Alert archive / Kentucky / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2002

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 89, NWS Jackson, KY

May 13, 2002Martin County, Kentucky

NWS Jackson, KY issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 13, 2002, 3:14 PM EDT for Martin County, Kentucky. It was in force for 16 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: May 13, 2002, 3:14 PM EDT (19:14 UTC)
Expired: May 13, 2002, 3:30 PM EDT
In force: 16 min
Issued by: NWS Jackson, KY
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Martin County, KY

The radar

The Jackson,KY radar (KJKL), 73 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:16 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), launched 12:00Z, 7.2 hours before the alert went out and 205 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 20 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -1 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 468 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 47 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 31 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 9 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS53 KJKL 131914
SVRJKL
KYC159-131930-


BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
314 PM EDT MON MAY 13 2002

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON KY HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  MARTIN COUNTY

* UNTIL 330 PM EDT

* AT 314 PM EDT...RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 11 MILES     
  SOUTHWEST OF INEZ...OR 6 MILES EAST OF PAINTSVILLE...MOVING        
  NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  INEZ AROUND 330 PM EDT

THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WINDS UP TO 60
MPH...WHICH COULD BLOW DOWN TREES AND BREAK OFF LARGE LIMBS.

IF YOU ARE IN OR NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM...MOVE TO A SUBSTANTIAL
SHELTER UNTIL THE STORM PASSES.

REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY. THEY
WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE JACKSON WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST
OFFICE.

LAT...LON 3786 8242 3772 8263 3780 8267 3786 8267
          3790 8260 3795 8257 3795 8250

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 13, 3:03 PM EDT, 11 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 13, 3:03 PM EDT, 11 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
303 PM EDT MON MAY 13 2002

---FORECAST ISSUES---

WHETHER OR NOT TO INCLUDE POPS TONIGHT AND AMOUNT OF CLEARING DURING
THE DAY ON TUESDAY.  TEMPERATURES APPEAR TO BE QUITE TRICKY AS
WELL.  FORECAST CONCERNS ALSO ABOUT NEXT RAIN EVENT FOR THURSDAY
NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY.

---MODELS/ZFP---

MODELS IN DECENT AGREEMENT THIS CYCLE.  FIRST FORECAST CONCERN IS
WHAT TO DO ABOUT PRECIP CHANCES TONIGHT.  COLD FRONT JUST TO OUR
WEST WITH BAND OF HEAVY SHOWERS PASSING THROUGH JACKSON AS I TYPE.
PLAN ON RUNNING AN EVENING PERIOD TONIGHT MENTIONING A CHANCE OF
LINGERING SHOWERS...THINK THAT ALL THE PRECIP WILL BE OUT OF THE CWA
AFTER SUNSET.  DONT PLAN ON CARRYING POPS OVERNIGHT.  CLOUDS WILL
HOLD TOUGH ALL NIGHT AND THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY ON MONDAY AS VORT
MAXES PASSES THROUGH ON NORTHWEST FLOW...THOUGH FAR SOUTHWEST ZONES
MAY BECOME PARTLY CLOUDY. MODELS HINT AT SOME QPF MAINLY OVER THE
FAR EAST CWA...RIGHT NOW DONT PLAN ON MENTIONING PRECIP...BUT WILL
LET LATER SHIFTS EVALUATE. FWC/MAV/MET NUMBERS ALL SUGGEST LOW TEMPS
IN THE LOWER 40S.  HIGHS ON MONDAY...LOWER TO MID 60S LOOK GOOD.
PLAN ON CLEARING THE SKIES OUT MONDAY NIGHT AND IT LOOKS TO BE
RATHER COOL/COLD WITH MIN TEMPS TUESDAY NIGHT FLIRTING AROUND 40
DEGREES...WITH PERHAPS UPPER 30S IN THE MOST SHELTERED VALLEYS.

HIGH PRESSURE MOVES IN FOR WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY AND SHOULD HELP
KEEP SKIES MOSTLY SUNNY TO PARTLY CLOUDY.  NEXT SYSTEM POISED TO
MOVE IN THURSDAY NIGHT...SO WILL ADD CHANCE POPS THEN.  TEMP
GUIDANCE LOOKS GOOD AND GENERALLY ACCEPTED.

---EXTENDED---

STORMY PATTERN SETS UP ONCE AGAIN ACROSS THE REGION. WAVY TYPE
FRONTAL BOUNDARY HANGS UP AROUND THE OHIO RIVER WITH SEVERAL WAVES
OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING NORTHEAST ALONG IT.  PLAN ON RUNNING POPS FOR
FRIDAY AND EARLY SATURDAY.  FRONTAL PASSAGE LOOKS TO BE LATE FRIDAY
NIGHT OR EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.  HIGH PRESSURE THEN WORKS ITS WAY
INTO THE REGION WITH PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES AND SEASONAL TEMPERATURES.
STAYED CLOSER TO ENSEMBLE MEANS RATHER THAN OPERATIONAL NUMBERS FOR
THIS CYCLE.

---GRIDS---

GRIDS IN GOOD SHAPE.  RELOADED ONE HOUR TEMPS FROM MESO ETA AS WELL
AS SURFACE WINDS.  ELSEWHERE ONLY MINOR TWEAKS MADE TO REFLECT ABOVE
MENTION THOUGHTS AND UPCOMING FORECAST.

---PRELIM NUMBERS---

LOZ 41/64 41/74 0000
JKL 41/62 45/74 3000

.JKL...NONE.

