Alert archive / Florida / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2002

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 27, NWS Tampa Bay, FL

July 19, 2002Hernando County, Florida

NWS Tampa Bay, FL issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 19, 2002, 12:59 PM EDT for Hernando County, Florida. It was in force for 31 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jul 19, 2002, 12:59 PM EDT (16:59 UTC)
Expired
Jul 19, 2002, 1:30 PM EDT
In force
31 min
Issued by
NWS Tampa Bay, FL
Area
Whole counties

County Hernando County, FL

The radar

The Tampa radar (KTBW), 95 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:02 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Tampa Bay, FL (KTBW), launched 12:00Z, 5.0 hours before the alert went out and 95 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Tampa Bay, FL at 12:00Z on 2002-07-19Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2678 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Tampa Bay, FL at 12:00Z on 2002-07-19The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 21 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2678 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-43 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
858 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
1 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
21 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
42 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

207 
WUUS52 KTBW 191659
SVRTBW
FLC053-191730-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
1258 PM EDT FRI JUL 19 2002

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RUSKIN HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  WESTERN HERNANDO COUNTY IN FLORIDA.

* UNTIL 130 PM EDT.

* AT 1258 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WITH SMALL HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...OVER      
  WEST CENTRAL HERNANDO COUNTY.  THE STORM WAS DRIFTING SLOWLY TO    
  THE NORTH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT...
  WEEKI WACHEE.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CONTAIN WIND GUSTS OF 60 MPH OR HIGHER...AND
HAIL THE SIZE OF DIMES OR LARGER. MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY.

$$

LAT...LON 2851 8259 2846 8247 2866 8241 2866 8257

33

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tampa Bay, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 19, 10:07 AM EDT, 2 hours 52 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 19, 10:07 AM EDT, 2 hours 52 minutes before
WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
1007 AM EDT FRI JUL 19 2002

CURRENTLY...WEAK SFC RIDGE AXIS OVER SCENT FL WITH LIGHT LOW LEVEL
SW FLOW. SFC TDS STILL UNBEARABLE IN THE UPPER 70S TO NEAR 80...
ESPECIALLY NEAR THE COAST. 12Z SOUNDING A LITTLE DRIER THAN
YESTERDAY WITH PW AROUND 1.75 INCHES. HOWEVER...VERY UNSTABLE ONCE A
PARCEL GETS ABOVE LOW LEVEL INVERSION...WITH MODIFIED CAPES AROUND
6000 J/KG AND LI OF -10. STEERING FLOW LIGHT ENE. ISOLD SHOWERS SRQ
SOUTHWARD OVER THE E GULF AND NEAR THE COAST...POSSIBLY SPARKED BY
ADDED LIFT FROM WEAK UPPER SHEAR AXIS. ALREADY REPORTED OF A
DISSIPATED WATERSPOUT NEAR CHARLOTTE COUNTY COAST.

--REST OF TODAY--
LOW LEVEL INVERSION AND SLIGHTLY LOWER PWS MAY MEAN FOR A SLOWER
START TO THE CONVECTION...MAINLY OVER THE CENT AND N FA. HOWEVER...
ONCE TEMPS REACH THE LOWER 90S...SHOULD GET STORMS TO FORM...
POSSIBLY STRONG GIVEN LARGE CAPES. WITH VERY LIGHT STEERING...
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

UPDATES...
GIVEN HIGH SFC TDS COMBINED WITH LOWER TO MID 90S TEMPS
WILL YIELD HEAT INDICES AROUND 105. WILL ADD HEADLINE IN CURRENT
ZONES...AND MAY ALSO ISSUED UPDATED HWO. WILL ALSO REMOVE POP TIMING
OR ADD MAINLY AFTN FOR SW COASTAL AREAS GIVEN CONVECTION ALREADY
STARTING.

--MARINE--
LITTLE TO NO CHANGES EXPECTED.

.TBW...NONE.

MORALES

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 19, 10:55 AM EDT, 2 hours 4 minutes before
FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-192000-

WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
1055 AM EDT FRI JUL 19 2002

...AFTERNOON HEAT INDICES AROUND 105 DEGREES...
...ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE...

THE COMBINATION OF HOT AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES AND HIGH HUMIDITY
WILL PRODUCE MODERATELY HIGH HEAT INDICES OF AROUND 105 DEGREES. IF
YOU MUST BE OUTDOORS TODAY...DRINK PLENTY OF NON-ALCOHOLIC FLUIDS...
DRESS IN LIGHT WEIGHT AND LIGHT COLORED CLOTHING...AND AVOID
PROLONGED STRENUOUS ACTIVITY AND EXPOSURE IN THE DIRECT SUN.

IN ADDITION TO THE VERY HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS...SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON. ISOLATED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP FIRST ALONG THE WEST COAST
SEA BREEZE...THEN DEVELOP FARTHER INLAND BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON.
DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WEAK EAST TO NORTHEAST FLOW
AT THE MID AND UPPER LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE MAY PUSH THUNDERSTORMS
SLOWLY BACK TOWARD THE WEST COAST.

ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON WITH
GUSTY WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH...EXCESSIVE CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...
AND POSSIBLY SMALL HAIL. ALSO...DUE TO THE RELATIVELY SLOW MOTION OF
ANY STORMS...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES WILL BE
POSSIBLE.

FOR MARINE INTEREST...THERE WILL BE THE POTENTIAL FOR WATERSPOUT
FORMATION...MAINLY THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON NEAR THE COAST.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS IN THE
EVENT ANY ADDITIONAL STATEMENTS...OR POSSIBLY WARNINGS BECOME
NECESSARY.

MORALES

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tampa Bay, FL issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 19, 3:33 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTBWSumter27 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Florida, 2002Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2002

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.