Alert archive / Kansas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2002
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 186, NWS Hastings, NE
NWS Hastings, NE issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 28, 2002, 5:14 PM CDT for Jewell County, Kansas. It was in force for 31 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 28, 2002, 5:14 PM CDT (22:14 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 28, 2002, 5:45 PM CDT
- In force
- 31 min
- Issued by
- NWS Hastings, NE
- Area
- Counties, with a storm outline in the text
County Jewell County, KS
The radar
The Grand Island radar (KUEX), 57 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:16 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 5:15 PM CDT | Hail 1 | Esbon, KS |
NCEI Storm Data entries that began inside the alert's area while it was in force. Before 2003 the local storm report archive is thin, so this is the record of what happened rather than what was phoned in.
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The watch it was issued in
The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.
| Issued | Product | Office | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 4:50 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 5 hr |
The nearest sounding before it
Omaha, NE (KOAX), launched 12:00Z, 10.2 hours before the alert went out and 231 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 453 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -295 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1877 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 9 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 55 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 93 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.6
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
745 WUUS53 KGID 282214 SVRGRI KSC089-282245- BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE 511 PM CDT SUN JUL 28 2002 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HASTINGS HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... JEWELL COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS * UNTIL 545 PM CDT * AT 506 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM 7 MILES NORTHWEST OF WEBBER TO 5 MILES SOUTH OF IONIA...OR FROM 40 MILES NORTHWEST OF CONCORDIA TO 35 MILES WEST OF CONCORDIA...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH. * SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR... MONTROSE AT 520 PM CDT WEBBER AT 525 PM CDT FORMOSO AT 530 PM CDT RANDALL AT 535 PM CDT THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REPLACES THE TORNADO WARNING ISSUED FOR NORTHERN JEWELL COUNTY. THE STORMS HAVE A HISTORY OF PRODUCING STRONG WIND GUSTS AND CAUSING TREE DAMAGE. PEOPLE IN JEWELL COUNTY SHOULD SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS. THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER THREAT IS STRONG AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. A TORNADO WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE TORNADOES WITH LITTLE OR NO WARNING. LAT...LON 4000 9849 3957 9851 3956 9795 4000 9793 NNNN
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Hastings, NE wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 28, 1:20 PM CDT, 3 hours 54 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 28, 1:20 PM CDT, 3 hours 54 minutes before
SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA/NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE 120 PM CDT SUN JUL 28 2002 ...SVR THREAT THIS AFTN/EVE BIGGEST CONCERN... SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS TRIPLE POINT LOW NR YKN AND COLD FNT TRAILING SW TO NR HLC. STILL WAITING FOR STG UPR TROF NOW INTO WRN SD TO CATCH UP BUT UPR TROF AMPLIFYING NOW AND LEADING TO INTENSIFICATION OF JET STREAK OVRHD. PREFNTL AIRMASS STILL APPARENTLY WEAKLY CAPPED ATTM BUT RAPID DESTABILIZATION CONTS W/INITIATION IMMINENT. HWVR BNDRY HAS PUSHED TO NR A HDE TO ORD LINE. UPSTREAM PRES RISES WOULD SUGGEST NRN PORTION WILL MAKE FURTHER EWD PROGRESS BUT SRN PORTION SHLD BEGIN TO TRAIL BEHIND...WHICH MAKES EVENING ZONE CUT DIFFICULT. ELEVATED CONVN NOT HELPING MATTER EITHER ESPECIALLY WITH RECENT HEAT BURST AT ODX WHICH MAKES A CASE THAT CAPPING INVERSION IS AS YET TOO STG THIS FAR S. 12Z MODELS FOR MOST PART SIMILAR WITH EVOLVING SCENARIO. PRIMARY DIFF IS CONV PLACEMENT LTR THIS AFTN AND EVE. BASED ON 18Z SFC FTRS...WOULD TEND TO AGAIN FVR ETA/META. STILL DECENT SVR WIND THREAT ESP NE QUARTER