JARVIS

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 13, 9:49 AM EDT, 5 hours 25 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, KY
949 AM EDT MON MAY 13 2002

TIME(EDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0800 AM    WILLIAMSBURG              KY   WIND DAMAGE
05/13/02   WHITLEY                        NUMEROUS TREES DOWN
                                          ON SEVERAL COUNTY
                                          ROADS. REPORTED BY 911
                                          DISPATCH.

0915 AM    ASHCAMP                   KY   WIND DAMAGE
05/13/02   PIKE                           OUTBUILDINGS OVERTURNED
                                          AND LARGE TREES UPROOTED.
                                          REPORTED BY EMERGENCY
                                          MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL.

MCLANE
CORRECTED SPELLING ERROR

Special weather statement, May 13, 10:13 AM EDT, 5 hours 1 minute before

KYZ068-069-079-080-083>088-110-112>118-120-131430-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
1013 AM EDT MON MAY 13 2002

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR SOUTHEASTERN KENTUCKY IS CANCELED...

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH THAT WAS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS
MORNING FOR MOST OF SOUTHEAST KENTUCKY HAS BEEN CANCELED. THE LINE OF
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS THAT PROMPTED THE WATCH HAVE MOVED EAST OF THE
AREA. SCATTERED LIGHT TO MODERATE SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE INTO EARLY
THIS AFTERNOON.

THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN EASTERN KENTUCKY ARE CLEARED FROM THE
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH...

BELL...BREATHITT...CLAY...FLOYD...HARLAN...JACKSON...KNOTT...
KNOX...LAUREL...LESLIE...LETCHER...MCCREARY...OWSLEY...
PERRY...PIKE...PULASKI...ROCKCASTLE...WAYNE...AND WHITLEY.

SCHAUB

Local storm report, May 13, 11:34 AM EDT, 3 hours 40 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, KY
1134 AM EDT MON MAY 13 2002

TIME(EDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0800 AM    BARBOURVILLE              KY   WIND DAMAGE
05/13/02   KNOX                           2 TREES DOWN ON HIGHWAY
                                          930 AND ROUTE 6. REPORTED
                                          BY HIGHWAY DEPARTMENT.

HYSELL

Local storm report, May 13, 11:34 AM EDT, 3 hours 40 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, KY
1134 AM EDT MON MAY 13 2002

TIME(EDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0800 AM    WILLIAMSBURG              KY   WIND DAMAGE
05/13/02   WHITLEY                        NUMEROUS TREES DOWN
                                          ON SEVERAL COUNTY
                                          ROADS. REPORTED BY 911
                                          DISPATCH.

0910 AM    ASHCAMP                   KY   WIND DAMAGE
05/13/02   PIKE                           OUTBUILDINGS OVERTURNED
                                          AND LARGE TREES UPROOTED.
                                          REPORTED BY EMERGENCY
                                          MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL.

MCLANE
CORRECTED PIKE COUNTY EVENT TIME

Local storm report, May 13, 11:54 AM EDT, 3 hours 20 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, KY
1154 AM EDT MON MAY 13 2002

TIME(EDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0900 AM    FLEMING-NEON              KY   WIND DAMAGE
05/13/02   LETCHER                        NUMEROUS TREES DOWN ACROSS
                                          MUCH OF LETCHER COUNTY.
                                          INCLUDING MILLSTONE,
                                          THORNTON AND SANDLICK.
                                          REPORTED BY HIGHWAY
                                          DEPARTMENT AND EOC.

HYSELL

Special weather statement, May 13, 1:12 PM EDT, 2 hours 2 minutes before

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-132200-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
112 PM EDT MON MAY 13 2002

...GUSTY WINDS WILL SPREAD ACROSS EASTERN KENTUCKY THIS AFTERNOON...

A STRONG COLD FRONT...PUSHING EAST ACROSS THE STATE...WILL BRING A
BAND OF NORTHWEST WINDS WITH AVERAGE SPEEDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH...AND
GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH...TO MUCH OF EASTERN KENTUCKY THIS AFTERNOON.

THE BAND OF GUSTY WINDS WILL EXTEND FROM THE AREA NORTH OF I-64...
TO THE SOMERSET AND LONDON AREA...BY 2 PM EDT...AND PERSIST FOR
2 OR 3 HOURS. THE REMAINDER OF EASTERN KENTUCKY WILL EXPERIENCE THE
WINDS FROM 2 PM THROUGH 6 PM EDT.

IT WOULD BE A GOOD IDEA TO SECURE OBJECTS OUTSIDE. IF WORKING
OR RELAXING OUTDOORS...STAY AWAY FROM TREES. SMALL LIMBS COULD BLOW
OFF...AND SOME TREES WEAKENED BY FIRE OR DISEASE COULD FALL OVER.
MOTORISTS SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR DIFFICULTY HANDLING THEIR
VEHICLES...ESPECIALLY ON I-75 AND OTHER NORTH TO SOUTH HIGHWAYS.

SCHAUB

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jackson, KY issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 13, 7:26 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JKL	Laurel, Whitley	49 min
May 13, 7:34 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JKL	Knox	41 min
May 13, 8:43 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JKL	Letcher, Pike	32 min
May 13, 8:48 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JKL	Letcher, Pike	27 min
May 13, 2:11 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JKL	Clay, Owsley	34 min
May 13, 2:24 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JKL	Breathitt	36 min
May 13, 2:51 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JKL	Floyd, Knott, Magoffin	24 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kentucky, 2002 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2002

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.