Alert archive / North Carolina / Flash Flood Warnings in 2003

Flash Flood Warning 130, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

August 27, 2003Caldwell County, North Carolina

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued this flash flood warning at Aug 27, 2003, 5:30 PM EDT for Caldwell County, North Carolina. It was in force for 2 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 27, 2003, 5:30 PM EDT (21:30 UTC)
Expired
Aug 27, 2003, 7:30 PM EDT
In force
2 hr
Issued by
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Caldwell County, NC

The radar

The Greer radar (KGSP), 144 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:30 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this flash flood warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 12:00Z, 9.5 hours before the alert went out and 152 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2003-08-27Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1203 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2003-08-27The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 11 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1203 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-141 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1787 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
18 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
11 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
31 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WGUS52 KGSP 272133
FFWGSP
NCC027-272330-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
530 PM EDT WED AUG 27 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  NORTHWESTERN CALDWELL COUNTY IN WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA

* UNTIL 730 PM EDT

* AT 530 PM EDT...WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A CLUSTER
  OF THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAINFALL ALONG THE
  ESCARPMENT IN NORTHWESTERN CALDWELL COUNTY. THESE THUNDERSTORMS
  WERE ANCHORED ALONG THE BLUE RIDGE AND WERE MOVING VERY LITTLE.
  RADAR INDICATED RAINFALL RATES OF 2 TO 3 INCHES PER HOUR OVER THE
  AFFECTED AREA.

* FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG DIXON CREEK...RACKET
  CREEK...AND CURTIS CREEK THROUGH 730 PM. HIGH WATER CONDITIONS
  COULD ALSO RENDER ROADWAYS IMPASSABLE NEAR THESE STREAMS. HEAVY
  RAINFALL COULD ALSO PRODUCE MUDSLIDES IN STEEP TERRAIN.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE 
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS 
SAFELY. VEHICLES CAUGHT IN RISING WATER SHOULD BE ABANDONED QUICKLY. 
MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND. EVEN MODERN SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES CANNOT BE 
SAFELY DRIVEN THROUGH FLOOD WATERS.

LAT...LON 3613 8151 3603 8139 3597 8180 3611 8176

$$
HG
1 follow-up statement
000 
WGUS72 KGSP 272238
FFSGSP
NCC027-272330-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
630 PM EDT WED AUG 27 2003

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 730 PM EDT FOR NORTHWESTERN 
CALDWELL COUNTY...

AT 630 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR INDICATED THAT THE 
ANCHORED THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING TORRENTIAL RAINFALL OVER 
NORTHWESTERN CALDWELL COUNTY HAD DIMINISHED TO STEADY LIGHT TO 
MODERATE RAIN. RADAR INDICATES THAT RAINFALL OF 3 TO 4 INCHES HAS 
AFFECTED THE AREA WEST OF UPTON OVER THE PAST THREE HOURS. 
ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS MAY MOVE NORTHEAST ALONG THE ESCARPMENT AND 
AFFECT THE SAME AREA THROUGH 730 PM...SO THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS 
BEEN ALLOWED TO CONTINUE.

THE MOST SIGNIFICANT FLOODING IS STILL LIKELY ALONG DIXON 
CREEK...RACKET CREEK...AND CURTIS CREEK THROUGH 730 PM. FLOODING OF 
THESE STREAMS...AS WELL AS MUDSLIDES BROUGHT ABOUT BY THE HEAVY 
RAIN...COULD MAKE SOME ROADWAYS IMPASSABLE.

DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS FLOODED ROADS...THE ROAD COULD BE WASHED OUT 
FROM THE FLOW OF THE WATER...AND YOUR CAR COULD BE SWEPT AWAY BY THE 
SWIFTLY MOVING WATER. WHEN DRIVING ALONG ROADS WHERE THE TERRAIN IS 
STEEP OR ROCKY...REMAIN ALERT FOR POSSIBLE ROCK OR MUD SLIDES DUE TO 
THE HEAVY RAIN.
$$
HG

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Aug 27, 11:05 AM EDT, 6 hours 25 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 27, 11:05 AM EDT, 6 hours 25 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1105 AM EDT WED AUG 27 2003

