Severe Thunderstorm Warning 9, NWS Fort Worth, TX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
225 PM CST TUE MAR 19 2002

PART OF CWA THAT HAS BEEN UNDER THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS HAD 1-3
INCHES OF RAIN THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON...WITH RADAR ESTIMATES OF 5-6
INCHES IN SOME AREAS. A STRONG SHORT WAVE WILL MOVE NORTHEAST ACROSS
NORTH TEXAS LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT...BRINGING ADDITIONAL
HEAVY RAIN ACROSS NORTH TEXAS. AT 200 PM A STATIONARY FRONT
EXTENDED FROM SOUTH OF SAN ANGELO...TO STEPHENVILLE...TO
WAXAHACHIE...TO NORTH OF TYLER.   THE MAIN HEAVY RAIN THREAT WILL BE
ALONG AND NORTH OF THE STATIONARY FRONT...SHIFTING EASTWARD LATER
TONIGHT. AN ADDITIONAL 2-4 INCHES OF RAIN IS LIKELY WITH ISOLATED
TOTALS OVER 5 INCHES. THE STORMS THAT ARE DEVELOPING THIS AFTERNOON
ARE MORE EFFICIENT RAIN PRODUCERS THAN THE ONES THAT MOVED ACROSS
NORTH TEXAS YESTERDAY AND EARLIER TODAY.  SHOULD ANY TRAIN ECHO
PATTERN DEVELOP WITH THESE STORMS...MAJOR FLOODING COULD OCCUR. THE
FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL BE REISSUED FOR TONIGHT AND REDEFINED FURTHER
SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST. DEPENDING ON THE EXTENT OF HEAVY RAIN LATER
TONIGHT...THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH MAY BE EXTENDED EAST AND SOUTHEAST.
IN ADDITION TO FLOODING...THERE IS A SEVERE WEATHER THREAT. SOME
STORMS COULD PRODUCE DIME TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL WITH A FEW WIND GUSTS
TO 50KT...GENERALLY SOUTH OF AN EASTLAND...TO WEATHERFORD...TO
DALLAS...TO EMORY LINE.

DFW 48/62/41/63 +400
ACT 52/63/45/65 7300

.FWD...FLASH FLOOD WATCH TONIGHT NORTHWEST OF A LINE FROM
       GOLDTHWAITE...TO MERIDIAN...TO ENNIS...TO CANTON.

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TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-200315-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH TEXAS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
316 PM CST TUE MAR 19 2002

...FLASH FLOODING...
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR NORTH TEXAS NORTHWEST OF A
GOLDTHWAITE...MERIDIAN...ENNIS...CANTON LINE UNTIL 600 AM WEDNESDAY.
ADDITIONAL STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE WATCH AREA LATE
THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT PRODUCING ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF
TWO TO FOUR INCHES WITH ISOLATED TOTALS OVER FIVE INCHES.  THE WATCH
AREA HAS ALREADY HAD ONE TO THREE INCHES OF RAIN SINCE MONDAY
MORNING...WITH ISOLATED RADAR ESTIMATED TOTALS OF FIVE TO SIX INCHES.
ANY PROLONGED HEAVY RAIN IN THE WATCH AREA WILL QUICKLY RUN OFF AND
PRODUCE FLASH FLOODING.

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THE REMAINDER OF THE
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT GENERALLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM
EASTLAND TO WEATHERFORD TO DALLAS...TO EMORY.  A FEW STORMS MAY
PRODUCE HAIL UP TO NICKEL SIZE AND WIND GUSTS TO 60 MILES AN HOUR.
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT SHOULD DIMINISH AFTER MIDNIGHT.