AND WILL BEAR CLSOE WATCHING. HWVR...RAPID CLEARING XPCD OVERNIGHT AS SYS RAPIDLY SHIFTS EWD. CAA SHALLOW AND SHORT LIVED WITH WK WAA BY MON AFTN SO JUST A TEMPORARY BREAK FM THE HEAT. MORE INTERESTING SITU ON TUE. SOME THOUGHTS YDA ABT PCPN CHC LT TUE OR TUE NIGHT BASED ON ANOTHER TROF ZIPPING THROUGH SEMI-ZONAL NRN CONUS FLW. ETAX DID INDICATED RATHER HEALTHY QPF YDA AND SHOWS IT AGAIN LT TUE INTO TUE NIGHT. COMPLICATING FCTR IS TRANSITIONING UPR FLW BACK TO SIMILAR PATTN OBSERVED A WEEK AGO WITH DOMINANT RIDGE CNTR OVR CNTRL PLAINS. CURRENT PROGRESSIVE PATTN AND HGT TRANSITION SIMILAR AMG MED RANGE MODELS. GFS DEPICTION OF COLD FNT PUSHING INTO SOUTHERN PLAINS UNDERNEATH LG SCALE RIDGE CNTR STILL LOOKS ERRONEOUS WITH SIG DISCREPANCY BTWN ECMWF/GFS LL THERMAL PROG. GFS PRIOR COLD BIAS WITH SIMILAR UPR HGT PATTN YIELDED MAX TEMPS 10 DEGREES TOO COOL AND SIMILAR SITU XPCD HERE. AT LEAST ECMWF AND GEM ARE MUCH MORE REALISTIC WRT TEMP PROG. THEREFORE WILL CONT WITH MUCH WARMER TEMPS. IN ADDITION...THU SLIGHT CHC POP NOT WARRANTED GIVEN LACK OF SUPPORTING GFS ENS MEMBERS. BOTTOM LINE IS EXPECTATIONS OF RTN TO HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS ONCE AGAIN TO CWA. .GID...NONE. TEH
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jul 28, 11:17 AM CDT, 5 hours 57 minutes before
KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087-291200- HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE 1117 AM CDT SUN JUL 28 2002 ...SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE NEEDED ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING... A LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TREKKING ACROSS CENTRAL NEBRASKA ALONG A COLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY...WILL BECOME MORE ORGANIZED AND INTENSE AS THEY MOVE EAST THIS AFTERNOON. SEVERE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED TO INITIATE LATE THIS AFTERNOON...MAINLY EAST OF A LINE FROM GREELEY TO HOLDREGE AS STORMS MOVE INTO A MORE MOIST AND UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT. THE MAIN SEVERE WEATHER HAZARDS WILL BE DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WINDS...AND MODERATE TO LARGE SIZE HAIL. THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL THEN CONTINUE SOUTHEAST DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY ALSO DEVELOP IN NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS THIS AFTERNOON. ACTIVITY THOUGH SHOULD REMAIN RATHER DISORGANIZED...UNTIL THE MAIN LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS MOVES INTO THE AREA BY EVENING. SPOTTER GROUPS...EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS AND OTHER INTERESTED PARTIES OVER SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS SHOULD MONITOR WEATHER RADIO FOR LATER UPDATED FORECASTS AND STATEMENTS. DEE
Local storm report, Jul 28, 4:18 PM CDT, 56 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
418 PM CDT SUN JUL 28 2002
TIME(CDT) .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE ...EVENT/REMARKS...
....COUNTY LOCATION....
0415 PM 5 E DEWEESE NE 1 INCH HAIL
07/28/02 CLAY REPORTED BY STORM
SPOTTER.Local storm report, Jul 28, 4:46 PM CDT, 28 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
446 PM CDT SUN JUL 28 2002
TIME(CDT) .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE ...EVENT/REMARKS...
....COUNTY LOCATION....
0445 PM BURR OAK KS 60 MPH TSTM GUST
07/28/02 JEWELL REPORTED BY COOPERATIVE
OBSERVER.Local storm report, Jul 28, 5:13 PM CDT, 1 minute before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
513 PM CDT SUN JUL 28 2002
TIME(CDT) .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE ...EVENT/REMARKS...
....COUNTY LOCATION....
0447 PM 6 N ESBON KS WIND DAMAGE
07/28/02 JEWELL SEVERAL POWER POLES
BROKEN AND DOWN. POWER
LINES DOWN. REPORTED BY
LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIAL.The office that day
Everything else NWS Hastings, NE issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 27, 9:31 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Osborne, Rooks | 59 min |
| Jul 28, 4:23 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Jewell | 67 min |
| Jul 28, 4:29 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | GID | Jewell | 61 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kansas, 2002Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2002
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; verification from NCEI's Storm Data; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.