Flash Flood Warning 3, NWS Corpus Christi, TX

000 
WGUS74 KCRP 101759
FFSCRP
TXC007-273-355-409-102015-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1255 PM CDT TUE JUN 10 2003

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR ARANSAS...EASTERN 
KLEBERG...EASTERN NUECES...SOUTH CENTRAL REFUGIO...AND 
SOUTHEASTERN SAN PATRICIO COUNTIES UNTIL 315 PM.  

AT 1250 PM CDT...DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR INDICATED AN AREA OF SHOWERS 
AND THUNDERSTORMS EAST OF A LINE FROM ROCKPORT TO DRISCOLL TO 
RIVIERA.  THIS AREA SHOWED LITTLE MOVEMENT DURING THE PAST HOUR.  
INDIVIDUAL THUNDERSTORMS WERE MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.  
THE AREA OF TORRENTIAL RAIN IS SLOWLY DIMINISHING...BUT RAINFALL 
WITH THIS ACTIVITY COULD APPROACH 1 TO 2 ADDITIONAL INCHES THIS 
AFTERNOON.  

FLOODING WAS REPORTED OVER MANY ROADS IN THE CORPUS CHRISTI 
METROPOLITAN AREA.  NUMEROUS INTERSECTIONS AND ACCESS ROADS AND 
RAMPS TO SOUTH PADRE ISLAND DRIVE WILL LIKELY REMAIN SUSCEPTIBLE TO 
FLOODING AS RUNOFF FROM THE HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE.   

MOTORISTS ARE URGED TO EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION AND IF POSSIBLE 
AVOID TRAVEL EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.  

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL RADIO...OR TELEVISION  
FOR THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION.

$$

AP

000 
WGUS74 KCRP 101831
FFSCRP
TXC007-391-101930-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
125 PM CDT TUE JUN 10 2003

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR SOUTH CENTRAL REFUGIO AND ARANSAS     
   COUNTIES HAS BEEN CANCELLED...

AT 120 PM...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SHRINKING AREA SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUING OVER THE COASTAL BEND.  THE TORRENTIAL 
RAINFALL WITH THIS AREA HAS SHIFTED SOUTH OF REFUGIO AND ARANSAS 
COUNTIES.  SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER 
THESE AREAS THROUGH MID AFTERNOON.  HOWEVER...PROLONGED HEAVY RAIN 
IS NOT EXPECTED.  THEREFORE...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN 
CANCELLED FOR THOSE COUNTIES.  

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL RADIO...OR TELEVISION  
FOR THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION.

$$

AP

000 
WGUS74 KCRP 102004
FFSCRP
TXC273-355-409-102100-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
305 PM CDT TUE JUN 10 2003

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR SOUTHEAST SAN PATRICIO...EASTERN 
NUECES...EASTERN KLEBERG COUNTIES IS BEING ALLOWED TO EXPIRE...

AT 255 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A 
DIMINISHING AREA OF SHOWERS OVER THE COASTAL BEND.  MOST OF THE 
ACTIVITY WAS SOUTHEAST OF A LINE FROM PORTLAND TO KINGSVILLE.  
LITTLE MOVEMENT WAS NOTED.  

ALTHOUGH A CHANCE OF RAIN WILL CONTINUE OVER THE COASTAL BEND FOR 
THE NEXT FEW HOURS...HEAVY RAIN IS NOT EXPECTED.  THEREFORE...THE 
FLASH FLOOD WARNING THAT WAS IN EFFECT FOR THE AFOREMENTIONED 
COUNTIES HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 315 PM.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL RADIO...OR TELEVISION  
FOR THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION.

$$

AP

COASTAL BEND FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1105 AM CDT TUE JUN 10 2003

