Flash Flood Warning 61, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

000 
WGUS72 KGSP 070008
FFSGSP
NCC115-070100-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
808 PM EDT SUN JUL 6 2003

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 900 PM EDT FOR MADISON
COUNTY...

AT 745 PM...COUNTY OFFICIALS REPORTED THAT FLOODING CONTINUED... 
MAINLY ACROSS SOUTHERN AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE COUNTY. LITTLE 
PINE CREEK WAS OUT OF ITS BANKS AND FLOODING SOME ADJACENT ROADWAYS. 
FLOODING WAS ALSO REPORTED ON SPRING CREEK...AND WATER FROM THIS 
CREEK WAS BEGINNING TO COVER PORTIONS OF HIGHWAY 63. ALTHOUGH NO 
MAJOR HIGHWAYS OR ROADWAYS HAVE BEEN CLOSED AS OF 745 PM...SEVERAL 
SIDE ROADS HAVE BEEN CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING ALONG SMALL CREEKS.   

AT 757 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR INDICATED ANOTHER BATCH 
OF MODERATE RAIN...WITH EMBEDDED AREAS OF HEAVY RAIN...MOVING INTO 
MADISON COUNTY. THIS COULD PRODUCE AN ADDITIONAL INCH OR MORE OF 
RAIN ACROSS THE COUNTY THROUGH 10 PM. THIS ADDITIONAL RAINFALL... 
COMBINED WITH RUNOFF FROM EARLIER RAIN WILL RESULT IN FURTHER RISES 
ON CREEKS AND STREAMS THAT ARE ALREADY IN FLOOD. NEW FLOODING COULD 
ALSO DEVELOP ALONG STREAMS SUCH AS LITTLE SANDYMUSH CREEK AND ITS 
TRIBUTARIES...AND BIG PINE CREEK.      

DO NOT BECOME A FATALITY DO NOT CROSS FLOODED ROADS...THE ROAD COULD
BE WASHED OUT FROM THE FLOW OF THE WATER...AND YOUR CAR COULD BE 
SWEPT AWAY BY THE SWIFTLY MOVING WATER. 

PEOPLE LIVING ON CREEKS AND STREAMS ACROSS SOUTHERN AND EASTERN 
PORTIONS OF MADISON COUNTY SHOULD MONITOR WATER LEVELS CLOSELY...AND 
BE PREPARED TO ACT QUICKLY IF WATER REACHES OR EXCEEDS BANKFUL.  

WHEN DRIVING ALONG ROADS WHERE THE TERRAIN IS STEEP OR ROCKY...REMAIN
ALERT FOR POSSIBLE ROCK OR MUD SLIDES DUE TO THE HEAVY RAIN.

$$

LANE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
314 PM EDT SUN JUL 6 2003

KGSP 88-D SHOWS AFTERNOON CONVECTION IN FULL SWING. WHILE MUCH OF
THIS ACTIVITY IS DRIVEN BY DAYTIME HEATING...THERE IS UPPER SUPPORT
AS A WEAK TROF CONTINUES SINKING SOUTH INTO THE REGION ALOFT. THIS
FEATURE IS PROGD TO CROSS OUR AREA EARLY MONDAY MORNING. TIME
HEIGHTS SHOW MOISTURE CONTENT IN THE ATMOSPHERE
INCREASING...ESPECIALLY LATE TONIGHT...WHICH WOULD ALSO SUPPORT
ACTIVITY CONTINUING WELL BEYOND MIDNIGHT. WILL MENTION POPS THROUGH
LATE TONIGHT IN THE ZONES...WITH BEST COVERAGE NORTH AND WEST
OVERNIGHT. IN THE PREDAWN...MOISTURE LADEN BOUNDARY LAYER MAY
PRODUCE SOME DENSE FOG IN THE MOUNTAINS.

