Alert archive / Nebraska / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2002

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 16, NWS Hastings, NE

May 5, 2002Webster County, Nebraska

NWS Hastings, NE issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 5, 2002, 5:06 PM CDT for Webster County, Nebraska. It was in force for 54 min. 2 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
May 5, 2002, 5:06 PM CDT (22:06 UTC)
Expired
May 5, 2002, 6:00 PM CDT
In force
54 min
Issued by
NWS Hastings, NE
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Webster County, NE

The radar

The Grand Island radar (KUEX), 16 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:08 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
May 5, 5:40 PM CDTHail 1.5Red Cloud, NE
May 5, 6:10 PM CDTTornado F0Guide Rock, NEBrief touchdown of a tornado reported by a storm chaser.

NCEI Storm Data entries that began inside the alert's area while it was in force. Before 2003 the local storm report archive is thin, so this is the record of what happened rather than what was phoned in.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
May 5, 4:30 PM CDTTornado WatchSPC7 hr

The nearest sounding before it

N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE (KLBF), launched 12:00Z, 10.1 hours before the alert went out and 202 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE at 12:00Z on 2002-05-05Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 172 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE at 12:00Z on 2002-05-05The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 169 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
172 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-207 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
655 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
34 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
169 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
156 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
1.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS53 KGID 052206
SVRGRI
NEC181-052300-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
506 PM CDT SUN MAY 5 2002

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HASTINGS HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  WEBSTER COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA

* UNTIL 600 PM CDT

* AT 503 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 12 MILES SOUTHWEST OF RED CLOUD...MOVING
  NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  RED CLOUD AT 520 PM CDT
  GUIDE ROCK AT 530 PM CDT
  
PEOPLE IN WEBSTER COUNTY SHOULD SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE
AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER THREAT IS LARGE HAIL THE SIZE OF DIMES.

A TORNADO WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND
OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE TORNADOES WITH LITTLE OR NO WARNING.

LAT...LON 4032 9871 4001 9869 4001 9828 4033 9830

NNNN

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Hastings, NE wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 5, 3:12 PM CDT, 1 hour 54 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 5, 3:12 PM CDT, 1 hour 54 minutes before
SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA/NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
312 PM CDT SUN MAY 5 2002

...MAIN CONCERN IS TORNADO WATCH IN KANSAS CWA UNTIL 9 PM TONIGHT...

LATEST SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWING LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR NE SD.
SOUTHERLY WINDS HAVE CONTINUES TO PUMP UP SURFACE MOISTURE INTO
THE REGION WITH DEW POINTS ACROSS KS PUSHING INTO THE 60S. AN SPC
CONFERENCE CALL HAS ELUDED TO A CONCERN FOR TORNADIC SUPERCELLS
DEVELOPING IN THE EARLY EVENING AS CONVECTION BECOMES BETTER
ORGANIZED. VIS SATL PIX ALREADY SHOW STUFF STARTING TO BLOSSOM IN
SW KS. PROGGED ETA BRN SHEAR...AS WELL AS VGP AND EHI THIS EVENING DO
LOOK IMPRESSIVE FOR SUSTAINING A SHEARING ENVIRONMENT ALLOWING STORMS
TO DEVELOP A FEW MESOS. WITH MOISTURE CONTINUING TO STREAM IN...THE
AIR MASS SHOULD BECOME LESS STABLE WITH TIME AS SUGGESTED BY PROGGED
LI/CAPE/TT. ALSO...LCL HGTS GRADUALLY DECREASE AFTER OOZ THIS EVENING
OVER MOST OF KS. OTHERWISE...EXPECT CONVECTION TO BE PREVALENT IN
KS CWA AND EAST OF THE TRI CITIES. HAIL WILL BE A BIG CONCERN FOR
ANY STORMS THAT DO DEVELOP WITHIN THE NEBR CWA AS HEFTY 700-500MB
LRS LAY OVER STRONG THETA-E CONVERGENCE.

THUNDER CHANCES RETURN MONDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT AS STRONG LOW LEVEL
FRONTOGENETIC BOUNDARY ENVELOPES THE AREA...SUGGESTING AN MCS TYPE
EVENT. BUT LACKING LOW LEVEL JET AND EASTWARD SKEWED BOUNDARY LAYER
MOISTURE ALLOW ONLY SMALL POPS FOR THOSE PERIODS. WILL CONTINUE
SMALL POPS INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING FOR LINGERING SHOWERS.

NO BIG CHANGES TO THE EXTENDED.

.GID...NONE.

DEE

In the hours before

Special weather statement, May 5, 11:36 AM CDT, 5 hours 30 minutes before
KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087-061200-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
1136 AM CDT SUN MAY 5 2002

...SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY DURING THE EVENING HOURS...

THERE IS A RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER ALL OF SOUTH CENTRAL
NEBRASKA AND NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
TONIGHT.

INITIAL DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AS TEMPERATURES
REACH OR SURPASS THE 80 DEGREE MARK.  LARGE HAIL APPEARS TO BE THE
MAIN THREAT DUE TO VERY COLD TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER ATMOSPHERE.

THE BEST CHANCE FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL FOCUS ALONG A DRY LINE EARLY
THIS EVENING.  IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL...ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL
BE POSSIBLE.

BY MIDNIGHT...THE GREATEST SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL SHIFT NORTHEAST
OF A LINE FROM KEARNEY TO SUPERIOR.  INCREASING WIND FIELDS ARE
EXPECTED TO ESCALATE THE THREAT FOR DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WIND
GUSTS.

DROZD
Special weather statement, May 5, 3:02 PM CDT, 2 hours 4 minutes before
KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087-061200-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
302 PM CDT SUN MAY 5 2002

...SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS LIKELY THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT...

THERE IS A RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER ALL OF SOUTH CENTRAL
NEBRASKA AND NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS THROUGH TONIGHT.

A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS UNTIL 9 PM.
THUNDERSTORMS OVER WEST CENTRAL KANSAS WILL DEVELOP NORTHEASTWARD.
SOME MAY BECOME SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL AND POSSIBLY TORNADOES.

THESE STORMS MAY CROSS THE NEBRASKA BORDER AS THE EVENING
PROGRESSES.  OTHER STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG A BOUNDARY IN
NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND SWEEP INTO AREAS NORTH OF INTERSTATE 80
TOWARD DUSK.

BY MIDNIGHT...THE GREATEST SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL BE CONFINED TO
AREAS NORTHEAST OF A LINE FROM KEARNEY TO SUPERIOR.  INCREASING WIND
FIELDS ARE EXPECTED TO ESCALATE THE THREAT FOR DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE
WIND GUSTS.

DROZD
Local storm report, May 5, 4:52 PM CDT, 14 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
452 PM CDT SUN MAY 05 2002

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0450 PM    7 S ZURICH                KS   TORNADO
05/05/02   ROOKS                          REPORTED BY STORM
                                          SPOTTER.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Hastings, NE issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 5, 4:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDFranklin56 min
May 5, 5:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDAdams41 min
May 5, 5:31 PM CDTTornado WarningGIDWebster44 min
May 5, 5:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDClay, Hall, Hamilton63 min
May 5, 6:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDMerrick59 min
May 5, 6:12 PM CDTTornado WarningGIDMerrick48 min
May 5, 6:16 PM CDTTornado WarningGIDNuckolls, Webster44 min
May 5, 6:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDKearney51 min
May 5, 6:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDNance38 min
May 5, 6:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDBuffalo51 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Nebraska, 2002Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2002

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; verification from NCEI's Storm Data; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.