Severe Thunderstorm Warning 588, NWS Jackson, MS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1110 AM CDT TUE JUL 22 2003

MADE SOME MINOR CHANGES TO GFE GRAPHICS AND ZONES FOR TODAY...MAINLY
FOR CLOUD COVER/TEMPS. STILL EXPECT ANOTHER ROUND OF STRONG STORMS
TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON OVER THE ARKLAMISS REGION AND SPREAD
SOUTHEAST DURING EVENING AS SURFACE FRONT ACROSS NW MS SINKS SOUTH.
WILL CONTINUE SEVERE WORDING IN THE ZONES DUE TO MORNING RAOBS WHICH
ARE LOADED WITH 6.8C 7-5H LAPSE RATES...5000J/KG CAPES...-12 LIFTED
INDEXES AND AN APPROACHING 50KT MID LEVEL SPEED MAX FROM THE OZARKS
PROGGED BY ETA TO REACH DELTA BETWEEN 21-03Z.

NOTE: THE KDGX RADAR REMAINS OUT OF SERVICE WITH PARTS EXPECTED
TO ARRIVE LATE AFTERNOON.

JAN TB 089/071 087/067 091 07563
    TBBBB 069/092 071/092 072/092 072/093 073 2------2222
MEI TB 088/072 087/066 091 07564
    TBBBB 068/091 070/091 072/092 072/093 073 2------2222=

AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
MS...NONE.

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>066-072>074-
231055-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
147 PM CDT TUE JUL 22 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

...THUNDERSTORMS...
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS
EVENING AND TONIGHT ACROSS PORTIONS OF EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN
ARKANSAS...NORTHEASTERN LOUISIANA...CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN
MISSISSIPPI THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT. WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AND
PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN CAN BE EXPECTED. SOME OF THE STORMS WILL
BECOME SEVERE...PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH...NICKEL SIZED
HAIL. IN ADDITION...THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR ISOLATED
TORNADOS.

A STRONG COLD FRONT IS MOVING THROUGH THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON
AND IS SERVING AS A FOCUS FOR THE STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY. ALONG WITH THE STRONG PREFRONTAL
INSTABILITY...UNSEASONABLY HIGH LOW AND MIDDLE LEVEL WIND SHEAR
VALUES ARE BEING OBSERVED ALONG THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY.
FURTHERMORE...CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI APPEARS TO BE ENTERING THE
RIGHT...REAR QUADRANT OF THE UPPER LEVEL JET. THESE FEATURES ARE
ALL ACTING IN CONCERT TO PRODUCE THE WIDESPREAD...DEEP CONVECTIVE
ACTIVITY OVER THE AREA. EXPECT THE STRONG TO SEVERE WEATHER TO
PERSIST INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS THE FRONT MOVES TO THE
SOUTHEAST.

THE POST FRONTAL AIRMASS ON WEDNESDAY WILL BE LESS UNSTABLE AND
MUCH DRIER. ONLY ISOLATED NON SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
AS THE FRONTAL SYSTEM CONTINUES TO PUSH TO THE SOUTHEAST AND OUT
OF THE AREA.

...FLOODING...
THE STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS WILL PRODUCE RAIN THAT WILL BE HEAVY
AT TIMES OVER NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND MOST OF MISSISSIPPI
TONIGHT. AS A RESULT...PONDING ON AREA ROADWAYS AND IN POOR
DRAINAGE AREAS IS LIKELY WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE STRONGER
THUNDERSTORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL...IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS...WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED TONIGHT.

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN. THIS INCLUDES THE GRAPHICAL HAZARDOUS
WEATHER OUTLOOK.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
151 PM CDT TUE JUL 22 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0130 PM    JACKSON                   MS   WIND DAMAGE
07/22/03   HINDS                          NUMEROUS TREES DOWN
                                          ACROSS CITY OF
                                          JACKSON...REPORTED BY PD

0140 PM    BRANDON                   MS   0.75 INCH HAIL
07/22/03   RANKIN                         REPORTED BY BRANDON EOC

0148 PM    BRANDON                   MS   60 MPH WIND GUST
07/22/03   RANKIN                         TOPS BLOWN OUT OF A
                                          COUPLE OF TREES AND
                                          TRANSFORMERS
                                          DAMAGED...REPORTED BY
                                          BRANDON EOC