Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2002

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 114, NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

October 22, 2002Edwards County, Val Verde County, Texas

NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Oct 22, 2002, 11:11 PM CDT for Edwards County, Val Verde County, Texas. It was in force for 64 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Oct 22, 2002, 11:11 PM CDT (04:11 UTC)
Expired
Oct 23, 2002, 12:15 AM CDT
In force
64 min
Issued by
NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX
Area
Whole counties

Counties Edwards County, TX, Val Verde County, TX

The nearest sounding before it

Del Rio, TX (KDRT), launched 00:00Z, 4.2 hours before the alert went out and 64 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Del Rio, TX at 00:00Z on 2002-10-23Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1249 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Del Rio, TX at 00:00Z on 2002-10-23The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 46 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1249 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-63 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
980 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
55 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
46 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
90 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.5
Supercell composite
2.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

148 
WUUS54 KEWX 230411
SVRSAT
TXC137-465-230515-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1110 PM CDT TUE OCT 22 2002

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AUSTIN SAN ANTONIO HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN TEXAS...
  EDWARDS
  VAL VERDE

* UNTIL 1215 AM CDT

* AT 1110 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM OVER VAL VERDE COUNTY...OR ABOUT 31 MILES NORTH
  OF DEL RIO...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE...
 NEAR CARTA VALLEY AT 1120 PM

IF SEVERE WEATHER APPROACHES YOUR AREA...GO INSIDE A STURDY SHELTER
AWAY FROM CREEK BEDS AND OTHER FLOOD-PRONE AREAS. REMEMBER...A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM CAN PRODUCE LARGE DAMAGING HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS IN
EXCESS OF 55 MPH...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN PRODUCE TORNADOES WITH LITTLE OR NO ADVANCE
WARNING. PREPARE TO MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY STRUCTURE
SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM IF A TORNADO IS SPOTTED.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Oct 22, 8:30 PM CDT, 2 hours 41 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 22, 8:30 PM CDT, 2 hours 41 minutes before
SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
830 PM CDT TUE OCT 22 2002

TEMPS IN THE HILL COUNTRY ALL READY IN THE MID 60S.  WILL LOWER
TEMPS 1 CATEGORY MOST PLACES.  INCOMING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WILL RAIN COOL TEMPS TO NEAR 60.  UPPER DISTURBANCE IN THE JET
STREAM AND RADAR LOOP SHOWS ACTIVITY IS MOVING THROUGH AT 20 TO 25
MPH...WHICH WOULD PUT THE LEADING EDGE AROUND EAGLE PASS AND
ROCKSPRINGS BY MIDNIGHT...AND ALONG THE I-35 CORRIDOR FROM COTULLA
TO GEORGETOWN AROUND 3AM IN THE MORNING.  WILL LEAVE POPS AS IS.
WEAK SFC BOUNDARY FOUND JUST NORTH OF HILL COUNTRY AND SOUTH OF US
FROM LAREDO TO CORPUS.  EAST SFC WINDS ARE FEEDING UP THE RIVER
VALLEY CAUSING THE LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO BECOME MORE
SOLID.  THIS SCENARIO WILL PLAY OUT ALONG THE EASTERN FACE OF THE
ESCARPMENT LATER TONIGHT AS THE RIVER VALLEYS BECOMING THE FOCUSED
LIFTING AREAS.   FARTHER NORTH THE NEXT COLD AIRMASS,  WITH TEMPS IN
THE 30S UNDER CLOUDY SKIES, HAS MOVED THROUGH SOUTHERN KANSAS.

