Alert archive / Kentucky / Flash Flood Warnings in 2002
Flash Flood Warning 11, NWS Paducah, KY
NWS Paducah, KY issued this flash flood warning at Mar 26, 2002, 12:15 AM CST for Livingston County, Kentucky. It was in force for 4 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 26, 2002, 12:15 AM CST (06:15 UTC)
- Expired
- Mar 26, 2002, 4:00 AM CST
- In force
- 4 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Paducah, KY
- Area
- Whole counties
County Livingston County, KY
The radar
The Paducah radar (KPAH), 40 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 06:18 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 00:00Z, 6.3 hours before the alert went out and 197 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 25 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -151 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1592 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 55 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 84 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 108 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WGUS53 KPAH 260615 CCA FFWPAH KYC139-261000- BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED FLASH FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY ISSUED BY NWS LOUISVILLE KY 1152 PM CST MON MAR 25 2002 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS ISSUED A * FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR... LIVINGSTON COUNTY IN WESTERN KENTUCKY * UNTIL 400 AM CST * AT 1152 PM CST...LIVINGSTON COUNTY SHERIFFS OFFICE REPORTS WATER NEARLY 18 INCHES DEEP OVER HIGHWAY 133...ALSO KNOWN AS LOLA ROAD JUST OUTSIDE OF SALEM KENTUCKY. VAUGHN...FRED TRACEY AND SCOTTS CHAPEL ROADS...AS WELL AS HIGHWAY 453 REPORTED WATER OVER THE ROAD. RADAR ESTIMATES OF NEARLY TWO AND ONE HALF INCHES OF RAIN WERE INDICATED FROM BIRDSVILLE...ONWARD TO BURNA AND SALEM KENTUCKY. * ADDITIONAL SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IS EXPECTED THROUGH 300 AM CST...AND THIS WILL LIKELY CAUSE MORE FLASH FLOODING...ESPECIALLY OVER THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE COUNTY. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IMMINENT...MOVE QUICKLY TO HIGHER GROUND. NEVER DRIVE INTO AN AREA WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. $$ SMITH
1 follow-up statement
000 RWUS32 KPAH 261026 FFSPAH KYC139-261100- FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY DISSEMINATED BY NWS LOUISVILLE KY 425 AM CST TUE MAR 26 2002 FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR... LIVINGSTON COUNTY IN WESTERN KENTUCKY HEAVY RAIN HAS MOVED WELL EAST OF LIVINGSTON COUNTY. THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR LIVINGSTON COUNTY EXPIRED AT 4 AM AND IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. AT 325 AM...LIVINGSTON COUNTY SHERIFFS OFFICE REPORTED THAT WARNING SIGNS POSTED FOR SEVERAL ROADS THAT FLOODED EARLIER IN THE NIGHT WILL REMAIN UP THROUGH DAYBREAK FOR SAFETY REASONS. HOWEVER...THE THREAT OF ADDITIONAL FLOODING OVERNIGHT HAS LESSENED MARKEDLY. $$ SMITH
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Mar 25, 2:00 PM CST, 10 hours 15 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 25, 2:00 PM CST, 10 hours 15 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
200 PM CST MON MAR 25 2002
MAIN FORECAST AND HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL AND POSSIBLE SEVERE THIS
AFTERNOON. THEN TRACK OF SURFACE LOW.
LATEST SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS LOW CENTER OVER ARKLATEX. SURFACE
FRONT EXTENDS FROM JUST EAST OF MURRAY KY TO JUST SOUTH OF
MADISONVILLE. CURRENT PAH 88D SHOWS SUPERCELL OVER NE ARKANSAS
WEAKENING AS IT MIGRATES NORTH OF THE FRONT. FREEZING LEVEL AROUND
10K SOUTH AND 9K NORTH PORTIONS OF FA. FRONT APPEARS TO BE SHALLOW
VIA FORECAST SOUNDING AND CURRENT VAD PLACE IT ABOUT 3K ABOVE MSL
OVER FA. THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG AND SOUTH OF
THE BOUNDARY AND MOVE NE ACROSS BOUNDARY BECOMING MORE ELEVATED
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
12Z MON MODEL RUNS SHOW THE ETA TAKING A MUCH MORE NORTHERLY PATH
ACROSS THE FA AND THE AVN INCREASES ITS SPEED...INTENSITY AND TAKES
A MORE SOUTHERLY PATH THAN THE ETA. FIRST CONCERN IS FLOODING
POTENTIAL. MODEL QPF IS PLACING OVER AN INCH OVER MOST OF FA. HPC
HAS PAH FA EXCEEDING FFG. MOST OF THE AREA WILL NOT LIKELY SEE MORE
THAN AN INCH PER HOUR...BUT WITH PRACTICALLY ALL RIVERS IN FLOOD OR
FORECAST TO FLOOD...CANNOT DISMISS ADDITIONAL FLOODING ACROSS ENTIRE
FA. FINALLY WINTER WEATHER IS A CONCERN FOR THE NW SECTIONS OF THE
FA. WITH SHALLOW COLD AIR MASS OVER THE AREA...SCENARIO IS RIGHT FOR
SOME FREEZING RAIN/DRIZZLE TOWARD DAYBREAK...POSSIBLY CHANGING OVER
TO SOME LIGHT SNOW BEFORE ENDING TUESDAY AM.
NUMERICAL GUIDANCE SHOWS BETTER AGREEMENT FOR THE 12Z RUN.
HOWEVER...CURRENT OBS INDICATE MODELS ARE RUNNING TOO WARM.
WILL LEAN TOWARD THE COOL SIDE OF GUIDANCE.
.PAH...FLOOD WATCH ALL AREAS.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR AREAS NORTH OF LINE FROM
PERRYVILLE MO JUST NORTH OF MARION IL TO PETERSBURG IN.
KHThe office that day
Everything else NWS Paducah, KY issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 7:33 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | PAH | Ballard, McCracken | 4 hr |
| Mar 25, 7:33 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | PAH | Ballard, McCracken | 16 hr |
Nearby
Flash Flood Warnings in Kentucky, 2002Every flash flood warning in 2002
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.