Alert archive / Texas / Flash Flood Warnings in 2002

Flash Flood Warning 16, NWS San Angelo, TX

May 25, 2002Coke County, Texas

NWS San Angelo, TX issued this flash flood warning at May 25, 2002, 7:22 PM CDT for Coke County, Texas. It was in force for 4 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 25, 2002, 7:22 PM CDT (00:22 UTC)
Expired
May 25, 2002, 11:00 PM CDT
In force
4 hr
Issued by
NWS San Angelo, TX
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Coke County, TX

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this flash flood warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 00:00Z, 0.4 hours before the alert went out and 150 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Midland Regional, TX at 00:00Z on 2002-05-26Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2604 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Midland Regional, TX at 00:00Z on 2002-05-26The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 89 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2604 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-43 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1222 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
36 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
89 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
112 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.8
Supercell composite
10.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WGUS54 KSJT 260022 CCA
FFWSJT
TXC081-260400-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING...CORRECTED FOR SPENCE RESERVOIR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
705 PM CDT SAT MAY 25 2002

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  COKE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST TEXAS

* UNTIL 1100 PM CDT

* AT 700 PM CDT...WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED VERY       
  HEAVY RAIN NEAR SILVER AND OVER THE E V SPENCE RESERVOIR...        
  OR ABOUT 10 MILES NORTHWEST OF ROBERT LEE. THE AREA OF HEAVY       
  RAIN WAS NEARLY STATIONARY.

* RAINFALL TOTALING 3 TO 5 INCHES HAS FALLEN AROUND SILVER.          
  ADDITIONAL RAINFALL UP TO 4 INCHES EXPECTED NEAR SILVER AND        
  THE E V SPENCE RESERVOIR THROUGH 11 PM CDT.

THIS RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE INTO AREAS 
WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO 
ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS SAFELY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO DRIVE AROUND 
BARRICADES. MOST FLASH FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES.

LAT...LON 3207 10081 3189 10083 3181 10028 3206 10030

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS San Angelo, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at May 25, 3:06 PM CDT, 4 hours 16 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 25, 3:06 PM CDT, 4 hours 16 minutes before
WEST CENTRAL TEXAS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
306 PM CDT SAT MAY 25 2002

COLD FRONT HAS STALLED ALONG A STERLING CITY...WINTERS...CROSS PLAINS
LINE AT 20Z...WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE 70S TO THE NORTH AND 80S TO THE
SOUTH. CLEARING FROM EAST TO WEST HAD TAKEN PLACE SOUTH OF THE
FRONT...DUE TO OUTFLOW FROM A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM THAT MOVE THROUGH
BROWN COUNTY MID MORNING. ATMOSPHERE WAS UNSTABLE AGAIN TODAY. 17Z
SATELLITE BASE CAPES IN OUR SOUTHEASTERN ZONES WERE AROUND 2500 J/KG.
TOWARD THE BIG BEND AND TRANSPECOS CAPES WERE 4500 J/KG. CAP WAS NEARLY
NON EXISTANT WITH SATELLITE BASED CINH VALUES CLOSE TO ZERO.

BEST CHANCES OF STORM DEVELOPMENT ARE ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE FRONT
TODAY. FRONT AND OLD THUNDERSTORM BOUNDARIES WILL HELP INITIATE STORMS.
ALSO...STORMS THAT FORM IN THE TRANSPECOS AREAS WILL MOVE EAST INTO
EDWARDS PLATEAU.  WITH FAIRLY WEAK WINDS ALOFT...STORM SPEED WILL BE
SLOW SO THERE WILL BE THE THREAT OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS. SINCE ITS BEEN
SO DRY IN THE CONCHO VALLEY...EDWARDS PLATEAU AND HEARTLAND FOR THE
MONTH OF MAY...WILL NOT PUT OUT A FLASH FLOOD WATCH AT THIS TIME
HOWEVER. HAIL WILL AGAIN BE THE BIGGEST THREAT. THOUGH SMALL...WITH
WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR ALONG FRONT (LIGHT NORTH EAST WINDS NEAR SURFACE TO
SOUTH ALOFT) THERE IS A THAN OF A COUPLE ROTATING STORMS.

SUNDAY NIGHT...SOME UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE INDICATED AS A SHORTWAVE
MOVES NORTHEAST THROUGH NEW MEXICO...THEN MOVES EAST ACROSS THE TEXAS
PANHANDLE ON MONDAY. WESTERN SECTIONS ARE MORE FAVORED FOR
THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY NIGHT...WITH THE BIG COUNTRY HAVING THE BEST
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ON MEMORIAL DAY.

A SLIGHT CHANCE OF STORMS WILL EXIST TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...AS WEST
CENTRAL TEXAS WILL HAVE NORTH/NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT.

PRELIMS...

ABI 060/082/064/083/066  3243
SJT 066/084/065/084/067  7232
JCT 067/085/065/087/067  7222

.SJT...NONE.

04

In the hours before

Special weather statement, May 25, 1:53 PM CDT, 5 hours 29 minutes before
TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076>078-098-099-113-114-127-128-139-140-
154-155-168>170-252245-

WEST CENTRAL TEXAS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
153 PM CDT SAT MAY 25 2002

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED.  LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING
WINDS...AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN ARE POSSIBLE.

A MOIST AND UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE WILL RESIDE OVER WEST CENTRAL TEXAS
THIS HOLIDAY WEEKEND. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL PROVIDE THE FOCUS FOR
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT AS IT HAS STALLED ACROSS THE CONCHO VALLEY
AND HEARTLAND THIS AFTERNOON. AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL
ENHANCE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ALONG THE STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY
TONIGHT.

WITH NUMEROUS BOUNDARIES...DEEP MOISTURE AND UPPER SUPPORT...THERE
IS NO DOUBT SEVERE STORMS WILL POP UP SOMEWHERE IN W CENTRAL TEXAS
THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT.  THE MAIN THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL
INCLUDE THE CONCHO VALLEY...THE HEARTLAND...EDWARDS PLATEAU...AND
THE NORTHWEST HILL COUNTRY.  THERE MAY BE A FEW STORMS ACROSS THE
BIG COUNTRY...BUT THE MAIN THREAT APPEARS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING
CITIES...OZONA...SONORA...SAN ANGELO...BALLINGER...BROWNWOOD...
BRADY...MENARD...JUNCTION AND MASON.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE SEE STATEMENTS AND OUTLOOKS FROM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICES ACROSS TEXAS...OKLAHOMA...AND NEW
MEXICO.

25

The office that day

Everything else NWS San Angelo, TX issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 25, 7:06 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningSJTCoke4 hr
May 25, 7:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTMcCulloch65 min
May 25, 8:10 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningSJTRunnels3 hr
May 25, 8:22 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningSJTMcCulloch3 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Texas, 2002Every flash flood warning in 2002

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.