Alert archive / Nebraska / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2003

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 211, NWS Hastings, NE

July 6, 2003Buffalo County, Nebraska

NWS Hastings, NE issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 6, 2003, 10:00 PM CDT for Buffalo County, Nebraska. It was in force for 45 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jul 6, 2003, 10:00 PM CDT (03:00 UTC)
Expired: Jul 6, 2003, 10:45 PM CDT
In force: 45 min
Issued by: NWS Hastings, NE
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Buffalo County, NE

The radar

The Grand Island radar (KUEX), 86 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:00 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Jul 6, 6:40 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	5 hr

The nearest sounding before it

N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE (KLBF), launched 00:00Z, 3.0 hours before the alert went out and 134 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 1008 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -171 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 3376 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 28 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 21 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 50 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

618 
WUUS53 KGID 070300
SVRGID
NEC019-070345-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
959 PM CDT SUN JUL 6 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HASTINGS HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  BUFFALO COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA

* UNTIL 1045 PM CDT

* AT 955 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM OVER PLEASANTON...OR ABOUT 17 MILES NORTH OF
  KEARNEY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  POOLE AT 1015 PM CDT...
  RAVENNA AT 1035 PM CDT...

PEOPLE IN NORTHEASTERN BUFFALO COUNTY SHOULD SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY
STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER THREAT IS LARGE HAIL THE SIZE OF PENNIES.

LAT...LON 4096 9919 4103 9909 4104 9872 4093 9887
          4083 9902
$$
10

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Hastings, NE wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 6, 2:43 PM CDT, 7 hours 17 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 6, 2:43 PM CDT, 7 hours 17 minutes before

SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA/NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
243 PM CDT SUN JUL 6 2003

FRONTAL POSITION AND SUBSEQUENT TSTM POTENTIAL THE MAIN CONCERN

PATTERN REMAINED ACTIVE ACROSS THE CONUS WITH SEVERAL WAVES EMBEDDED
IN FLOW...THE STRONGEST OF SUCH REMAINING FAR NORTH ACROSS THE
CANADIAN PROVINCES.  MORNING UPPER AIR ANALYSIS FEATURED WARM MID
LEVEL TEMPS WITH LBF AND DDC AT 15C AT H7 WITH 13C AT OAX/TOP.  18Z
SFC ANALYSIS PLACED COOL FRONT THROUGH CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA AND INTO
THE NEBRASKA PANHANDLE.  PRESSURE RISES AVERAGED 1-2MB BEHIND THE
BOUNDARY.  TEMPERATURES HAVE REACHED THE 90S ACROSS THE CWA BUT
CONVECTIVE TEMPS AOA 100F AND SKIES STILL CLEAR AT THIS POINT.

FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL SAG A LITTLE FURTHER SOUTHEAST INTO WESTERN
CWA AFT MIDNIGHT.  DO NOT EXPECT MUCH IN THE WAY OF CONVECTION
ALTHOUGH A FEW TSTMS MAY REACH WESTERN AND NORTHERN CWA LATE TONIGHT
AND WILL MAINTAIN LOW POPS.

BETTER CHCS FOR TSTMS OCCURS MONDAY AFTN/NIGHT AS FRONTAL BOUNDARY
STALLS ACROSS SOUTHERN NEBRASKA AND MID LEVEL WAVE APPROACHES FM THE
CENTRAL ROCKIES.  AGAIN...TSTMS FAVOR LOCATIONS AHEAD OF BOUNDARY IN
NEBRASKA...WITH LESSER CHCS ACROSS KS.  AFTER CONVECTION MONDAY
NIGHT...SFC BOUNDARY BECOMES MORE DIFFUSE ACROSS THE CWA...WITH
DEEPER SFC LOW DEVELOPING ACROSS EASTERN MT.  ETA DRIES THINGS OUT
FOR THE CWA AND STRENGTHENS MID LEVEL CAP.  MEANWHILE GFS MAINTAINS
CONVECTION DURING THE DAY.  OVERALL AM LEANING TOWARD CONVECTION
ACROSS THE DAKOTAS DURING THIS TIME WITH POSSIBLY STORMS PROGRESSING
EAST/SOUTHEAST ON EASTERN EDGE OF CAP.  WILL NOT GO HIGHER THAN
SLGHT CHCS ACROSS NORTHERN AND EASTERN ZONES.