AFOREMENTIONED TROF...AND AN UPPER VORT...WILL AFFECT THE FORECAST
AREA MONDAY. LITTLE DRYING IN THE LOWER ATMOSPHERE WITH PRECIPITABLE
WATERS OVER 1.8 INCHES ON FORECAST SOUNDINGS. A CASE COULD CERTAINLY
BE MADE FOR LIKELY POPS IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN GIVEN SOMEWHAT BETTER
UPPER FORCING THERE TOMORROW AFTERNOON...BUT WENT WITH HIGH CHANCE
POPS THERE AFTER COLLABORATION WITH SURROUNDING OFFICES...WITH 40 POPS
EVERYWHERE ELSE. THERE WILL BE...AGAIN...A THREAT OF HEAVY
RAIN...BUT UPPER FLOW WILL BE A LITTLE FASTER THAN IN PREVIOUS DAYS
WITH THE TROF DIGGING SOUTHEAST. KEPT POPS IN THROUGH EARLY
EVENING...THEN LOSS OF HEATING AND SUBSIDENCE IN THE WAKE OF THE
TROF SHOULD ALLOW CONVECTION TO WEAKEN.

ONCE TROF HAS PASSED EAST OF THE AREA...RIDGING STRENGTHENS ACROSS
THE SOUTHEAST STATES. CWFA IS IN BETWEEN SYSTEMS...WITH DRIER AIR
WORKING IN. 1000/85H THICKNESSES ALSO RISE TO 1432M FOOTHILLS AND
PIEDMONT...SUGGESTING TUESDAY COULD BE THE WARMEST DAY YET. LOW
LEVELS REMAIN RATHER MOIST...HOWEVER...SO CONVECTION MAY STILL FIRE
IN THE MOUNTAINS...WHILE FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT WILL ALSO BE IN A
SLIGHT DOWNSLOPE REGIME. KEPT POPS LIMITED TO LATE AFTERNOON IN THE
MOUNTAINS...AND THE NORTH CAROLINA FOOTHILLS.

ON WEDNESDAY...BACKDOOR FRONT APPROACHES THE CWFA. KEPT A MENTION OF
CHANCE POPS IN CWFA WIDE...WITH GREATEST CHANCES NORTH AND
WEST...WHERE GFS DISPLAYS GREATEST LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND CLOSER TO
THE EFFECTS OF AN APPROACHING UPPER TROF THAT WILL FORCE THE FRONT
SOUTH.

THU THROUGH SUN...THE MEDIUM RANGE MODELS HAVE DELAYED FROPA UNTIL
THU NGHT. AS A RESULT HAVE INTRODUCED POPS INTO THE THU PERIOD. IN
FACT...APPEARS THAT THERE MAY BE SOME GOOD SHEAR AS THE TROUGH
PASSES. THE REST OF THE PERIOD...FRI TO SAT...LOOKS DRY. W/HGHTS
BUILDING OVER THE NRN PLAINS AND E COAST TROF...WEAK HIGH PRESSURE
AND NWLY FLOW SHOULD SUPPRESS CONVECTION. SOME CHANCE THAT BY SUNDAY
MCS TRACK COULD BEGIN TO AFFECT THE WRN ZONES...ASSUMING THAT
ANYTHING CAN GET GOING UNDER THE STRONG RIDGE.

FCSTID =   44
GSP   71  87  71  91 /  40  40  40  20
AND   71  88  71  92 /  40  40  40  20
CLT   72  88  72  91 /  40  40  40  20
HKY   70  87  70  89 /  50  40  40  20
AVL   66  83  66  86 /  50  50  50  30

.GSP...
GA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
SC...NONE.

BURRUS/MCAVOY

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033>037-048>059-062>072-082-SCZ001>014-
019-061215-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
620 AM EDT SUN JUL 6 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...
UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA...AND EXTREME NORTHEAST GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...

SPOTTY SHOWERS ACROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING WILL GIVE WAY TO
AN INCREASING COVERAGE OF THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN IS LIKELY...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

DAILY CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED MONDAY...WEDNESDAY
AND THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED...BUT AS ALWAYS...SPOTTERS ARE
URGED TO REPORT ANY REPORTS OF HEAVY RAIN...FLOODING OR SEVERE
WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

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