Alert archive / Kentucky / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2003

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 57, NWS Wilmington, OH

May 5, 2003Pendleton County, Kentucky

NWS Wilmington, OH issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 5, 2003, 6:03 PM EDT for Pendleton County, Kentucky. It was in force for 27 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: May 5, 2003, 6:03 PM EDT (22:03 UTC)
Expired: May 5, 2003, 6:30 PM EDT
In force: 27 min
Issued by: NWS Wilmington, OH
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Pendleton County, KY

The radar

The Cincinnati radar (KILN), 93 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:03 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), launched 12:00Z, 10.1 hours before the alert went out and 95 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL: 522 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 57 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 706 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 1070 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS51 KILN 052203
SVRILN
KYC191-052230-

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
603 PM EDT MON MAY 5 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WILMINGTON HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  PENDLETON COUNTY IN KENTUCKY...

* UNTIL 630 PM EDT...

* AT 603 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 9 MILES WEST OF FALMOUTH...OR ABOUT 4 MILES
  EAST OF WILLIAMSTOWN...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

* SOME LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...
  BUTLER...
  FALMOUTH...

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM...CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS. IF YOU ARE IN THE STORMS PATH...TAKE COVER IN A
STURDY STRUCTURE UNTIL THE STORM PASSES.

LAT...LON 3875 8454 3858 8448 3867 8422 3884 8423

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Wilmington, OH wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 5, 3:00 PM EDT, 3 hours 3 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 5, 3:00 PM EDT, 3 hours 3 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
300 PM EDT MON MAY 5 2003

IT IS SHAPING UP TO BE A WET WEEK.

18Z MODIFIED SOUNDING AT ILN YIELDED ABOUT 600 J/KG OF CAPE WITH A
HIGH OF 75 AND A DEWPOINT OF 65.  COLD FRONT WAS STILL POISED TO OUR
WEST.  COLD FRONT IS NOT EXPECTED TO GO TOO MUCH FARTHER EAST
TONIGHT AS MEAN FLOW ALOFT REMAINS SWLY...OR NEARLY PARALLEL TO THE
FRONT.  STILL THINK A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY ERUPTED LATE THIS AFTN
IN WEAK LOW LVL CONVERGENCE...AND THUS...WILL PLAN ZONES THAT WAY.
THUNDERSTORMS...WITHOUT UPR SUPPORT...THEY SHOULD DIE BEFORE
MIDNIGHT.

NEXT S/WV OVER TX WILL PIVOT INTO THE TN VLY ON TUESDAY.  THIS
S/WV...ALONG WITH A LOW LVL JET...WILL BRING THE BEST CHC OF PCPN TO
OUR SE CWFA ON TUESDAY...WITH ONLY A CHANCE EXPECTED ELSEWHERE.

FOR TUESDAY NIGHT...MOST LOCATIONS WILL REMAIN DRY AS FRONT WAFFLE
OVER THE SRN CWFA.

ON WEDNESDAY...ANOTHER SIGNIFICANT S/WV IS FCST TO MOVE ACRS THE
REGION.  THIS WILL PERTURB A SFC LOW ON WAFFLLING FRONT.  GOOD
DYNAMICS ALOFT AND CONV AT THE LOW LVLS WILL BRING A HIGH
PROBABILITY OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  AIRMASS SHOULD BE
JUICY...SO HEAVY RAIN A POSSIBILITY ON WEDNESDAY.

WE MAY SEE A BREAK WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY AS FRONTAL SYSTEM
SAGS SOUTH OF THE REGION BEFORE ANOTHER S/WV BRINGS IT BACK NORTH ON
FRIDAY.

KEPT TEMPS CLOSE TO MAV GUIDANCE.

.ILN...NONE.

HICKMAN

Hazardous weather outlook, May 5, 6:30 AM EDT, 11 hours 33 minutes before

INZ050-058-059-066-073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ026-034-035-042>046-
051>056-060>065-070>074-077>082-088-051230-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
630 AM EDT MON MAY 5 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN INDIANA...NORTHERN
KENTUCKY AND THE SOUTHWEST QUARTER OF OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE.  ISOLATED TORNADOES CANNOT BE
RULED OUT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY.  SOME OF THE
THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE SEVERE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, May 5, 2:12 PM EDT, 3 hours 51 minutes before

INZ050-058-059-066-073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ026-034-035-042>046-
051>056-060>065-070>074-077>082-088-052215-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
212 PM EDT MON MAY 5 2003

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE LATTER THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING MAINLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE OHIO RIVER...

A STATIONARY FRONT NEAR THE OHIO RIVER WILL BE THE FOCUS OF
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY THIS AFTERNOON.  SOUTH OF THE THIS FRONT THE
ATMOSPHERE IS VERY MUGGY AND UNSTABLE.  THUNDERSTORMS HAVE ALREADY
DEVELOPED SOUTH OF THE FRONT ACROSS CENTRAL KENTUCKY.  HOWEVER...
STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE VICINITY OF
THE OHIO RIVER LATTER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREATS FROM THE
THUNDERSTORMS.  WINDS TURNING WITH HEIGHT WILL ALSO MAKE ISOLATED
TORNADOES POSSIBLE.

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED ACROSS SOUTHEAST INDIANA...
SOUTHERN OHIO AND NORTHERN KENTUCKY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.  KEEP
TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR
UPDATES.

 TIPTON

Local storm report, May 5, 5:17 PM EDT, 46 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON, OH
517 PM EDT MON MAY 5 2003

TIME(EDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0505 PM    HESLER                    KY   1.75 INCH HAIL
05/05/03   OWEN

0515 PM    CORINTH                   KY   1.00 INCH HAIL
05/05/03   GRANT

Local storm report, May 5, 5:45 PM EDT, 18 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON, OH
545 PM EDT MON MAY 5 2003

TIME(EDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0542 PM    FELICITY                  OH   .88 INCH HAIL
05/05/03   CLERMONT                       REPORTED BY TRAINED
                                          SPOTTER.

Local storm report, May 5, 6:02 PM EDT, 1 minute before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON, OH
602 PM EDT MON MAY 5 2003

TIME(EDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0600 PM    GEORGETOWN                OH   .88 INCH HAIL
05/05/03   BROWN                          REPORTED BY TRAINED
                                          SPOTTER.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Wilmington, OH issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 5, 4:44 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ILN	Owen	46 min
May 5, 5:06 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ILN	Grant	24 min
May 5, 5:21 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ILN	Pendleton	24 min
May 5, 5:31 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ILN	Bracken	29 min
May 5, 6:07 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ILN	Grant	33 min
May 5, 6:44 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ILN	Owen	31 min
May 5, 7:59 PM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	ILN	Owen	2 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kentucky, 2003 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.