Severe Thunderstorm Warning 51, NWS Indianapolis, IN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
227 PM EST FRI MAY 9 2003

CORRECTED ISSUANCE TIME

RADAR SHOWS STG TSRA DVLPG JUST S OF THE CNTRL INDIANA FCST AREA AND
MOVG E. SATL SHOWS OUTFLOW BDRY FM MORNING TSRA NR A KGUS-KMIE LINE.
MAIN FCST ISSUES ARE CHCS OF TSRA TNGT THRU SAT NGT AND HVY RAFL
POTNL LATE TNGT AND ERY SAT.

IN GENL...12Z ETA/GFS ARE IN GUD AGREEMENT WITH THE NGM SLGTLY
SLOWER WITH THE CDFNT TO MOV ACRS THE FA LT SAT NGT. GFS SUFFERS FM
CNVCTV FEEDBACK TNGT...SO WL PREFER THE ETA FOR THIS FCST. BLV SCT
TSRA A GUD BET THIS EVE ACRS THE FA...THEN A MCS WL MOV ACRS THE FA
LT TNGT. TSRA DVLPG OVR OK ADD TO BELIEF THAT MCS WL FORM AND MOV
ACRS THE FA AFT MIDN AND CONT INTO SAT MORNING. WL FCST CHC POPS
THIS EVE FOLLOWED BY LKLY POPS LT TNGT AND SAT MORNING. POTNL FOR
HVY RAFL AND NRBY WFOS HAVE DECIDED TO ISSUE A FLOOD WATCH...SO WL
ALSO ISSUE FLOOD WATCH FROM IND FOR ENTIRE FA. CONFIDENCE LOW IN
EXACT AREA OF HVY RAFL AND AMTS...BUT GIVEN RECENT RAINS AND POTNL
FOR MORE HVY RAIN...BLV IT BEST TO GO AHD WITH FLOOD WATCH FM LT
THIS EVE THRU SAT MORN.

TSRA SHUD DMNSH SAT MORNING...BUT EXPECT NEW DVLPMT SAT AFTN CONTG
INTO SAT NGT. THIS WL LKLY BE IN A LINE/AREA AHD OF THE CDFNT...AND
CAN CERTAINLY AGREE WITH SPC MDT RISK. WL FCST LKLY POPS SAT...WITH
BEST CHC ERY AND LATE WITH A MIDDAY LULL EXPECTED. CDFNT WL PASS
ACRS FA LT SAT NGT...SO WL CONT LKLY POPS UNTIL FROPA.

FOR TEMPS...WL USE A BLEND OF THE COOLER AVN MOS AND THE WRMR ETA
MOS.

.IND...FLOOD WATCH LATE THIS EVE THRU SAT MORNING ENTIRE FCST AREA...
       INZ021-028>031-035>049-051>057-060>065-067>072.

ZIMMERMAN

INZ021-028>031-035>049-051>057-060>065-067>072-101100-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
603 AM EST FRI MAY 9 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL INDIANA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE
LIKELY TONIGHT. SOME OF THESE STORMS COULD BE SEVERE WITH DAMAGING
WINDS AND HAIL THE MAIN THREAT BUT ISOLATED TORNADOES ALSO POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THOUGH THURSDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE AGAIN LIKELY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT. SEVERE
STORMS ARE POSSIBLE WITH DAMAGING WINDS THE MAIN THREAT BUT LARGE
HAIL AND A FEW TORNADOES ALSO POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS MAY BE NEEDED AT TIMES TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT.

&&

MORE INFORMATION MAY BE OBTAINED AT THE FOLLOWING URL...

HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/IND (ALL LOWER CASE)

KOCH

INZ060>065-067>072-092045-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
522 PM EST FRI MAY 9 2003

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH #318 IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT FOR ANY PARTS
OF CENTRAL INDIANA.

THE STRONGEST THUNDERSTORMS HAVE MOVED NEAR AND JUST SOUTH OF THE
OHIO RIVER.  OTHER STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ABOUT 40 MILES
WEST SOUTHWEST OF VINCENNES.  STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE
AGAIN LATER TONIGHT ACROSS CENTRAL INDIANA.  HOWEVER FOR THE NEXT
FEW HOURS THERE IS ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS IN
CENTRAL INDIANA.  THUS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH #318 HAS BEEN
CANCELLED FOR THOSE COUNTIES IN CENTRAL INDIANA.

ILZ041>046-048-052>057-061>063-066-067-071-INZ005>009-013>049-051-
052-100400-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
842 PM EST FRI MAY 9 2003

TORNADO WATCH #324 HAS BEEN REMOVED FOR THOSE AREAS EAST OF A TERRE
HAUTE TO TIPTON LINE.

TORNADO WATCH #324 REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR...CARROLL...HOWARD...
TIPPECANOE...WARREN...CLINTON...TIPTON...FOUNTAIN...MONTGOMERY...VERM
ILLION...PARKE AND VIGO COUNTIES...UNTIL 1100 PM EST.

RADAR SHOWS STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE DEVELOPING ACROSS NORTHERN
INDIANA INTO CENTRAL ILLINOIS.  IT DOES NOT APPEAR LIKELY THAT ANY
OF THOSE THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE EAST OF A TERRE HAUTE TO TIPTON
LINE BEFORE THE TORNADO WATCH EXPIRES AT 1100 PM EST.

PERSONS IN THE LAFFAYETTE KOKOMO AND CRAWFORDSVILLE AREA SHOULD
CONTINUE TO BE ALERT FOR A POSSIBLE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OR TORNADO
THIS EVENING.

JEH