Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2003
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 38, NWS Brownsville, TX
NWS Brownsville, TX issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 14, 2003, 3:10 AM CDT for Jim Hogg County, Starr County, Zapata County, Texas. It was in force for 40 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 14, 2003, 3:10 AM CDT (08:10 UTC)
- Expired
- Jun 14, 2003, 3:50 AM CDT
- In force
- 40 min
- Issued by
- NWS Brownsville, TX
- Area
- Counties, with a storm outline in the text
Counties Jim Hogg County, TX, Starr County, TX, Zapata County, TX
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The nearest sounding before it
Brownsville Intl, TX (KBRO), launched 00:00Z, 8.2 hours before the alert went out and 183 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 2815 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -105 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1001 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 27 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 23 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 99 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.2
- Supercell composite
- 1.8
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
702 WUUS54 KBRO 140810 SVRBRO TXC247-427-505-140850- BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX 308 AM CDT SAT JUN 14 2003 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BROWNSVILLE HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... WESTERN STARR COUNTY IN DEEP SOUTH TEXAS SOUTHEASTERN ZAPATA COUNTY IN DEEP SOUTH TEXAS SOUTHWESTERN JIM HOGG COUNTY IN DEEP SOUTH TEXAS * UNTIL 350 AM CDT * AT 309 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 10 MILES EAST OF ZAPATA TO FALCON DAM...AND MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH. * THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR... GUERRA BY 335 AM CDT. EL SAUZ BY 340 AM CDT. RIO GRANDE CITY BY 350 AM CDT. THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING BUT AWAY FROM WINDOWS. LAT...LON 2702 9920 2649 9921 2631 9866 2684 9864 $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Brownsville, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 13, 9:10 PM CDT, 6 hours earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jun 13, 9:10 PM CDT, 6 hours before
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX 910 PM CDT FRI JUN 13 2003 SHORT TERM...WV IMAGERY SHOWS VORT LOBE APPROACHING FROM WEST TX. THIS IS HELPING TO GENERATE IMPRESSIVE LINE OF CONVECTION TO THE NW OF THE CWA. GFS SEEMS TO HAVE THE BEST HANDLE ON THIS SYS. BELIEVE H5 DYNAMICS ARE A BIT STRONGER THAN GFS INDICATES. WILL BEEF UP POPS OVER THE NWRN CWA. WILL ADD LOCALLY SEVERE WORDING TO FIRST PERIOD. GFS PICKS UP ON SIERRA MADRE RAIN SHADOW...BUT MCS MAY BECOME STRONG ENOUGH TO OVERSPREAD THE ENTIRE LRGV. FOR NOW WILL LEAVE OUT POPS OVER THE LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY DUE TO THE RAIN SHADOW. BELIEVE PATTERN CHANGE OF H5 TROF DIGGING IN TO TX IS BEGINNING TO GET UNDERWAY...IN ACCORDANCE WITH MODEL GUIDANCE CONSENSUS. BEST CHANCES DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS FOR CONVECTION WILL BE OUT WEST WITH HIGHER PM CAPES. TEMP GRIDS LOOK GOOD. HAVE TWEAKED POPS TO MORE CLOSELY ALIGN WITH DIURNAL HEATING AND LOWERED POPS SUN WITH H5 LOW/SFC BNDRY PROGGED BY GFS TO THE N OF THE CWA. MESOETA HAS BEEN TOO AGGRESSIVE OF LATE IN DEVELOPING CONVECTIVE SYSTEMS SO WILL DISREGARD NW FLOW SOLUTION FOR SUN PM. IF MODELS CONVERGE TO THIS SOLUTION IN LATER RUNS WILL HAVE TO UPDATE ZFP ACCORDINGLY. LONG TERM...WILL TAPER POPS OFF BEGINNING WED AS GFS PROGS H5 TROF TO LIFT OUT TO THE NE. MARINE...SURFACE RIDGE OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO COMBINED WITH A THERMAL TROUGH OVER WEST TEXAS WILL MAINTAIN MODERATE TO STRONG ONSHORE FLOW THROUGH THE WEEKEND. AMPLIFYING UPPER LEVEL JET EARLY NEXT WEEK WILL PLACE A TROUGH OVER SOUTHEAST TEXAS WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH MIDWEEK. AVIATION...MVR WITH CEILINGS LOWERING WITH MOISTURE POOLING TO THE S OF MCS NEAR NWRN CWA. BEST CHANCES OF SHRA/TSRA WILL BE AT MFE... WILL HOLD OFF IN PLACING IN TAF AS SOUTHWARD PROGRESS OF MCS HAS SLOWED TO THE S OF LRD. PRELIMINARY NUMBERS FOR COORDINATION PURPOSES ONLY... BRO BB 081/093 081/093 081 00/10/10/00/00 HRL BB 081/095 081/095 081 00/10/10/00/00 MFE BB 080/098 080/098 080 20/10/10/00/00 RGC BB 077/103 077/103 077 50/20/20/00/30 SPI BB 082/092 082/092 082 00/10/10/00/00 SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...MCELROY/STRAUB AVIATION/MARINE...VANSPEYBROECK MESO...MARTINEZ .BRO...NONE. THIS PRODUCT IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON OUR INTERNET WEB PAGE AT: HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/BRO
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 13, 9:30 PM CDT, 5 hours 40 minutes before
TXZ248>257-141100- HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX 930 PM CDT FRI JUN 13 2003 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR DEEP SOUTH TEXAS. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS IS MOVING EASTWARD ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS. SOME OF THESE STORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WINDS...HEAVY RAINFALL AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING AS THEY MOVE ACROSS ZAPATA...JIM HOGG AND BROOKS COUNTIES. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. SOME OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE STRONG WINDS...BRIEF HEAVY RAIN AND OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT. SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED TONIGHT FOR JIM HOGG...BROOKS AND KENEDY COUNTIES. STRAUB/MCELROY
The office that day
Everything else NWS Brownsville, TX issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 9:48 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BRO | Zapata | 42 min |
| Jun 13, 10:19 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | BRO | Brooks | 26 min |
| Jun 13, 10:37 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BRO | Jim Hogg | 23 min |
| Jun 13, 10:54 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | BRO | Brooks | 36 min |
| Jun 13, 11:02 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | BRO | Starr | 43 min |
| Jun 14, 12:07 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | BRO | Hidalgo | 23 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Texas, 2003Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2003
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.