Alert archive / Nebraska / Flash Flood Warnings in 2003

Flash Flood Warning 10, NWS Hastings, NE

September 10, 2003Fillmore County, Thayer County, Nebraska

NWS Hastings, NE issued this flash flood warning at Sep 10, 2003, 10:45 PM CDT for Fillmore County, Thayer County, Nebraska. It was in force for 3 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Sep 10, 2003, 10:45 PM CDT (03:45 UTC)
Expired
Sep 11, 2003, 1:45 AM CDT
In force
3 hr
Issued by
NWS Hastings, NE
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

Counties Fillmore County, NE, Thayer County, NE

The radar

The Grand Island radar (KUEX), 68 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:44 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this flash flood warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Omaha, NE (KOAX), launched 00:00Z, 3.8 hours before the alert went out and 148 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Omaha, NE at 00:00Z on 2003-09-11Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 878 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Omaha, NE at 00:00Z on 2003-09-11The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 113 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
878 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-57 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1375 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
29 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
113 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
143 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.3
Supercell composite
2.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WGUS53 KGID 110345
FFWGID
NEC059-169-110645-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
1045 PM CDT WED SEP 10 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HASTINGS HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  FILLMORE COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA
  THAYER COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA

* UNTIL 145 AM CDT

* AT 1045 PM CDT...WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED HEAVY RAINFALL WITH 
  NUMEROUS ROADS FLOODED ACROSS FILLMORE AND THAYER COUNTIES.

RADAR ESTIMATES THAT UP TO 6 TO 8 INCHES OF RAINFALL HAS FALLEN 
ACROSS SECTIONS OF FILLMORE AND THAYER COUNTIES THIS EVENING.  
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL ONLY CONTINUE FLASH FLOODING PROBLEMS.

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM THIS STORM WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING OF SMALL 
CREEKS AND STREAMS...ROADS AND UNDERPASSES.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODS AND FLASH FLOODS. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT
QUICKLY. MOVE UP TO HIGHER GROUND TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY
IN AREAS SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.

LAT...LON 4066 9782 4003 9780 4002 9741 4065 9736
$$
AWJ
1 follow-up statement
000 
WGUS73 KGID 110544
FFSGID
NEC059-169-110645-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
1243 AM CDT THU SEP 11 2003

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 145 AM CDT FOR PEOPLE IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES.

IN SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA
     FILLMORE AND THAYER

AT 1228 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE HEAVY RAINFALL 
ACROSS THAYER AND FILLMORE COUNTIES.  RADAR ALSO INDICATES RAINFALL 
AMOUNTS UP TO 6 TO 8 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF THESE COUNTIES HAS 
FALLEN SINCE THIS PAST EVENING. WITH ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ALREADY 
FLOODED STREAMS AND RIVERS WILL CONTINUE TO POSE A THREAT THROUGH 
THE EARLY MORNING HOURS.

NUMEROUS ROADS AND HIGHWAYS ACROSS BOTH COUNTIES HAVE BEEN REPORTED 
WITH WATER OVER THEM.  EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM THIS STORM WILL CAUSE 
FLASH FLOODING OF SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS...ROADS AND UNDERPASSES.  
HIGH WATER LEVELS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE LITTLE BLUE AND BIG BLUE 
RIVERS AS WELL AS TURKEY CREEK AND BIG SANDY CREEKS.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODS AND FLASH FLOODS. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED...
MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY

TO REPORT FLOODING HAVE THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY RELAY YOUR
REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN HASTINGS.

LAT...LON 4006 9779 4004 9739 4062 9739 4069 9777
$$

AWJ

NNNN

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Hastings, NE wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Sep 10, 8:27 PM CDT, 2 hours 18 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 10, 8:27 PM CDT, 2 hours 18 minutes before
SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA/NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
827 PM CDT WED SEP 10 2003

BASED OFF OF LATEST RADAR AND SURFACE REPORTS OF 2-3 INCH RAINFALL
AMOUNTS ALREADY PRESENT OVER YORK...CLAY...FILLMORE...NUCKOLLS AND
THAYER COUNTIES IN NEBRASKA AS WELL AS SMITH...JEWELL...OSBORNE AND
MITCHELL COUNTIES IN KANSAS...WENT AHEAD AND ISSUED FLOOD WATCH
UNTIL 6 AM.  UPDATED FORECAST TO MENTION NEW SEVERE WATCH AS WELL.
NO OTHER CHANGES MADE AT THIS TIME.

.GID...FLOOD WATCH SOUTHEAST OF A LINE EXTENDING FROM YORK
       TO KENSINGTON.

AWJ
Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 10, 7:17 PM CDT, 3 hours 28 minutes before
KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087-111200-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
717 PM CDT WED SEP 10 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND
PARTS OF NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL CONTINUE ACROSS ALL OF SOUTH
CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS THROUGH TONIGHT.  TWO MAIN
AREAS OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO EVOLVE ACROSS THE OUTLOOK
AREA OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.  THE FIRST LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS
EAST OF A LINE EXTENDING FROM CENTRAL CITY IN MERRICK COUNTY NEBRASKA
TO PHILLIPSBURG IN PHILLIPS COUNTY KANSAS...WILL CONTINUE TO SLIDE
EAST THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS.  LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND
FLASH FLOODING WILL REMAIN THE BIGGEST THREAT WITH THIS LINE OF
STORMS ALTHOUGH ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE
NEXT FEW HOURS.

