Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2003

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 138, NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

July 23, 2003Real County, Texas

NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 23, 2003, 3:18 PM CDT for Real County, Texas. It was in force for 57 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jul 23, 2003, 3:18 PM CDT (20:18 UTC)
Expired: Jul 23, 2003, 4:15 PM CDT
In force: 57 min
Issued by: NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Real County, TX

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Del Rio, TX (KDRT), launched 12:00Z, 8.3 hours before the alert went out and 108 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 3092 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -47 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 751 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 15 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: -37 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 38 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

255 
WUUS54 KEWX 232018
SVRSAT
TXC385-232115-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
315 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AUSTIN SAN ANTONIO HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN TEXAS...
  REAL

* UNTIL 415 PM CDT

* AT 315 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 25 MILES NORTH OF LEAKEY...MOVING SOUTHWEST AT
  25 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE...
  IN WEST CENTRAL REAL COUNTY AT 330 PM

EXPECT POSSIBLE DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL AND BRIEF VERY HEAVY 
RAIN WITH THIS LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.  

LAT...LON 2987 10000 2966 10001 2967 9974 2985 9969
          3006 9973 3007 9994

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 23, 2:15 PM CDT, 1 hour 3 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 23, 2:15 PM CDT, 1 hour 3 minutes before

SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
215 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2003

OUTFLOW BNDRY EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING S AND SW ACROSS SOUTH
CNTRL TEXAS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND IN THE EVENING HOURS HAS
POTENTIAL TO TRIGGER SCT SHRA/TSRA THRU THE EVE HOURS.  WILL
SHOW CHC OF SHRA/TSRA IN THE EVE OVR PARTS OF S CNTRL TX...WITH
LIMITED TO NIL CHC OF SHRA OVER FAR NE PART OF CWA...OR PARTS OF
CNTRL TX...IN WAKE OF BOUNDARY.  FURTHER WEST TOWARD RIO GRANDE
WILL KEEP CHC OF SHRA THRU 12Z.

THE THURSDAY WEATHER PATTERN SHOWS MORE STABLE CONDITIONS OVER
MOST OF S CNTRL TX...EXCPET FOR THE SE PART OF THE AREA...WHERE
SOME MARGINAL INSTABILITY LINGERS...AND IN THE LATE AFTN TO EARLY
EVENING ALONG RIO GRANDE...WHERE MONSOON SUMMER AFFECTS TO THE
WEST MAY DRIFT FAR ENOUGH EAST.

FOR FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...AVERAGE OF FCSTS IN TIME SHOW RIDGE
ALOFT GETTING STRONGER OVER S CNTRL TX...EXCEPT FOR EAST TO SE PART
OF THE AREA WHERE SLGT CHC OF SHRA LINGERS.

ON SUNDAY...MEDIUM RANGE FORECASTS CONT TO SHOW WEAKNESS IN HEIGHT
FIELD VCNTY 700 TO 300 HPA EVOLVING OVER EAST HALF OF CWA...AS
SUBTLE WX SYS ALOFT PASSES TO THE SOUTH AND THEN SW OF CWA.
THIS PATTERN LINGERS INTO MONDAY...SO WILL SHOW SLGT CHC OF SHRA
OVER EAST HALF OF AREA SUNDAY AND MONDAY.  THE TUESDAY FORECASTS
SHOW MODERATE LATE JULY RIDGE ALOFT OVER THE AREA...THAT CONTINUES
ON WEDNESDAY...WITH SIGNS OF WEAKENING POSSIBLY FROM THE EAST
AND NORTHEAST.  COMPOSITE FORECATS IN TIME SHOW LIMITING CHC OF
RAIN TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...SO FOR NOW WILL LEAVE OUT CHC OF
RAIN TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...EXCPET FOR FAR SE PART OF CWA ON
WEDNESDAY...WHERE SOME SEABREEZE/MESO SCALE INTERACTIONS MAY
CAUSE ISOLD SHRA.

AFTN HIGHS CONTINUE TO LOOK LIMITING FOR A LATE JULY SETTING SO
WILL ADJUST THEM TO FIT THE JULY 2003 WEATHER PATTERNS.

PRELIMS...
AUS 070 095 072 096 072 00000
DRT 073 095 076 097 078 31200
SAT 073 091 075 092 076 30000

.EWX...NONE.

08/01/13/PM

Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 23, 2:15 PM CDT, 1 hour 3 minutes before

TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-241100-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
215 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY...
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. THE THREAT AREA IS ALONG AND WEST OF A LINE FROM PLEASANTON
TO SAN ANTONIO TO BURNET.  THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL
TO PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 23, 2:46 PM CDT, 32 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO, TX
246 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0145 PM    2 W BLANCO                TX     TSTM WIND GUST
07/23/03   BLANCO                          NUMEROUS TREE LIMBS DOWN
                                           AND A ROOF WAS BLOWN OFF OF
                                           A BARN ON FM1888 REPORTED
                                           BY LAW ENFORCEMENT

PM

The office that day

Everything else NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 23, 11:24 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EWX	Lee	51 min
Jul 23, 12:05 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EWX	Bastrop	40 min
Jul 23, 1:26 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EWX	Blanco	64 min
Jul 23, 2:03 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EWX	Gillespie	57 min
Jul 23, 2:39 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EWX	Kendall	51 min
Jul 23, 3:09 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EWX	Bandera	66 min
Jul 23, 4:44 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	EWX	Val Verde	2 hr
Jul 23, 4:51 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EWX	Kinney, Uvalde	54 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Texas, 2003 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.