Alert archive / Kansas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2003

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 69, NWS Hastings, NE

May 8, 2003Jewell County, Mitchell County, Kansas

NWS Hastings, NE issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 8, 2003, 2:27 PM CDT for Jewell County, Mitchell County, Kansas. It was in force for 63 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 8, 2003, 2:27 PM CDT (19:27 UTC)
Expired
May 8, 2003, 3:30 PM CDT
In force
63 min
Issued by
NWS Hastings, NE
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

Counties Jewell County, KS, Mitchell County, KS

The radar

The Grand Island radar (KUEX), 89 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:28 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
May 8, 1:50 PM CDTTornado WatchSPC7 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Topeka, KS (KTOP), launched 12:00Z, 7.5 hours before the alert went out and 233 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Topeka, KS at 12:00Z on 2003-05-08Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Topeka, KS at 12:00Z on 2003-05-08The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 427 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
836 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
59 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
427 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
517 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

069 
WUUS53 KGID 081927
SVRGID
KSC089-123-082030-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
227 PM CDT THU MAY 8 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HASTINGS HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  JEWELL COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS
  MITCHELL COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS

* UNTIL 330 PM CDT

* AT 223 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 7 MILES SOUTHEAST OF GLEN ELDER...OR ABOUT 34
  MILES WEST OF CONCORDIA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  BELOIT AT 240 PM CDT
  IONIA AT 255 PM CDT
  SCOTTSVILLE AT 300 PM CDT
  RANDALL AT 310 PM CDT
  ESBON AT 315 PM CDT

PEOPLE IN JEWELL AND MITCHELL COUNTIES SHOULD SEEK SHELTER IN A
STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

DAMAGING THUNDERSTORM WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH AND LARGE HAIL THE
SIZE OF GOLFBALLS ARE LIKELY.

A TORNADO WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND
OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE TORNADOES WITH LITTLE OR NO WARNING.

LAT...LON 3924 9846 3922 9795 4000 9792 3999 9847
$$
NNNN

EWALD

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Hastings, NE wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 8, 1:55 PM CDT, 32 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 8, 1:55 PM CDT, 32 minutes before
SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA/NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
155 PM CDT THU MAY 8 2003

1ST PD SVR TSRA IS THE PROBLEM OF THE DAY WITH A TOR THREAT FOR THE
SRN HALF OF THE CWA THRU THIS EVE.  WL WATCH MAGNITUDE OF
DIFFERENTIAL HEATING/DPS...RESULTING INSTABILITY NR THE WARM FRONT
PUSHING INTO NCNTR KS THIS AFTN IN ADVN OF VORT MAX MOVG ACRS CO
THIS AFTN.  TREND WL DICTATE THE FORECAST...AND IT LKS LIKE A FAIRLY
QUICK SHOT FOR GID THIS EVE...ALTHOUGH VARIOUS AVN/ETA PARAMETERS
ARE POINTING TO A RATHER MEAN TANTRUM.

70S ON FRI UNDR SHRTWV RIDGE LK OK FOLLOWED BY NXT TROF ON FRI NGT
AND SAT.  ETA WRAPS SOME DRIER AIR INTO THIS SYS AS MAIN LOW TRACK
IS ACRS THE NRN PLNS...LEAVING LITTLE FOR THE TRAILING VORT MAX TO
WORK WITH IN THE PCPN DEPT.  MEANWHILE...AVN MAINTAINS THE MSTR WITH
THE STRNGR VORT MAX SOLN.  PRUDENCE DICTATES PERSISTANCE OF CHC
NMBRS UNTIL THE TREND IS BTR DEFINED...ALTHOUGH RETREAT ON QPF MAY
BE IN ORDER.  SYS LKS TO BE FAR ENUF E TO MAINTAIN A DRY SUN AS
WELL.  WL BOOT EARLY WEEK HIGH TEMPS UP A CLICK OR TWO UNDR RIDGE.
TIMING FOR WED PCPN CHC STILL LKS OK...FOLLOWED BY A DRY DAY 7.  WL
LEAN WARM FOR THU GIVEN OP RUN OF THE GFS IS ON THE LOW SIDE OF THE
ENSEMBLES.

.GID...NONE.

09
Hazardous weather outlook, May 8, 2:00 PM CDT, 27 minutes before
KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087-091200-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
200 PM CDT THU MAY 8 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND
PARTS OF NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM FOR SOUTH CENTRAL
NEBRASKA...MAINLY SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 80. LOW PRESSURE CONTINUE TO
DEVELOP NORTHEAST INTO NORTHERN KANSAS AND SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA BY
LATE AFTERNOON EARLY EVENING TIMEFRAME...DRAGGING A WARM FRONT NORTH
THROUGH EAST CENTRAL NEBRASKA. AT THE SAME TIME...A DRY LINE WILL
PUSH EAST THROUGH WESTERN AND CENTRAL KANSAS...TO NEAR THE SOUTH
CENTRAL NEBRASKA BORDER HELPING TO FIRE STRONG TO SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON OR EARLY THIS EVENING. THERE IS
A MODERATE TO HIGH RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER OVER THE ENTIRE AREA...WITH
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS BEING THE PRIMARY HAZARD...ALTHOUGH THE
POTENTIAL FOR TORNADOES ALSO EXISTS...ESPECIALLY SOUTH OF INTERSTATE
80.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THERE WILL BE A BREAK IN THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY DURING THE DAY ON
FRIDAY...AND THEN THUNDERSTORM CHANCES RETURN FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING.  STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE DURING
THIS TIME PERIOD.  DRY WEATHER IS FORECAST SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...
WITH THUNDERSTORMS FORECAST AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

STORM SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS LIKELY LATER THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS
EVENING. EMERGENCY MANAGERS AND STORM SPOTTERS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT
AND BE READY FOR ACTIVATION.

10

The office that day

Everything else NWS Hastings, NE issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 8, 3:36 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDPhillips, Rooks39 min
May 8, 4:10 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDOsborne50 min
May 8, 6:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDPhillips55 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kansas, 2003Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.