Flash Flood Warning 63, NWS Little Rock, AR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
930 PM CST MON DEC 23 2002

...NO UPDATES PLANNED THIS EVENING...

CURRENT FORECAST SEEMS TO HAVE THE SITUATION UNDER CONTROL AND NO
REAL CHANGES ARE ANTICIPATED. CURRENT WATER VAPOR PICTURE SHOWING
THE DRY SLOT THAT WAS APPROACHING THE AREA HAS DECREASED AND
MOISTURE IS FILLING BACK IN. EVEN THOUGH PRECIP HAS ENDED ACROSS
PARTS OF THE CWA...EXPECT IT TO FILL BACK IN AS A STRONG UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE STILL HAS TO SWING THROUGH. WSR 88-D ALREADY SHOWING
RETURNS OVER EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND TEXAS AND EXPECT THIS TO MOVE
THROUGH DURING THE NIGHT.

LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS ACROSS THE WARNING AREA REPORT 3 TO 4
INCHES ON THE GROUND IN BOONE COUNTY...2 TO 3 INCHES IN MARION AND
AN INCH OR TWO IN BAXTER COUNTY. ONLY AN INCH SO FAR IN IZARD COUNTY
BUT STILL EXPECTING FORECASTED AMOUNTS TO BE REACHED AS NEXT BAND OF
PRECIP MOVES THROUGH. RAIN WILL CONTINUE FOR MOST OF THE NIGHT
ACROSS THE CENTRAL AREA ALTHOUGH IT MAY END BRIEFLY.

NO SIGNIFICANT FLOODING PROBLEMS HAVE BEEN NOTED SO FAR ACROSS THE
SOUTH EXCEPT FOR ARKANSAS AND DESHA COUNTIES WHERE STREET FLOODING
HAS BEEN REPORTED. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS PART OF THE STATE
AS RAIN SHOULD PERSIST HERE MOST OF THE NIGHT.

WILL UPDATE THE GRIDS TO REFLECT CURRENT TRENDS.

.LZK...
AR...WINTER STORM WARNING FOR TONIGHT FOR ZONES ARZ003>006...
ARZ012>013.

FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR TONIGHT FOR ZONES ARZ056>057...ARZ062>069.

SNOW ADVISORY FOR TONIGHT FOR ZONES ARZ007...ARZ014>016...ARZ023>024.

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ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-241100-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
905 PM CST MON DEC 23 2002

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...

PRECIPITATION WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MOST OF THE NIGHT ACROSS
ARKANSAS. ACROSS THE NORTH PART OF THE STATE...A WINTERY MIX OF
SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE. NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE DOPPLER IS SHOWING THE PRECIPITATION HAS ENDED OVER THE
WESTERN THIRD OF THE STATE. HOWEVER...THE PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED
TO REDEVELOP LATER TONIGHT AS A STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE...
CURRENTLY LOCATED OVER CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...MOVES THROUGH.

PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE IS
CURRENTLY LOCATED IN SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA AND EASTERN TEXAS AND MOVING
TOWARDS THE AREA. SEVERAL INCHES OF ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION ARE
POSSIBLE IN THE WARNED AREA BEFORE THE PRECIPITATION FINALLY ENDS.

ACROSS THE CENTRAL ARKANSAS...RAIN IS LIKELY TO PERSIST EVEN THOUGH
IT WILL END BRIEFLY LATE THIS EVENING. THE COLD AIR WILL BE SLOWER
TO ARRIVE AND BY THE TIME IT GETS HERE...MOISTURE WILL NOT BE AS
PLENTIFUL. BY THE TIME THE COLD AIR ARRIVES...ONLY A FEW SNOW
FLURRIES ARE EXPECTED. IN THE SOUTH...RAIN MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES
TONIGHT...WITH FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...

A CHANCE OF SNOW WILL LINGER INTO TUESDAY MORNING FOR NORTHERN AND
CENTRAL ARKANSAS...WITH LITTLE ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION EXPECTED.
ANOTHER DISTURBANCE WILL BRING A CHANCE OF FLURRIES ON THURSDAY.
OTHERWISE...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

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