UPDATE...
SFC ANALYSIS DEWPOINTS IN THE UPPER 70S ALONG THE COASTAL BEND THIS
MORNING AND 12Z SOUNDINGS CONFIRM A HIGH MOISTURE/UNSTABLE
ENVIRONMENT WITH PWATS PUSHING 2 INCHES. RUC ANALYSIS/WV IMAGERY
SHOW A S/WV ACROSS THE HILL COUNTRY SOUTH TO THE RIO GRANDE PLAINS
MVG EAST ALONG THE LEADING EDGE OF A WEAK 70 KNOT JET NOSING ACROSS
NRN MEX INTO S TX. RADAR LOOKS AS YOU WOULD EXPECT GIVEN THIS
SCENARIO W/ SCT RW/TRWS ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION...AND NOT SURE WHY
MODELS (INCLUDING THE LATEST 12Z RUNS) ARE NOT HANDLING RAINFALL
PROSPECTS WELL TDY. THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX MVG INTO WRN ZONES HAS
WEAKENED AFTER PRODUCING SOME MESOS AND BOWS EARLIER THIS MORNING
BUT STILL PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL. STORM TOTALS HAVE EXCEEDED 2
INCHES ACROSS MUCH OF WEB AND LASALLE COUNTIES AND RADAR INDICATES
ISOLATED 4 INCH TOTALS IN LASALLE COUNTY.

OUTFLOW FM EARLIER STORMS OUT WEST WILL PUSH EAST AND TOWARDS THE
COAST. I THINK THIS WILL DISRUPT ANY SEA BREEZE FORMATION...CAUSING
INCREASED MOISTURE CONVERGENCE ALONG THE COAST. EARLIER UPDATES
INCREASED POPS...BUT MAY NEED TO BUMP UP THE COASTAL BEND FURTHER.
WRN ZONES SHOULD SEE IMPROVEMENT BY EARLY AFTN AS THE S/WV CLEARS TO
THE EAST AND WILL INDICATE THOSE TRENDS. WILL HAVE TO TAKE A LOOK AT
TEMPS W/ ALL THE CLOUDS AND RAIN IN THE AREA. MAIN THREAT FROM TSTMS
TODAY WILL CONTINUE TO BE HEAVY RAINFALL.

.CRP...NONE.

MJG-88/SHORT-TERM
TMT-89/LONG-TERM

TXZ229>234-239>244-246-247-102200-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1155 AM CDT TUE JUN 10 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT WILL CONTINUE TO SHIFT FROM THE RIO GRANDE
PLAINS EAST TO THE COASTAL BEND. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE THE MAIN
THREAT FROM STORMS THIS AFTERNOON AS ACTIVITY TENDS TO TRAIN OVER
THE SAME AREAS MAINLY ALONG THE COASTAL BEND. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE LIKELY ACROSS THE COASTAL BEND AND
ISOLATED TOTALS MAY APPROACH 4 INCHES. IN ADDITION TO HEAVY RAINFALL
STORMS WILL PRODUCE OCCASIONAL DANGEROUS LIGHTNING STRIKES AND WINDS
GUSTING TO 30 TO 40 MPH AT TIMES. FUNNEL CLOUDS HAVE BEEN REPORTED
ACROSS THE COASTAL BEND THIS MORNING...HOWEVER THESE ARE TROPICAL
FUNNELS AND THE ATMOSPHERE IS NOT CONDUCIVE FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

MOSTLY A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL EXIST
THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING AND AGAIN FRIDAY NIGHT. SOME OF STORMS MAY
CONTAIN BRIEF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL...BRIEF GUSTY WINDS AND
OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING FRIDAY NIGHT...AS AN ORGANIZED AREA OF
CONVECTION MOVES SOUTHEAST FROM THE HILL COUNTRY. THE CHANCE FOR
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE AGAIN EARLY NEXT WEEK ALONG
THE SEABREEZE BOUNDARY.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY THROUGH
FRIDAY ACROSS ALL THE WATERS DUE TO A THERMAL LOW ACROSS WEST
TEXAS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED...HOWEVER PLEASE REPORT ANY
AREAS OF FLOODING OR RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN EXCESS OF THREE INCHES.

MJG