MODELS DIVERGE IN FRONTAL POSITION...STRENGTH OF RIDGE AND CAP ON
WEDNESDAY.  HAVE MAINTAINED PERSISTENCE OF HOLDING STRONGER CAP WITH
DRY AND WARM FORECAST THROUGH THIS PERIOD AND THE EXTENDED.

.GID...NONE.

FAY

Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 6, 9:52 PM CDT, 8 minutes before

KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087-071200-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
952 PM CDT SUN JUL 6 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND
PARTS OF NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THE THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTH
CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS TONIGHT.  THE
BEST THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL EXIST NORTH OF A LINE EXTENDING
FROM GENEVA IN FILLMORE COUNTY NEBRASKA TO PLAINVILLE IN ROOKS
COUNTY KANSAS.

A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONT ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA INTO
WESTERN KANSAS WILL CONTINUE TO HELP INITIATE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS
THE AREA THROUGH TONIGHT.  AN UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE ALONG WITH STRONG
WINDS ALOFT WILL HELP SOME OF THESE STORMS TO BECOME SEVERE.  THE
PRIMARY THREAT FROM THESE STORMS WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS ALTHOUGH AN ISOLATED TORNADO OR TWO WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE
GENERALLY EAST OF HIGHWAY 281 BUT NORTH OF THE KANSAS NEBRASKA STATE
LINE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

THE STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL BE FOCUS FOR SCATTERED STORMS
MONDAY AND TUESDAY ACROSS THE REGION...WITH COVERAGE MORE NUMEROUS IN
SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA. THERE IS AT LEAST A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE
WEATHER BOTH DAYS.

AFTER A BRIEF COOL DOWN EARLY THIS WEEK...THE HOT WEATHER RETURN AS
HIGH TEMPERATURES FLIRT WITH...OR TOP THE CENTURY MARK BY WEEKS END.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

STORM SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED TONIGHT NORTH OF A LINE
EXTENDING FROM GENEVA IN FILLMORE COUNTY NEBRASKA TO PLAINVILLE IN
ROOKS COUNTY KANSAS..

AWJ

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 6, 9:19 PM CDT, 41 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
919 PM CDT SUN JUL 06 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0915 PM    4 E BERTRAND              NE   .75 INCH HAIL
07/06/03   PHELPS                         REPORTED BY STORM
                                          SPOTTER.

Local storm report, Jul 6, 9:54 PM CDT, 6 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
954 PM CDT SUN JUL 06 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0925 PM    ODESSA                    NE   .75 INCH HAIL
07/06/03   BUFFALO                        REPORTED BY STORM
                                          SPOTTER.

Local storm report, Jul 6, 9:59 PM CDT, 1 minute before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
959 PM CDT SUN JUL 06 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0958 PM    7 SE FUNK                 NE   .75 INCH HAIL
07/06/03   PHELPS                         REPORTED BY LAW
                                          ENFORCEMENT OFFICIAL
                                          WHO RELAYED SPOTTER
                                          REPORT FROM WILCOX.
                                          SPOTTER WAS 0.5S AND
                                          0.5W OF WILCOX ALONG
                                          PHELPS AND KEARNEY
                                          COUNTY LINE.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Hastings, NE issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 6, 8:13 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Harlan	62 min
Jul 6, 9:04 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Phelps	41 min
Jul 6, 9:06 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Gosper	39 min
Jul 6, 9:22 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Buffalo	38 min
Jul 6, 9:57 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Kearney	48 min
Jul 6, 10:19 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Howard	56 min
Jul 6, 10:33 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Franklin	42 min
Jul 6, 10:35 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Adams	55 min
Jul 6, 10:41 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Webster	64 min
Jul 6, 10:44 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Kearney	61 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Nebraska, 2003 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.