AS A STRONG COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE AREA THIS EVENING A SECOND LINE
OF THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TO EVOLVE OVER THE NORTHWESTERN HALF OF
THE OUTLOOK AREA. THIS LINE WILL PUSH RAPIDLY EAST ACROSS SOUTH
CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS BEFORE EXITING THE AREA
DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL AND SOME
FLASH FLOODING WILL POSE THE BIGGEST THREAT WITH THESE STORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THUNDERSTORMS WILL LINGER ALONG THE COLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY THURSDAY...
MAINLY EAST OF HIGHWAY 14...HOWEVER CHANCES DIMINISH BEHIND THE FRONT
BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. DRY AND COOL WEATHER IS FORECAST THROUGH THE
WEEKEND...BEFORE A SLOW WARMING TREND NEXT WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

STORM SPOTTERS WILL BE NEEDED THROUGH THE EVENING AND EARLY
OVERNIGHT HOURS ACROSS ALL OF THE OUTLOOK AREA.

AWJ

In the hours before

Local storm report, Sep 10, 8:31 PM CDT, 2 hours 14 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
831 PM CDT WED SEP 10 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0655 PM    SHICKLEY                  NE   .75 INCH HAIL
09/10/03   FILLMORE

0707 PM    4 N BURR OAK              KS   65 MPH TSTM GUST
09/10/03   JEWELL                         REPORTED BY STORM
                                          SPOTTER.

0724 PM    CARLETON                  NE   60 MPH TSTM GUST
09/10/03   THAYER                         REPORTED BY LAW
                                          ENFORCEMENT OFFICIAL.
Local storm report, Sep 10, 8:58 PM CDT, 1 hour 47 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
858 PM CDT WED SEP 10 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0845 PM    GLEN ELDER                KS   80 MPH TSTM GUST
09/10/03   MITCHELL                       REPORTED BY LAW
                                          ENFORCEMENT
                                          OFFICIAL...MANY TREE
                                          LIMBS DOWN AROUND TOWN.
Special weather statement, Sep 10, 9:14 PM CDT, 1 hour 31 minutes before
KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087-110500-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
914 PM CDT WED SEP 10 2003

...HEAVY RAIN OVERNIGHT...

WIDESPREAD RAIN AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT AS
THUNDERSTORMS TRAIN ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND NORTH CENTRAL
KANSAS.  THE STORMS HAVE DEVELOPED AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT AND UPPER
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WHICH WILL GRADUALLY PUSH EAST TONIGHT.

A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM FOR YORK...CLAY...FILLMORE...
NUCKOLLS AND THAYER COUNTIES IN NEBRASKA...AND FOR SMITH...JEWELL...
OSBORNE...AND MITCHELL COUNTIES IN KANSAS.  RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO
4 INCHES HAVE BEEN REPORTED IN FILLMORE AND THAYER COUNTIES AS OF 9
PM.

THE SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE TO EXPAND ACROSS
SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS OVERNIGHT.
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT.  THE
RECENT DRY CONDITIONS SHOULD PRECLUDE WIDESPREAD FLOODING OUTSIDE OF
THE FLOOD WATCH AREA.  HOWEVER...DITCHES...CREEKS AND
STREAMS WILL FILL RAPIDLY...AND CONSIDERABLE LOW LAND AND URBAN
FLOODING IS POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT.

PEOPLE LIVING IN LOW LYING AREAS SHOULD MONITORED THE WATER
SITUATION AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED.
MOTORISTS SHOULD BE EXTRA CAUTIOUS ON AREA ROADWAYS...AND BE ON THE
LOOKOUT FOR WATER PONDING OR FLOWING OVER THE ROAD.

THE RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO END FROM WEST TO EAST AROUND DAYBREAK
THURSDAY.

FAY/T
Local storm report, Sep 10, 9:48 PM CDT, 57 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
948 PM CDT WED SEP 10 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0940 PM    4 S GENEVA                NE   FLOOD
09/10/03   FILLMORE                       COUNTY DEPUTIES HAVE
                                          BLOCKED HWY 81 DUE TO
                                          WATER OVER THE ROAD.
                                          REPORTED BY EMERGENCY
                                          MANAGEMENT.
Local storm report, Sep 10, 10:10 PM CDT, 35 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
1010 PM CDT WED SEP 10 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

1000 PM    2 SW CARLETON             NE   FLOOD
09/10/03   THAYER                         RAINFALL MEASURES OVER
                                          5 INCHES.  WATER OVER
                                          RURAL ROADS. REPORTED
                                          BY COOPERATIVE OBSERVER.
Local storm report, Sep 10, 10:19 PM CDT, 26 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
1019 PM CDT WED SEP 10 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

1000 PM    6 S BELOIT                KS   FLOOD
09/10/03   MITCHELL                       WATER COVERING KS
                                          HIGHWAY 14 AND THE
                                          WATER OVER THE HIGHWAY
                                          EXTENDS FOR SEVERAL
                                          MILES.  A BRIDGE MAY BE
                                          WASHED OUT. REPORTED
                                          BY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Hastings, NE issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 10, 7:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDFillmore, Nuckolls65 min
Sep 10, 7:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDThayer66 min
Sep 10, 7:53 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningGIDFillmore, Thayer3 hr
Sep 10, 9:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDThayer55 min
Sep 10, 10:17 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningGIDSherman3 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Nebraska, 2003Every flash flood warning in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.