Severe Thunderstorm Warning 147, NWS Huntsville, AL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
1158 AM CST TUE NOV 18 2003

.UPDATE...
QUICK UPDATE HERE TO REMOVE MENTION OF TORNADO WATCH THAT WILL BE
EXPIRING AT NOON.  LARGE AREA OF MDT/HVY PCPN TO SLOWLY PUSH WEST TO
EAST ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS.  MAIN SEVERE THREAT
HOLDING JUST TO OUR SOUTH THUS FAR...WITH THE BIGGEST CONCERN ACROSS
OUR AREA BEING LOCALIZED FLOODING AND SOME GUSTY WINDS ACCOMPANYING
THE MORE INTENSE PCPN.  EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO HOLD STEADY IN THE
MID/UPPER 60S FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTN...AND WILL ADJUST
DOWNWARD ACCORDINGLY.  UPDATE OUT SHORTLY...

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...FLOOD WATCH FOR N AL THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
TN...FLOOD WATCH FOR SOUTHERN MID TN THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
&&

MR

ALZ001>010-016-TNZ076-096-097-181900-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
500 AM CST TUE NOV 18 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH ALABAMA AND PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)...

A LINE OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE AHEAD OF A COLD
FRONT DURING THE DAY. THE MAIN SEVERE WEATHER THREATS WILL BE
DAMAGING WINDS OVER 60 MPH AS THE SQUALL LINE PASSES THROUGH.
ISOLATED TORNADOES MAY BE POSSIBLE IN ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP
AHEAD OF THE SQUALL LINE. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ALSO BE A THREAT THIS
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES WILL BE
COMMON...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS ACROSS NORTHEAST ALABAMA AND PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
MIDDLE TENNESSEE MAY ENHANCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS...AND RESULT IN RAPID
RUNOFF INTO AREA CREEKS AND STREAMS.

THE MOST LIKELY TIME FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE IN THE EARLY
AFTERNOON FOR NORTHWEST ALABAMA...MOVING INTO THE I-65 CORRIDOR
DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS. THESE STORMS WILL
PUSH INTO NORTHEAST ALABAMA AND PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN MIDDLE
TENNESSEE THIS EVENING AND EXIT THE AREA BY MIDNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...(WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY)...

THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH BY WEDNESDAY MORNING...BRINGING
COOLER AND DRIER WEATHER FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WORK WEEK. ANOTHER
ROUND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE SUNDAY
INTO MONDAY.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL WILL
LIKELY BE NEEDED TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT.

PB

ALZ001>003-181900-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
1158 AM CST TUE NOV 18 2003

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR HEAVY RAIN AND WIND ACROSS NORTHWEST
ALABAMA...

AT NOON...AN AREA OF RAIN...WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS...WAS MOVING
ACROSS NORTHWEST ALABAMA. MOVEMENT OF THESE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
IS NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH. AREAS THAT WILL BE AFFECTED THROUGH 1 PM
INCLUDE RUSSELLVILLE...AND THE FLORENCE AND MUSCLE SHOALS AREAS.

THESE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PERIODS OF
HEAVY RAIN ACROSS NORTHWEST ALABAMA. RAINFALL AMOUNTS UP TO 3/4 OF
AN INCH ARE POSSIBLE IN SOME LOCATIONS. WIND GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH ARE
ALSO POSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR A FAVORITE MEDIA OUTLET...FOR
FURTHER STATEMENTS...WATCHES...OR WARNINGS.

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ALZ004-181900-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
1219 PM CST TUE NOV 18 2003

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR HEAVY RAIN AND WIND ACROSS LAWRENCE
COUNTY...

AT 12:15 PM...AN AREA OF RAIN...WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS...WAS
MOVING ACROSS LAWRENCE COUNTY. MOVEMENT IS TO THE NORTHEAST AT 35
MPH. AREAS THAT WILL BE AFFECTED THROUGH 1 PM INCLUDE MOULTON AND
TOWN CREEK.

THESE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PERIODS OF
HEAVY RAIN. RAINFALL AMOUNTS UP TO 3/4 OF AN INCH ARE POSSIBLE IN
SOME LOCATIONS. WIND GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR A FAVORITE MEDIA OUTLET...FOR
FURTHER STATEMENTS...WATCHES...OR WARNINGS.

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