Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2003

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 133, NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

July 23, 2003Bastrop County, Texas

NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 23, 2003, 12:05 PM CDT for Bastrop County, Texas. It was in force for 40 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 23, 2003, 12:05 PM CDT (17:05 UTC)
Expired
Jul 23, 2003, 12:45 PM CDT
In force
40 min
Issued by
NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Bastrop County, TX

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Corpus Christi, TX (KCRP), launched 12:00Z, 5.1 hours before the alert went out and 272 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Corpus Christi, TX at 12:00Z on 2003-07-23Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2698 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Corpus Christi, TX at 12:00Z on 2003-07-23The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -72 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2698 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-2 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
602 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
17 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-72 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
55 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
-0.4
Supercell composite
-2.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

375 
WUUS54 KEWX 231705
SVRSAT
TXC021-231745-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1205 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AUSTIN SAN ANTONIO HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN TEXAS...
  BASTROP

* UNTIL 1245 PM CDT

* AT 1205 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 15 MILES NORTHEAST OF CIRCLE D-KC ESTATES...OR
  ABOUT 7 MILES SOUTHWEST OF LEXINGTON...MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 20 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE...
  OVER CIRCLE D-KC ESTATES AT 1235 PM
  3 MILES NORTHEAST OF BASTROP AT 1240 PM

LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS SEVERE 
THUNDERSTORM. IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THE STORM...PUT YOUR CAR IN 
A GARAGE AND MOVE TO A SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER.


LAT...LON 3037 9735 3026 9713 3010 9710 2986 9732
          3009 9754

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 23, 12:05 PM CDT, 0 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 23, 12:05 PM CDT, 0 minutes before
SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1205 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2003

OUTFLOW BNDRY FROM NORTH AND NORTHEAST CONTINUES TO MOVE SOUTH AND
SOUTHWEST...CAUSING AN INCREASING CHC OF RAIN FROM SHRA AND TSRA.
INCREASED CHC OF RAIN IN 1205 PM ZONE FORECAST UPDATE...AND CONTD
SOME PSBLY SVR EAST PART OF CWA FOR THE AFTN AND PSBLY PART OF EARLY
EVE.

THURSDAY WEATHER PATTERN CONTINUES TO SHOW HIGH ALOFT BUILDING OVER
AREA FROM THE WEST AND NORTHWEST...WITH SOME MARGINAL INSTABILITY
OVER THE EAST PART OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.  WILL CONT TO SHOW A SLGT
CHANCE OF SHRA/TSRA FOR EAST AND SOUTHEAST PART OF SOUTH CENTRAL
TEXAS FOR THURSDAY.   08/01/WR

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
NEW MESO ETA INDICATES WEAK FRONT WILL REMAIN NORTH OF CWA AND THEN
DISSIPATE.  FOCUS FOR PRECIP WILL BE MCS AND ATTENDANT OUTFLOW
BOUNDARIES MOVING DOWN FROM NE TEXAS.  WILL MAINTAIN POPS AS
PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED.

MESO ETA AND GFS HAVE WEAK FRONT SAGGING SOUTH INTO NE CWA BY NOON
AND INTO CENTRAL ZONES BY LATE AFTERNOON.  FRONT BECOMES DIFFUSE
TONIGHT.  WILL GO WITH SPC OUTLOOK AND INCLUDE SOME SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE EAST AND CENTRAL THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
WITH DOWN BURST WINDS THE MAIN THREAT.  POPS LIMITED TO SEA BREEZE
ACTIVITY MAINLY SE THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.  TEMPS A BIT COOLER
MAINLY NORTH NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WITH VALUES CLOSE TO MAV GUIDANCE.
BACK TO NEAR SEASONAL NORMALS FRIDAY.

PRELIMS...
AUS 090 069 095 070 6100
DRT 097 074 098 076 2200
SAT 091 073 094 074 5100

.EWX...NONE.

3/6
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 23, 5:22 AM CDT, 6 hours 43 minutes before
TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-241100-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
522 AM CDT WED JUL 23 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. THE THREAT AREA IS ALONG AND
EAST OF A LINE FROM  CUERO TO SAN ANTONIO TO  LBJ STATE PARK TO
GRANGER LAKE.  THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE
DAMAGING WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 23, 11:24 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXLee51 min
Jul 23, 1:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXBlanco64 min
Jul 23, 2:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXGillespie57 min
Jul 23, 2:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXKendall51 min
Jul 23, 3:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXBandera66 min
Jul 23, 3:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXReal57 min
Jul 23, 4:44 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXVal Verde2 hr
Jul 23, 4:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXKinney, Uvalde54 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Texas, 2003Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.