Special Marine Warning 38, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
316 PM EDT TUE MAY 14 2002

SHORT TERM...AREAS OF CU AND SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED TSTMS OVER
OUR AREA THIS AFTERNOON SHOULD FADE AWAY BY DARK...WITH THE LOSS OF
DAYTIME HEATING AND THE PASSAGE OF AN H5 SHORTWAVE. THE GRADIENT
BETWEEN DEPARTING LOW PRESSURE OVER NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND AND
BUILDING HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL U.S. REMAINS RELATIVELY
TIGHT THROUGH WED AFTERNOON...KEEPING WINDS FROM DROPPING OFF TOO
MUCH TONIGHT.

WEDNESDAY WILL BE MILDER THAN TODAY...WITH PLENTY OF SUNSHINE AND
RECOVERING H8-H10 THICKNESSES IN THE AFTERNOON. BREEZY CONDITIONS
WILL ALSO BE WITH US ONCE AGAIN...AS GRADIENT STAYS UP UNTIL
AFTERNOON AND WE MIX DOWN STRONGER WINDS FROM ALOFT.

WINDS DIMINISH WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS THE HIGH BUILDS OVER US...THEN
PICK UP OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST AGAIN ON THURSDAY AS THE HIGH SLIDES
OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST...AND TEMPS WARM UP INTO THE 70S NORTH AND
NEAR 80 SOUTH.

AS FOR TEMPS...MOS GUIDANCE GENERALLY OK...BUT UNDERCUT DAYTIME
HIGHS FOR THURSDAY AS SOME HIGH/MID LEVEL CLOUDS MOVE THROUGH
NORTHERN/CENTRAL ZONES IN THE AFTERNOON AHEAD OF NEXT FRONTAL SYSTEM.

EXTENDED...NEXT SIGNIFICANT WX TO COME FRIDAY AHEAD OF DEVELOPING
LOW PRESSURE AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT...WITH ANOTHER ROUND OF LATE
DAY/EVENING SHOWERS/TSTMS. AVN PROGGED WIND FIELDS FOR LATE FRIDAY
SUGGEST THIS BEARS SOME WATCHING. WILL KEEP SHOWERS AROUND FOR
SATURDAY...AS AMPLIFYING H5 PATTERN SUGGESTS FRONT WILL SLOW DOWN AS
IT BECOMES MORE ALIGNED WITH UPPER FLOW.

MARINE...SCA REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR OUR COASTAL WATERS.

.PHI...
DE...NONE.
MD...NONE.
NJ...NONE.
PA...NONE.
MARINE...SCA NJ/DE COASTS AND DE BAY.

GOODMAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY, NJ
1223 PM EDT TUE MAY 14 2002

TIME(EDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0420 PM    EARLEVILLE                MD   TORNADO
05/13/02   CECIL                          *** 0 DEAD, 0 INJ ***
                                          TORNADO. RATED F1 WITH
                                          MAXIMUM WINDS OF 110 MPH.
                                          DAMAGE PATH WAS 4 MILES
                                          LONG AND 70 YARDS WIDE.
                                          TORNADO WAS ON THE GROUND
                                          FOR 5 MINUTES. BARN AND
                                          CINDERBLOCK SHED DESTROYED.
                                          NUMEROUS TREES DOWN.

GSS