Severe Thunderstorm Warning 124, NWS Baltimore/Washington

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE/WASHINGTON
1033 AM EDT THU JUN 6 2002

WL GO AHEAD AND UPDATE ZNS TO REFLECT A DECREASE IN CLD CVR...AND
CONSEQUENTLY AN INCREASE IN TEMPS. 14Z TEMPS KEEPING PACE WITH OR
SLIGHTLY AHD OF YDY/S TEMPS. HV GONE AHEAD AND RAISED TEMPS E OF THE
BLUE RIDGE BY A FEW CATS TO REFLECT U80S IN THE METRO AREAS AND LWR
SRN MD.

AFTN/EVE SVR LOOKS TO BE A POSSIBILITY ONCE AGAIN TDY...ALONG WITH
HVY RAFL. PWATS CLIMBING TO AROUND 2.00 INCHES ACROSS MUCH OF THE
CWFA...AND W SLOW MVMT OF CDFNT AND ASSOCIATED TSRA FEEL THAT HVY
RAFL POTENTIAL STILL EXISTS...AND WL LEAVE PRESENT FFA AS IS.
LARGELY INSTABILITY DRIVEN SVR AGAIN A POSSIBILITY TDY. MODIFIED IAD
SOUNDING YIELDS AROUND 3000 J/KG OF SFC BASED CAPE /SBCAPE/...WITH
LITTLE IF ANY CINH. WIND FIELDS ARE NOT SHOWING MUCH SHEAR...BUT THE
STRONG INSTABILITY WL HELP TO OFFSET WEAKNESSES IN THE WIND FIELD.
HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WL BE THE PRIMARY HAZARDS.

UPDATED ZFP BY 1445...

MANNING

.LWX...
DC...FLOOD WATCH FOR THURSDAY FOR ZONE DCZ001.

MD...FLOOD WATCH FOR THURSDAY FOR ZONES
MDZ002>007...MDZ009>011...MDZ013>014.

VA...FLOOD WATCH FOR THURSDAY FOR ZONES
VAZ021...VAZ025>031...VAZ038>042...VAZ051>054.

WV...FLOOD WATCH FOR THURSDAY FOR ZONES WVZ048>055.

DCZ001-MDZ002>007-009>011-013-014-016>018-VAZ021-025>031-036>042-
050>057-WVZ048>055-070330-

SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE/WASHINGTON
1130 AM EDT THU JUN 6 2002

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE TODAY...

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY FOR THE MID
ATLANTIC REGION. THIS INCLUDES MARYLAND...EASTERN WEST
VIRGINIA...THE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA...AND NORTHERN...CENTRAL...AND
NORTHWEST VIRGINIA.

SOME THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH...
HAIL...TORRENTIAL RAINFALL AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING. THE MOST LIKELY
TIME FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE BETWEEN 3 AND 10 PM.

SKYWARN ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR UPDATES AND POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS.

MANNING

DCZ001-VAZ054-062015-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE/WASHINGTON
354 PM EDT THU JUN 6 2002

...STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT SOUTHEAST PORTIONS OF
THE WASHINGTON D.C. METRO AREA...

AT 349 PM...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED AN AREA OF STRONG TO SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH THROUGH SOUTHERN
FAIRFAX...NORTHERN CHARLES AND SOUTHERN PRINCE GEORGES COUNTIES.
THESE STORMS WILL AFFECT THE SOUTHEAST PORTION OF THE DISTRICT OF
COLUMBIA AND PRODUCE SMALL HAIL...GUSTY WINDS...HEAVY RAIN AND
DANGEROUS LIGHTNING THROUGH 415 PM.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM EDT
THIS EVENING FOR THE ENTIRE AREA.

JA/DM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE/WASHINGTON
407 PM EDT THU JUN 6 2002

TIME(EDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0245 PM    RICHARDSVILLE             VA   1.00 INCH HAIL
06/06/02   CULPEPER                       REPORTED BY LAW
                                          ENFORCEMENT

0330 PM    POHICK BAY                VA   1.00 INCH HAIL
06/06/02   FAIRFAX                        BY SPOTTERS

0315 PM    NORTH STAFFORD COUNTY     VA   1.75 INCH HAIL
06/06/02   STAFFORD                       BY SPOTTERS

0315 PM    SOUTHERN PRINCE WILLIAM   VA   1.75 INCH HAIL
06/06/02   PRINCE WILLIAM                 BY SPOTTERS

0325 PM    COUNTYWIDE (NORTH & SOUTH)VA   WIND DAMAGE
06/06/02   FAUQUIER                       DOWN TREESREPORTED BY LAW
                                          ENFORCEMENT

MHP