Tornado Warning 38, NWS Huntsville, AL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
1158 AM CST TUE NOV 18 2003

.UPDATE...
QUICK UPDATE HERE TO REMOVE MENTION OF TORNADO WATCH THAT WILL BE
EXPIRING AT NOON.  LARGE AREA OF MDT/HVY PCPN TO SLOWLY PUSH WEST TO
EAST ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS.  MAIN SEVERE THREAT
HOLDING JUST TO OUR SOUTH THUS FAR...WITH THE BIGGEST CONCERN ACROSS
OUR AREA BEING LOCALIZED FLOODING AND SOME GUSTY WINDS ACCOMPANYING
THE MORE INTENSE PCPN.  EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO HOLD STEADY IN THE
MID/UPPER 60S FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTN...AND WILL ADJUST
DOWNWARD ACCORDINGLY.  UPDATE OUT SHORTLY...

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...FLOOD WATCH FOR N AL THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
TN...FLOOD WATCH FOR SOUTHERN MID TN THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
&&

MR

ALZ001>010-016-TNZ076-096-097-190300-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
100 PM CST TUE NOV 18 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH ALABAMA AND PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...(THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT)...

AN INTENSE LINE OF HEAVY RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE MOVING
EAST ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.
THIS LINE WILL CONTAIN STRONG TO DAMAGING WIND GUSTS UP TO 70 MPH.
ALSO...RAINFALL AMOUNTS UPWARDS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED AS
THIS PRECIPITATION MOVES THROUGH.  LOCATIONS EAST OF I-65 ARE
EXPECTED TO BE AFFECTED BY THIS INTENSE LINE.

AS A STRONG UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT APPROACH
THE AREA TONIGHT...ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT
WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE ENTIRE TENNESSEE VALLEY.  A FEW STORMS
MAY BECOME STRONG TO MARGINALLY SEVERE...WITH LARGE HAIL AND WIND
GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH THE MAIN THREAT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...(WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY)...

THUNDERSTORM THREAT WILL QUICKLY DIMINISH FROM WEST TO EAST BY
WEDNESDAY MORNING AS THE COLD FRONT SWEEPS ACROSS THE TENNESSEE
VALLEY.  DEVELOPING NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH ON WEDNESDAY
MAY BRIEFLY GUST UP TO 35 MPH...BEFORE DIMINISHING BY WEDNESDAY
NIGHT.

DRIER WEATHER IS EXPECTED THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.  ANOTHER
ROUND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL ACCOMPANY THE NEXT COLD
FRONT BY LATE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH THIS EVENING...AND MAY BE NECESSARY AGAIN TONIGHT.

MR

ALZ001>003-181900-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
1158 AM CST TUE NOV 18 2003

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR HEAVY RAIN AND WIND ACROSS NORTHWEST
ALABAMA...

AT NOON...AN AREA OF RAIN...WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS...WAS MOVING
ACROSS NORTHWEST ALABAMA. MOVEMENT OF THESE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
IS NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH. AREAS THAT WILL BE AFFECTED THROUGH 1 PM
INCLUDE RUSSELLVILLE...AND THE FLORENCE AND MUSCLE SHOALS AREAS.

THESE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PERIODS OF
HEAVY RAIN ACROSS NORTHWEST ALABAMA. RAINFALL AMOUNTS UP TO 3/4 OF
AN INCH ARE POSSIBLE IN SOME LOCATIONS. WIND GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH ARE
ALSO POSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR A FAVORITE MEDIA OUTLET...FOR
FURTHER STATEMENTS...WATCHES...OR WARNINGS.

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ALZ004-181900-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
1219 PM CST TUE NOV 18 2003

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR HEAVY RAIN AND WIND ACROSS LAWRENCE
COUNTY...

AT 12:15 PM...AN AREA OF RAIN...WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS...WAS
MOVING ACROSS LAWRENCE COUNTY. MOVEMENT IS TO THE NORTHEAST AT 35
MPH. AREAS THAT WILL BE AFFECTED THROUGH 1 PM INCLUDE MOULTON AND
TOWN CREEK.

THESE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PERIODS OF
HEAVY RAIN. RAINFALL AMOUNTS UP TO 3/4 OF AN INCH ARE POSSIBLE IN
SOME LOCATIONS. WIND GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR A FAVORITE MEDIA OUTLET...FOR
FURTHER STATEMENTS...WATCHES...OR WARNINGS.

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