Alert archive / New York / Special Marine Warnings in 2003

Special Marine Warning 35, NWS Buffalo, NY

June 8, 2003

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this special marine warning at Jun 8, 2003, 7:54 PM EDT. It was in force for 36 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jun 8, 2003, 7:54 PM EDT (23:54 UTC)
Expired
Jun 8, 2003, 8:30 PM EDT
In force
36 min
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY
Area
Whole counties

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special marine warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special marine warning went out at Jun 8, 5:45 PM EDT, 2 hours 9 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 8, 5:45 PM EDT, 2 hours 9 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
545 PM EDT SUN JUN 8 2003

AMPLE SUNSHINE OVER THE GENESEE VALLEY AND WESTERN FINGER LAKES
REGION HAS BOOSTED SFC TEMPS INTO THE LOWER 80S...WHILE SOME SITES
ARE SHOWING TDS IN THE MID 60S. THIS HAS PUMPED OBSERVED CAPE VALUES
IN EXCESS OF 1000 J/KG FOR THAT REGION...WHILE VALUES OF 400-800 J/KG
REMAIN MORE TYPICAL FOR THE IAG FRONTIER AND WRN SOUTHERN TIER.

BOTH MSAS AND LAPS DISPLAYS ARE SHOWING AN INCREASE IN MOISTURE
CONVERGENCE ACROSS CHAUTAUQUA AND CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES...WHICH MAKES
SENSE GIVEN THE SE SFC FLOW AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING SWATH OF -SHRA
AND -TSRA THAT STRETCHES FROM SRN ONTARIO...CENT LAKE ERIE AND EASTRN
OHIO.

LDS SHOWS LITTLE IN THE WAY OF CONCENTRATED NEG STRIKES WITH THE
APPROACHING PCPN...ALTHOUGH MORE ORGANIZED CONVECTION OVER SE OHIO
DOES SHOW MORE IMPRESSIVE NEG STRIKES. CONCENTRATED NEG STRIKES ARE
TYPICAL IN AREAS OF STRONG UPDRAFTS.

AGAIN...AIRMASS IS UNSTABLE...BUT NOT AS WORRISOME AS ORIGINALLY
EXPECTED. WILL STILL HAVE TO KEEP A CLOSE EYE ON THIS ACTIVITY AS
STRONGER UPPER LEVEL DYNAMICS ARE NOW COMING INTO PLAY. SE SFC FLOW
IS STILL IN PLACE...WITH BUF VWP SHOWING STRONGLY BACKING WINDS IN
LOWEST 2K.

.BUF...NONE.

RSH
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 8, 4:25 AM EDT, 15 hours 29 minutes before
NYZ001>008-010>014-019>021-085-080830-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
425 AM EDT SUN JUN 8 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW
YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY

A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE AREA TODAY WILL MOVE EAST. LOW
PRESSURE APPROACHING FROM THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WILL BRING
THE LIKELIHOOD OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SPREADING WEST TO EAST
ACROSS THE AREA LATE TODAY AND TONIGHT. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE
THAT THE THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP ACROSS THE WESTERN SECTIONS OF
THE AREA...INCLUDING THE NIAGARA FRONTIER, WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER AND
THE GENESEE VALLEY...COULD BECOME SEVERE AND PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS.
THE THREAT WILL DECREASE AFTER SUNSET AND SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT
EXPECTED OVER THE EASTERN SECTIONS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED ACROSS THE EXTREME WESTERN
SECTIONS OF NEW YORK.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 8, 7:34 PM EDT, 20 minutes before
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The office that day

Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 8, 5:51 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningBUF84 min
Jun 8, 5:51 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningBUF84 min
Jun 8, 5:51 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningBUF24 min
Jun 8, 5:51 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningBUF24 min
Jun 8, 6:00 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningBUF75 min
Jun 8, 6:00 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningBUF75 min
Jun 8, 6:00 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningBUF75 min
Jun 8, 6:30 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningBUF90 min
Jun 8, 6:30 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningBUF90 min
Jun 8, 6:50 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUFChautauqua40 min
Jun 8, 7:29 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUFChautauqua31 min
Jun 8, 7:54 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningBUF36 min
Jun 8, 7:59 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUFErie31 min

Nearby

Special Marine Warnings in New York, 2003Every special marine warning in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.