Severe Thunderstorm Warning 327, NWS Wilmington, OH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
1120 AM EDT MON SEP 1 2003

LATEST 88D IMAGERY SNOWING THE HEAVIEST PRECIP ACROSS ILNS NRN FA.
AREAS SOUTH OF THIS REGION HAVE GONE SCATTERED AT BEST. 12Z RUC
SHOWING ANOTHER MID LVL S/W TO MOVE ACROSS THE ERN HALF OF FA THIS
AFTERNOON IN THE WARM SECTOR. WITH FRONT CONTINUEING TO LIFT SLOWLY
NWRD...APART FROM THE WK MID-LVL S/W...THERE APPEARS TO BE VERY
LITTLE IN THE WAY OF FORCING IN THE WARM SECTOR EXPECTED THIS
AFTERNOON. THUS HAVE LOWERED POPS IN THIS AREA...BUT KEEPING
CATAGORICAL POPS IN VCTY OF FRONT.

AS FOR SVR THREAT TDY. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR...BUT WITH WK
FORCING IN WARM SECTOR...CURRENTLY NOT EXPECTING MUCH IN THE WAY OF
DEVELOPMENT. FRONTAL BDRY MAY BE A FOCUS...BUT INSTABILITY LACKING.

FFA UPDATED WITH ONLY WORDING CHANGES. ZFP UPDATED AS WELL.

.ILN...
IN...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS EVENING INZ050-058-059.
KY...NONE.
OH...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS EVENING OHZ026-034-035-042>046-051>056-
     060>062-064-065.

JTD

INZ050-058-059-066-073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ026-034-035-042>046-
051>056-060>065-070>074-077>082-088-011100-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
455 AM EDT MON SEP 1 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN INDIANA...NORTHERN
KENTUCKY AND THE SOUTHWEST QUARTER OF OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY

A WARM FRONT WILL SLOWLY LIFT NORTHWARD ACROSS OHIO AND INDIANA
TODAY THROUGH THIS EVENING.  WITH THE MOIST AIR MASS IN PLACE ACROSS
THE REGION...WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED.  THIS COULD LEAD TO
FLOODING.  A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR AREAS
NEAR AND NORTH OF I-70.  SOUTH OF THIS AREA...LOCALIZED HEAVY RAIN
WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP...SOME OF WHICH
COULD BE SEVERE AS WELL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THE WARM FRONT WILL BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY.  MORE SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH TUESDAY.
AGAIN...THIS COULD LEAD TO FLOODING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED.

INZ050-058-059-066-073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ026-034-035-042>046-
051>056-060>065-070>074-077>082-088-012200-

SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
1201 PM EDT MON SEP 1 2003

...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON IN
NORTHERN KENTUCKY...SOUTHEAST INDIANA AND SOUTHERN OHIO...

A FRONT WILL BE STATIONARY NEAR OR JUST NORTH OF I-70 THROUGH THE
DAY. WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ALONG AND NORTH OF
THE FRONT WILL RESULT IN LIMITED INSTABILITY TODAY AND THUS LITTLE OR
NO SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FROM EAST CENTRAL INDIANA INTO CENTRAL OHIO.

HOWEVER...FURTHER SOUTH...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL NOT BE AS
EXTENSIVE. CLOUD COVER WILL THIN ACROSS NORTHERN KENTUCKY AND FAR
SOUTHERN OHIO...ALLOWING FOR SOME SUNSHINE TODAY. WITH AFTERNOON
HEATING...THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BECOME MORE UNSTABLE. A FEW OF
THE THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP DURING THE HEAT OF THE DAY COULD
BECOME SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WINDS THE PRIMARY THREAT.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER MEDIA OUTLETS FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES.

JTD