Severe Thunderstorm Warning 278, NWS Nashville, TN

Issued

Nov 10, 2002, 6:18 PM CST (00:18 UTC)

Expired

Nov 10, 2002, 6:45 PM CST

In force

27 min

Issued by

NWS Nashville, TN

Area

Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Coffee County, TN

The Northeast Alabama radar (KHTX), 71 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:20 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

427 
WUUS54 KOHX 110018
SVRBNA
TNC031-110045-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
618 PM CST SUN NOV 10 2002

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NASHVILLE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  COFFEE COUNTY IN TENNESSEE

* UNTIL 645 PM CST

* AT 615 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM NEAR CENTRAL VAN BUREN COUNTY...OR NEAR
  SPENCER.  THE STORM WAS NEARLY STATIONARY.

A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS CAN PRODUCE TORNADOES WITH LITTLE OR NO WARNING. IF
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS APPROACH YOUR AREA...GO TO A SAFE PLACE.
ESPECIALLY IF YOU LIVE IN A MOBILE HOME.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CST SUNDAY EVENING FOR
TENNESSEE. A TORNADO WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CST
SUNDAY EVENING FOR TENNESSEE.

&&

LAT...LON 3561 8624 3544 8620 3551 8587 3560 8594
          3562 8602

$$

04

NWS Nashville, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Nov 10, 3:05 PM CST, 3 hours 13 minutes earlier.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
305 PM CST SUN NOV 10 2002

LATEST FORECAST MODEL DATA INDICATES THAT THE STRONG COLD FRONT WILL
ENTER MIDDLE TENNESSEE SHORTLY BEFORE 11/06Z...AND DEPART SHORTLY
AFTER THAT TIME. FROM NOW UNTIL 06Z...SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO
RAPIDLY DEVELOP INTO THUNDERSTORMS...FROM VERY STRONG AFTERNOON
WARMING AND DESTABILIZATION.

IT SEEMS THAT THE AFTERNOON CU FIELD HAS HAD LIMITED SUCCESS THIS
AFTERNOON SO FAR (NOT PUNCHED THROUGH MID LEVELS)...DUE TO 650-MB
BASED INVERSION OR CAP (STAIRSTEP 18Z BNA RAOB). ONCE THIS CAP
GOES...EXPECT THUNDERSTORMS TO GO SEVERE.

SOME OF THE STRONGER STORMS WILL BE ON THE LEADING EDGE OF A SQUALL
LINE THAT WILL COME INTO MIDDLE TENNESSEE THIS EVENING...BUT SOME
STRONGLY ROTATING CELLS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE EVENING
SQUALL LINE. SO WILL CONTINUE TO MENTION ISOLATED TORNADOES THIS
EVENING IN THE ZONES.

AFTER THIS ROUND OF EVENING SEVERE WEATHER...THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS
WILL CONTINUE ALL MONDAY IN THE PLATEAU...AND INTO THE MORNING
WESTERN/CENTRAL ZONES. POST-FRONTAL NORTHWEST WINDS AND LINGERING
MOISTURE WILL KEEP MORE CLOUDS AROUND (FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS)
RELATIVE TO MOS.

PRELIMINARY NUMBERS

BNA 53 59 38 53 /  100 30 10 10
CSV 53 57 36 50 /  100 40 10 20

.BNA...NONE.

04

TNZ005>011-022>034-056>066-075>080-093>097-111130-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1145 AM CST SUN NOV 10 2002

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MIDDLE TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...
A STRONG COLD FRONT AND POWERFUL UPPER LEVEL WINDS WILL APPROACH THE
REGION THIS AFTERNOON...AND WILL MOVE IN DURING THE EVENING. WEATHER
CONDITIONS AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL BECOME FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS...WITH ISOLATED TORNADOES POSSIBLE. THUS...ANOTHER
ROUND OF THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP...WITH SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES MOST PROBABLE LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
WITH THE AREA IN A HIGH RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER...ACTIVATION OF
EMERGENCY MANAGERS AND SPOTTER GROUPS IS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...
AT THIS TIME...HAZARDOUS WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
THE PERIOD.

04

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Tennessee, 2002Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2002

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.