Alert archive / Arizona / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2002
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 1, NWS Tucson, AZ
NWS Tucson, AZ issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 8, 2002, 6:16 PM MST for Cochise County, Arizona. It was in force for 44 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 8, 2002, 6:16 PM MST (01:16 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 8, 2002, 7:00 PM MST
- In force
- 44 min
- Issued by
- NWS Tucson, AZ
- Area
- Counties, with a storm outline in the text
County Cochise County, AZ
The radar
The Tucson radar (KEMX), 46 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:18 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The nearest sounding before it
Tuscon, AZ (KTUS), launched 00:00Z, 1.3 hours before the alert went out and 58 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 174 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -2 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 3674 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 25 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 17 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 46 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.2
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
469 WUUS55 KTWC 090116 SVRTWC AZC003-090200- BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ 615 PM MST MON JUL 8 2002 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TUCSON HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... NORTHWESTERN COCHISE COUNTY IN ARIZONA * UNTIL 700 PM MST * AT 608 PM MST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM OVER MULESHOE RANCH PRESERVE BETWEEN THE GALIURO AND WINCHESTER MOUNTAINS...OR ABOUT 22 MILES NORTHWEST OF WILLCOX...MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 35 MPH. DAMAGING WINDS OF 60 MPH OR GREATER CAN BE EXPECTED. GO INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS. LAT...LON 3202 11045 3202 11017 3244 10993 3243 11044
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Tucson, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 8, 2:35 PM MST, 3 hours 41 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 8, 2:35 PM MST, 3 hours 41 minutes before
SOUTHEAST ARIZONA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ 235 PM MST MON JUL 8 2002 .SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE HAS MOVED INTO A POSITION TO ALLOW MOISTURE INTO THE STATE FROM NEW MEXICO AND NORTHERN MEXICO THIS WEEK. THIS WILL RESULT IN SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS. EXPECT THEM TO BE MAINLY NEAR THE MOUNTAINS MONDAY...BUT A FEW STORMS WILL MOVE INTO EASTERN VALLEYS LATE IN THE DAY. THERE WILL BE A BETTER CHANCE OF VALLEY THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AS DEEPER MOISTURE PUSHES INTO SOUTHEAST ARIZONA. WE SHOULD SEE A CHANCE OF AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE COMING WEEK. .DISCUSSION...ISOLATED CONVECTION THIS AFTERNOON IN AREAS THAT RECEIVED MORE SUNSHINE...MAINLY EAST OF TUCSON...WITH REMAINDER OF SOUTHEAST ARIZONA (EXCEPT WESTERN PIMA COUNTY) UNDER A BKN DECK OF MID-HI LEVEL CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH INVERTED TROF OVER NORTHERN SONORA/EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARIZONA. APPEARS THAT THE BEST DYNAMICS WILL BE SOUTH ACROSS NORTHERN SONORA TONIGHT AS THE INVERTED TROF MOVES SLOWLY TO THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OVERNIGHT. HOWEVER MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA FROM EAST TO WEST AND INCREASE SURFACE DEWPOINTS THAT THIS AFTERNOON ARE IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WITH BEST DYNAMICS SOUTH OF THE BORDER...SONORA IS LIGHTING UP FOR THE FIRST TIME...AND THAT IS A GOOD SIGN. HOPEFULLY OUTFLOWS FROM THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX THERE WILL SPREAD NEEDED LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE NORTH INTO SOUTHERN ARIZONA. EASTERLY FLOW ALOFT REALLY KICKS IN TUESDAY AND HANGS AROUND FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK AS IMPULSES MOVE THROUGH THE AREA. WILL KEEP STANDARD MONSOON FORECAST GOING FOR THE WEEK. TEMPERATURES WILL SHOW DAY TO DAY FLUCTUATIONS DUE TO CLOUD COVER/RAINFALL...SO WILL KEEP THEM RIGHT AROUND NORMAL FOR JULY. G .TWC...NONE.
The office that day
Everything else NWS Tucson, AZ issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 8, 7:23 PM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TWC | Cochise | 37 min |
| Jul 8, 8:36 PM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TWC | Cochise | 39 min |
| Jul 9, 3:43 PM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TWC | Cochise, Graham | 47 min |
| Jul 9, 4:10 PM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TWC | Pima | 35 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Arizona, 2002Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2002
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.