Alert archive / Minnesota / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2002

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 59, NWS Grand Forks, ND

June 9, 2002Polk County, Minnesota

NWS Grand Forks, ND issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 9, 2002, 10:51 AM CDT for Polk County, Minnesota. It was in force for 39 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 9, 2002, 10:51 AM CDT (15:51 UTC)
Expired
Jun 9, 2002, 11:30 AM CDT
In force
39 min
Issued by
NWS Grand Forks, ND
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Polk County, MN

The radar

The Fargo/Grand Forks radar (KMVX), 94 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:53 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

International Fa, MN (KINL), launched 12:00Z, 3.9 hours before the alert went out and 231 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, International Fa, MN at 12:00Z on 2002-06-09Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 7 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, International Fa, MN at 12:00Z on 2002-06-09The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 131 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
7 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-164 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
631 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
36 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
131 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
175 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS53 KFGF 091551
SVRFAR
MNC119-091630-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS
1051 AM CDT SUN JUN 9 2002

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND FORKS HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...

  SOUTHEASTERN POLK COUNTY IN NORTHWEST MINNESOTA.

* UNTIL 1130 AM CDT.

* AT 1048 AM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 3 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MAPLE BAY...OR ABOUT 35
  MILES SOUTH OF THIEF RIVER FALLS...MOVEMENT WAS TO THE EAST AT 45
  MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...

  MENTOR AT 1055 AM...
  ERSKINE AT 1105 AM...
  MCINTOSH AT 1110 AM AND
  FOSSTON AT 1120 AM.

REMEMBER SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE
TORNADOES WITH LITTLE OR NO ADVANCE WARNING.

LAT...LON 4769 9638 4751 9637 4753 9560 4777 9566


8

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Grand Forks, ND wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 9, 9:50 AM CDT, 1 hour 1 minute earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 9, 9:50 AM CDT, 1 hour 1 minute before
FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA AND NORTHWEST MINNESOTA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
950 AM CDT SUN JUN 9 2002

.CURRENT OBSERVATIONAL OVERVIEW...
14Z MSAS ANALYSIS DEPICTED LOW PRESSURE OVER WEST CENTRAL SOUTH
DAKOTA WITH ASSOCIATED WARM FRONT DRAPED ACROSS SOUTHEAST NORTH
DAKOTA INTO MINNESOTA. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY AND KMVX RADAR
INDICATED OVERNIGHT MCS SLOWLY STARTING TO WEAKEN AS IT HEADS EAST
INTO MINNESOTA. ADDITIONAL BACK BUILDING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IN
CLOSE PROXIMITY TO AFOREMENTIONED FRONTAL BOUNDARY ALSO SLOWLY ON
THE WANE.

.FORECAST DETAILS...
MAIN FORECAST CHALLENGE THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE POSSIBLE REGENERATION
OF CONVECTION ALONG AND NORTH OF FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND ANY RESIDUAL
OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES FROM EARLIER CONVECTION. WILL FRESHEN WORDING IN
ZONES...OTHERWISE NO MAJOR REVISIONS PLANNED FOR LATE MORNING
UPDATE.

.FGF...FLOOD WATCH ENTIRE FORECAST AREA TODAY THROUGH MONDAY.

BERG

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 9, 6:13 AM CDT, 4 hours 38 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS, ND
613 AM CDT SUN JUN 9 2002

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

1220 AM    DEVILS LAKE               ND   1.00 INCH HAIL
06/09/02   RAMSEY

1224 AM    DEVILS LAKE               ND   1.25 INCH HAIL
06/09/02   RAMSEY

1230 AM    REYNOLDS                  ND   .75 INCH HAIL
06/09/02   TRAILL

0140 AM    5 E WAUBUN                MN   .75 INCH HAIL
06/09/02   MAHNOMEN

0230 AM    GRAND FORKS               ND   FLASH FLOODS
06/09/02   GRAND FORKS                    NUMEROUS CITY STREETS
                                          FLOODED. CARS STRANDED
                                          ALONG UNIVERSITY AVENUE
                                          NEAR THE UNIVERSITY OF
                                          NORTH DAKOTA CAMPUS.

0325 AM    9 NE ADA                  MN   WIND DAMAGE
06/09/02   NORMAN                         SPOTTER ESTIMATED 80 MPH
                                          WIND GUST. 8 TO 10 INCH
                                          DIAMETER TREES DOWN AND
                                          WINDOW BLOWN OUT.

