Flash Flood Warning 17, NWS Wilmington, OH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
322 PM EDT SAT MAY 10 2003

WILL TRY TO HIT THE HIGHLIGHTS. CURRENT THUNDERSTORMS COMPLEX WILL
MOVE THROUGH EASTERN HALF OF FA LATE THIS AFTERNOON EARLY THIS
EVENING.  COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH AFTER 6Z.  EXPECT ANOTHER
SQUALL LINE TO DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE FRONT. THIS WILL PUSH THROUGH
LATE TONIGHT.  WITH ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TONIGHT WILL
EXTEND THE FFA TIL NOON SUNDAY.

AVN A LITTLE QUICKER WITH FRONTAL PASSAGE TONIGHT.  PREFER THE
SLOWER ETA WHICH LEAVES THE FRONT STRADDLED ACROSS MY CWA AT 12Z.

PRESSURE GRADIENT INCREASES BEHIND THE FRONT.  WILL ISSUE A WIND
ADVISORY.

WRAP AROUND PRECIPITATION SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY NIGHT.

SEE LITTLE REBOUND IN TEMPERATURES ON SUNDAY...SO WILL DROP HIGHS A
COUPLE OF CATEGORIES.

.ILN....FLOOD WATCH ENTIRE FA UNTIL NOON SUNDAY.
        WIND ADVISORY ENTIRE FA SUNDAY.

SITES

INZ050-058-059-066-073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ026-034-035-042>046-
051>056-060>065-070>074-077>082-088-101215-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
612 AM EDT SAT MAY 10 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN INDIANA...NORTHERN
KENTUCKY AND THE SOUTHWEST QUARTER OF OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY
THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS PLACED EASTERN INDIANA IN A MODERATE
RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT. THE REST OF THE
AREA IS UNDER A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.

WARM AND HUMID AIR WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS THE REGION TODAY.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED THIS MORNING WITH A CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING. SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD AFTER MIDNIGHT AS A COLD
FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER THREAT
THIS MORNING WILL BE LARGE HAIL. THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER THREAT
LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

A STRONG COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO MOVE THROUGH THE REGION SUNDAY
MORNING.  THERE WILL LIKELY BE A LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
AHEAD OF THE FRONT...WHICH COULD CONTAIN SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.
WINDY CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST BEHIND THE FRONT ON SUNDAY...LASTING
INTO MONDAY.  THESE WINDS MAY BE STRONG ENOUGH TO WARRANT EITHER
WIND ADVISORIES OR WARNINGS.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON, OH
250 PM EDT SAT MAY 10 2003

TIME(EDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0227 PM    CAMBRIDGE CITY            IN   WIND DAMAGE
05/10/03   WAYNE                          TREES DOWN

1221 PM    CONNERSVILLE              IN   .75 INCH HAIL
05/10/03   FAYETTE

0109 PM    WEST ALEXANDRIA           OH   .88 INCH HAIL
05/10/03   PREBLE

0115 PM    3 SW NEW LEBANON          OH   1.00 INCH HAIL
05/10/03   MONTGOMERY

0146 PM    WRIGHT-PATTERSON AFB      OH   .88 INCH HAIL
05/10/03   GREENE

INZ050-058-059-066-073>075-080-KYZ089-OHZ026-034-035-042>044-051-052-
060-061-102100-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
334 PM EDT SAT MAY 10 2003

THE TORNADO WATCH HAS BEEN CLEARED FOR WEST CENTRAL OHIO...ALL OF
INDIANA...CARROLL COUNTY KENTUCKY...AND PORTIONS OF THE MIAMI VALLEY
CLOSE TO THE INDIANA BORDER.

THE STRONGEST THUNDERSTORMS HAVE MOVED EAST OF THIS AREA AND THERE IS
NO LONGER A THREAT FOR TORNADOS THIS AFTERNOON.

COUNTIES THAT ARE NO LONGER IN THE TORNADO WATCH ARE:

HARDIN         AUGLAIZE      MERCER     SHELBY
LOGAN          CHAMPAIGN     MIAMI      DARKE
MONTGOMERY     PREBLE        WAYNE      FAYETTE IN
UNION IN       FRANKLIN IN   RIPLEY     DEARBORN
OHIO           SWITZERLAND   CARROLL

IN THE MIAMI VALLEY...CLARK AND GREENE COUNTIES REMAIN IN THE WATCH
UNTIL 5 PM.

ALL OF NORTHERN KENTUCKY WITH THE EXCEPTION OF CARROLL COUNTY
REMAINS IN THE WATCH UNTIL 5 PM.

ALL OF SOUTHWEST...CENTRAL...AND SOUTH CENTRAL OHIO REMAIN IN THE
WATCH UNTIL 5 PM.

FRANKS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON, OH
421 PM EDT SAT MAY 10 2003

TIME(EDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0413 PM    FELICITY                  OH   1.00 INCH HAIL
05/10/03   CLERMONT                       REPORTED BY TRAINED
                                          SPOTTER.

RLG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON, OH
428 PM EDT SAT MAY 10 2003

TIME(EDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0424 PM    5 N BROOKSVILLE           KY   1.00 INCH HAIL
05/10/03   BRACKEN                        REPORTED BY TRAINED
                                          SPOTTER.

RLG

KYZ090>096-OHZ045-046-053>056-062>065-070>072-074-077-078-080-102100-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
436 PM EDT SAT MAY 10 2003

THE TORNADO WATCH HAS BEEN CLEARED FOR SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL
OHIO...MUCH OF NORTHERN KENTUCKY...AND PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
OHIO.

THE STRONGEST THUNDERSTORMS HAVE MOVED EAST OF THIS AREA AND THERE IS
NO LONGER A THREAT FOR TORNADOS THIS AFTERNOON.

COUNTIES THAT ARE NO LONGER IN THE TORNADO WATCH ARE:

IN OHIO:

UNION       DELAWARE        LICKING     MADISON
FAYETTE     FRANLIN OH      FAIRFIELD   FAYETTE OH
PICKAWAY    HOCKING         WARREN      BUTLER
HAMILTON    CLERMONT        HIGHLAND

IN KENTUCKY:

BOONE       KENTON          CAMPBELL    GALLATIN
OWEN        GRANT           PENDELTON

THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST THIS AFTERNOON AND AFFECT
PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST KENTUCKY AND SOUTH CENTRAL OHIO.

COUNTIES THAT REMAIN IN THE WATCH THROUGH 5 PM INCLUDE:

IN OHIO:

ROSS        PIKE            SCIOTO      ADAMS
BROWN

IN KENTUCKY:
BRACKEN     ROBERTSON       MASON       LEWIS

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON, OH
510 PM EDT SAT MAY 10 2003

TIME(EDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0424 PM    5 N BROOKSVILLE           KY   1.00 INCH HAIL
05/10/03   BRACKEN                        REPORTED BY TRAINED
                                          SPOTTER.

0455 PM    MANCHESTER                OH   .75 INCH HAIL
05/10/03   ADAMS                          REPORTED BY TRAINED
                                          SPOTTER.

0445 PM    MAYSVILLE                 KY   WIND DAMAGE
05/10/03   MASON                          TREES AND LARGE LIMBS
                                          DOWN, TREE ON A CAR PERSON
                                          TRAPPED

RLG