06/08/PM

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
ANALYSIS...
WESTERN 2/3RDS OF CWA SEES LARGE BREAKS IN CLOUD COVER...TEMPS ARE
WARMING QUICKLY TOWARD 80...THE OLD FRONT IS HISTORY.  THIS HEATING
WILL BRING CAPES INTO THE 2500-3000 J/KG RANGE AND STORMS TO NEAR
SEVERE LEVELS. SEVERE THREAT IS MAINLY DUE TO DOWNBURSTS...AS FREEZE
LEVELS REMAIN HIGH.  ISOLATED TORNADOES ALSO POSSIBLE DUE TO STRONG
SHEAR IN THE LOWEST 3 KM (HELICITY 120-150 M2/S2.) THE OTHER CONCERN
IS SPOTTY HEAVY RAIN OVER SOILS THAT ARE NEAR SATURATION FROM THE
RAINS OF THE PAST TWO DAYS. EXPECT WIDESPREAD TSTM EVENT TO DEVELOP
IN THE WEST TONITE AND SPREAD ACROSS THE CWA THRU THE EARLY MORNING
HOURS...MUCH AS OCCURRED LAST NITE.  RAIN AMOUNTS WILL GENERALLY BE
BETWEEN .5 AND 1 INCH...BUT WITH PRECIP WATER VALUES RECOVERING WEST
TO AROUND 1.8 INCHES...ISOLATED TOTALS TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE.
THIS WOULD BE SUFFICIENT FOR FLASH FLOODING. BELIEVE THE GREATEST
THREAT WOULD BE ALONG AND NORTH OF US90 AND ALONG AND EAST OF I35.
IN FACT...THIS IS JUST THE FIRST ROUND OF HEAVY RAIN AND STORMS.
ROUND TWO ARRIVES WED EVENING INTO THU MORNING...WITH A COLD FRONT
DROPPING INTO THE PICTURE THU AFTN.  THAT GIVES THE HIGHEST RAIN
CHANCES THU AFTN INTO FRI MORNING...WITH SIGNIFICANT AND EXTENSIVE
FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE.

FCST TONITE...TSTMS FORMING IN THE WEST AND CROSSING THE CWA LATE
NITE HOURS. FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT. NOT MUCH TEMP CHANGE.

FCST WED...CLOUDY MORNING...PARTLY CLOUDY AFTN WITH STORMS FORMING
IN THE WEST AGAIN. LIKELY WILL CONTINUE FLASH FLOOD WATCH. HIGHS
NEAR 80.  LOWS NEAR 70.

FCST THU...A HIGH PROBABILITY OF TSTMS...MOST NUMEROUS THU AFTN AND
THU NITE. HEAVY RAIN AND FLOODING POSSIBLE.

FCST FRI...WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORMS...WITH FLOODING STILL A THREAT.
BOTH HIGH TEMPS AND LOW TEMPS ARE COOLER.

FCST SAT THRU TUE...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN
THE 60S AND LOWS IN THE 50S.

09/01/PM

PRELIMS...
AUS TT 065/078 066/072 062 778+
DRT TT 066/080 067/078 063 5567
SAT TT 067/078 067/076 064 778+

.EWX...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THRU TONIGHT ALONG AND EAST OF DRT TO SAT
TO PLEASANTON
Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 22, 5:39 AM CDT, 17 hours 32 minutes before
TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-231100-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
539 AM CDT TUE OCT 22 2002

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...
A WET WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE AS DISTURBANCES MOVING ACROSS
FROM NORTHERN MEXICO INTERACT WITH A MOIST GULF AIRMASS ACROSS
CENTRAL AND SOUTH TEXAS. SOME STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE LATER TODAY
AND TONIGHT...PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL TEXAS LATER
TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...
A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL EXIST THROUGH THURSDAY...
AS THE WET WEATHER PATTERN HOLDS OVER THE AREA. A COLD FRONT WILL
EASE INTO SOUTHCENTRAL TEXAS LATE THURSDAY AND INTO FRIDAY. SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT. BEHIND
THE FRONT...THE THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL DIMINISH...BUT
THE THREAT OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL PERSIST.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 22, 9:19 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXVal Verde3 hr
Oct 23, 3:25 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXBexar, Guadalupe4 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Texas, 2002Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2002

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.