TODAY LOOKS CLOSE TO A CARBON COPY OF TUESDAY. 12Z OBSERVED
SOUNDINGS SHOW LOTS OF INSTABILITY AVAILABLE TODAY. STRONG
DIFFERENTIAL HEATING WILL OCCUR OVER THE MTNS WITH FULL SUN ABOVE
DENSE VALLEY FOG. IN FACT...LFC A LITTLE LOWER TODAY ALONG WITH WET
BULB ZERO. THIS IS CONSISTENT WITH FCST SOUNDINGS AND FCST COOLING
OF H7/5 TEMPS. EXPECT STRONG TO ISOLATED SVR STORMS OVER THE MTNS
GIVEN THE OCCURRENCE YESTERDAY AND OBSERVED PARAMETERS THIS MORNING.
WILL ISSUE SPS COVERING THIS. STILL LACK TRIGGER OUTSIDE OF MTNS SO
STILL NO POP THERE. ONLY MINOR CHANGE TO AFT HIGHS. MAINLY OPENING
UP OF RANGE JUST IN CASE TOO HIGH MOS FINALLY VERIFIES.

.GSP...
GA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
SC...NONE.

RWH
Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 27, 6:03 AM EDT, 11 hours 27 minutes before
GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033>037-048>059-062>072-082-SCZ001>014-
019-271200-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
603 AM EDT WED AUG 27 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...
UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA...AND EXTREME NORTHEAST GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE MOUNTAINS
OF THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA THIS AFTERNOON. A FEW
OF THE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BE STRONG WITH 40 TO 50 MPH
WINDS...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND SMALL HAIL. IN
ADDITION...THE STORMS WILL BE SLOW MOVING...AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN
WILL BE POSSIBLE AS WELL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE
MOUNTAINS AGAIN THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...AND ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH
THE LABOR DAY WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED.

MCAVOY

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Aug 27, 11:45 AM EDT, 5 hours 45 minutes before
GAZ010-017-NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>065-SCZ001>003-272000-

SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1145 AM EDT WED AUG 27 2003

...ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE IN THE MOUNTAINS OF THE
CAROLINAS AND EXTREME NORTHEAST GEORGIA LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS
EVENING...

EVEN THOUGH A HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO CONTROL THE WEATHER
ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES... VERY UNSTABLE AIR  EXISTS
ALOFT OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS.  DAYTIME HEATING WILL
ENCOURAGE THE DEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE
HIGHEST RIDGES DURING THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON.  AS THESE STORMS
BUILD INTO THE UNSTABLE AIR IN THE UPPER ATMOSPHERE... RAPID
DEVELOPMENT COULD PRODUCE THUNDERSTORMS THAT SPAWN DAMAGING
DOWNBURST WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.  THE WIND FLOW ACROSS THE REGION IS
VERY LIGHT... SO SLOWLY MOVING THUNDERSTORMS WILL PRESENT A FLASH
FLOOD THREAT.  OF COURSE... ALL THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE LIGHTNING.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE MEDIA OUTLET FOR
THE LATEST UPDATES CONCERNING THIS POTENTIAL SEVERE WEATHER
SITUATION.

LGL
Special weather statement, Aug 27, 5:15 PM EDT, 15 minutes before
NCZ034-272150-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
515 PM EDT WED AUG 27 2003

...A CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO REMAIN OVER
NORTHERN CALDWELL COUNTY THROUGH 550 PM...

AT 515 PM...A CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS REMAINING NEARLY
STATIONARY OVER THE NORTHERN EDGE OF CALDWELL COUNTY. AREAS FROM
FROM 4 MILES EAST OF SUGAR MOUNTAIN...THROUGH UPTON...TO 3
MILES WEST OF ELKVILLE MAY ENCOUNTER GUSTY WINDS TO 40 MPH AND HAIL
UP TO AN HALF INCH. IN ADDITION...HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ACCOMPANY
THESE STORMS...POSSIBLE LEADING TO MUDSLIDES OR ISOLATED FLOODING.
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS
OF THIS DEVELOPING WEATHER SITUATION.

NED

The office that day

Everything else NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 27, 6:05 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPMcDowell, Mitchell40 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in North Carolina, 2003Every flash flood warning in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.