0505 AM    6 SE TWIN VALLEY          MN   .75 INCH HAIL
06/09/02   NORMAN

0605 AM    5 W SYRE                  MN   FLASH FLOODS
06/09/02   NORMAN                         HIGHWAY 113 FLOODED
Special weather statement, Jun 9, 7:18 AM CDT, 3 hours 33 minutes before
MNZ001>009-013>017-022>024-027>032-040-NDZ006>008-014>016-024-
026>030-038-039-049-052>054-091400-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS
718 AM CDT SUN JUN 9 2002

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA AND
NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA EARLY THIS MORNING AND AGAIN
TONIGHT...

SYNOPSIS...VERY UNSTABLE AIR WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS
THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. TEMPERATURES WILL RISE TO THE UPPER 80S IN
THE SOUTH AND EASTERN COUNTIES WITH DEWPOINTS APPROACHING 70 DEGREES.
LOW PRESSURE OVER WESTERN SOUTH DAKOTA WILL MOVE SLOWLY INTO
SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA BY MONDAY MORNING. COOLER DRIER AIR OVER
WESTERN NORTH DAKOTA WILL BEGIN TO SLOWLY SHIFT EAST THROUGH MONDAY
MORNING.

AREA OF CONCERN...A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL OCCUR EARLY
THIS MORNING SOUTH OF A LINE FROM VALLEY CITY ND TO BEMIDJI MN.
ANOTHER SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE STORM WILL OCCUR SUNDAY NIGHT OVER ALL
OF EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA AND NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA.

TIME...UNTIL 10 AM CDT FOR THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE REGION. THE
SECOND ROUND OF THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED AFTER 4 PM.

TYPE OF HAZARD...MAINLY FLOODING. SOME LARGE HAIL AND SOME DAMAGING
WINDS.

HOPPES
NNNN
Special weather statement, Jun 9, 7:20 AM CDT, 3 hours 31 minutes before
MNZ001>009-013>017-022>024-027>032-040-NDZ006>008-014>016-024-
026>030-038-039-049-052>054-101430-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS
720 AM CDT SUN JUN 9 2002

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA AND
NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA TODAY AND THIS EVENING...

SYNOPSIS...A WARM FRONT EXTENDS FROM NEAR BEMIDJI TO FARGO TO
MOBRIDGE SOUTH DAKOTA.  LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE NORTHEAST ALONG THE
FRONT TODAY. A MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS WILL EXIST OVER THE AREA
TODAY AND THIS EVENING.  THEN AS THE SYSTEM MOVES EAST OF THE AREA
OVERNIGHT...THE THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL END.

AREA OF CONCERN...A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL OCCUR EARLY
THIS MORNING NORTH OF A DEVILS LAKE TO GRAFTON TO BAUDETTE LINE.
THEN ALL OF EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA AND NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL
MINNESOTA IS UNDER A SLIGHT RISK LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING.

TIME...FROM 7 AM UNTIL 10 AM THIS MORNING...AND THEN AGAIN FROM 3 PM
UNTIL 9 PM THIS EVENING.

TYPE OF HAZARD...LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WIND GUSTS...AND FLOODING.

RIDDLE

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The office that day

Everything else NWS Grand Forks, ND issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 8, 10:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFNorman46 min
Jun 9, 12:07 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFNorman38 min
Jun 9, 12:37 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFPolk38 min
Jun 9, 1:30 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFBecker, Mahnomen45 min
Jun 9, 2:36 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningFGFPolk6 hr
Jun 9, 3:31 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFMahnomen, Norman44 min
Jun 9, 4:14 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFBecker, Clay, Mahnomen, Norman46 min
Jun 9, 4:16 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningFGFNorman6 hr
Jun 9, 4:57 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFBecker, Clay, Mahnomen, Norman63 min
Jun 9, 5:04 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningFGFMahnomen6 hr
Jun 9, 5:23 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningFGFPennington, Polk, Red Lake6 hr
Jun 9, 5:53 AM CDTTornado WarningFGFBecker, Clay37 min
Jun 9, 5:57 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFMahnomen, Norman63 min
Jun 9, 6:07 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningFGFBecker, Clay6 hr
Jun 9, 6:29 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFBecker, Clay61 min
Jun 9, 7:35 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFBecker55 min
Jun 9, 7:47 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFClearwater43 min
Jun 9, 7:53 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFBeltrami, Hubbard67 min
Jun 9, 7:56 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningFGFClearwater4 hr
Jun 9, 8:28 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFBecker, Clearwater62 min
Jun 9, 11:33 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningFGFPennington, Polk, Red Lake6 hr
Jun 9, 1:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFPolk42 min
Jun 9, 5:25 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningFGFMarshall, Pennington, Red Lake4 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Minnesota, 2002Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2002

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.