Flash Flood Warning 18, NWS San Angelo, TX

000 
WGUS74 KSJT 260204
FFSSJT
TXC307-260415-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
858 PM CDT SAT MAY 25 2002

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MCCULLOCH COUNTY 
UNTIL 1115 PM CDT...

AT 856 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATED THAT 3 TO 4 INCHES OF  
INCHES OF RAIN HAVE FALLEN OVER FIFE AND WALDRIP...7 INCHES NEAR 
PLACID...AND 3 TO 4 INCHES FROM JUST SOUTHEAST OF BRADY TO VOCA.

EIGHT INCHES OF WATER WAS REPORTED OVER A ROADWAY 15 MILES NORTHWEST 
OF BRADY. 

HEAVY RAINS CONTINUED NEAR LOHN AND JUST EAST OF VOCA AT 856 PM. 
MOVEMENT WAS NEARLY STATIONARY. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 
2 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED BETWEEN 9 AND 10 PM. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO 
PRODUCE FLOODING OF LOW WATER CROSSINGS AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODS AND FLASH FLOODS. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT
QUICKLY. MOVE UP TO HIGHER GROUND TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY
IN AREAS SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.

000 
WGUS74 KSJT 260253
FFSSJT
TXC307-260415-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
955 PM CDT SAT MAY 25 2002

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MCCULLOCH COUNTY 
UNTIL 1115 PM CDT...

RADAR ESTIMATED THAT 3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN HAVE FALLEN OVER 
WALDRIP...FIFE...LOHN... AND PEAR VALLEY. UP TO 5 INCHES HAS BEEN 
ESTIMATED OVER VOCA AND PLACID. 

A BAND OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN FROM MELVIN TO LOHN AT 950 
PM WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST AT 10 MPH...MOVING OVER ROCHELLE AND BRADY 
AROUND 11 PM. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 INCH CAN BE EXPECTED.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODS AND FLASH FLOODS. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT
QUICKLY. MOVE UP TO HIGHER GROUND TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY
IN AREAS SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.

WEST CENTRAL TEXAS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
306 PM CDT SAT MAY 25 2002

COLD FRONT HAS STALLED ALONG A STERLING CITY...WINTERS...CROSS PLAINS
LINE AT 20Z...WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE 70S TO THE NORTH AND 80S TO THE
SOUTH. CLEARING FROM EAST TO WEST HAD TAKEN PLACE SOUTH OF THE
FRONT...DUE TO OUTFLOW FROM A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM THAT MOVE THROUGH
BROWN COUNTY MID MORNING. ATMOSPHERE WAS UNSTABLE AGAIN TODAY. 17Z
SATELLITE BASE CAPES IN OUR SOUTHEASTERN ZONES WERE AROUND 2500 J/KG.
TOWARD THE BIG BEND AND TRANSPECOS CAPES WERE 4500 J/KG. CAP WAS NEARLY
NON EXISTANT WITH SATELLITE BASED CINH VALUES CLOSE TO ZERO.

BEST CHANCES OF STORM DEVELOPMENT ARE ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE FRONT
TODAY. FRONT AND OLD THUNDERSTORM BOUNDARIES WILL HELP INITIATE STORMS.
ALSO...STORMS THAT FORM IN THE TRANSPECOS AREAS WILL MOVE EAST INTO
EDWARDS PLATEAU.  WITH FAIRLY WEAK WINDS ALOFT...STORM SPEED WILL BE
SLOW SO THERE WILL BE THE THREAT OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS. SINCE ITS BEEN
SO DRY IN THE CONCHO VALLEY...EDWARDS PLATEAU AND HEARTLAND FOR THE
MONTH OF MAY...WILL NOT PUT OUT A FLASH FLOOD WATCH AT THIS TIME
HOWEVER. HAIL WILL AGAIN BE THE BIGGEST THREAT. THOUGH SMALL...WITH
WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR ALONG FRONT (LIGHT NORTH EAST WINDS NEAR SURFACE TO
SOUTH ALOFT) THERE IS A THAN OF A COUPLE ROTATING STORMS.

SUNDAY NIGHT...SOME UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE INDICATED AS A SHORTWAVE
MOVES NORTHEAST THROUGH NEW MEXICO...THEN MOVES EAST ACROSS THE TEXAS
PANHANDLE ON MONDAY. WESTERN SECTIONS ARE MORE FAVORED FOR
THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY NIGHT...WITH THE BIG COUNTRY HAVING THE BEST
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ON MEMORIAL DAY.

A SLIGHT CHANCE OF STORMS WILL EXIST TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...AS WEST
CENTRAL TEXAS WILL HAVE NORTH/NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT.

PRELIMS...

ABI 060/082/064/083/066  3243
SJT 066/084/065/084/067  7232
JCT 067/085/065/087/067  7222

.SJT...NONE.

04