIVE
CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH CAN BE
EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR DAMAGE.

BROYLES

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jacksonville, FL issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 18, 2:44 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJAXMarion31 min
May 18, 3:34 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJAXMarion, Putnam41 min
May 18, 3:43 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJAXAlachua47 min
May 18, 3:53 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJAXHamilton37 min
May 18, 4:20 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJAXMarion, Putnam40 min
May 18, 4:31 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJAXHamilton59 min
May 18, 4:34 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJAXColumbia56 min
May 18, 4:55 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJAXBaker, Union50 min
May 18, 4:58 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJAXSuwannee62 min
May 18, 7:04 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningJAX56 min
May 18, 7:15 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJAXGilchrist45 min
May 18, 2:56 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJAXWare34 min
May 18, 3:20 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJAXAppling, Bacon, Pierce40 min
May 18, 3:30 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJAXWayne30 min
May 18, 4:26 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJAXPierce, Wayne34 min
May 18, 4:50 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJAXCharlton, Ware40 min
May 18, 4:55 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJAXJeff Davis35 min
May 18, 5:35 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJAXCharlton, Ware55 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Georgia, 2003Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.