Severe Thunderstorm Warning 55, NWS Corpus Christi, TX

COASTAL BEND FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1115 AM CDT THU OCT 24 2002

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR ALL OF THE CWA
EXCEPT LASALLE AND WEBB COUNTIES UNTIL 4 PM CDT. UPDATING ZONES TO
INCLUDE WATCH.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
TSRAS BEGINNING TO ENTER FAR NW CWA IN RESPONSE TO SHORTWAVE
TREKKING NE. ISOLATED SHRAS DVLPG AND MOVG ALONG LOW LEV SLY
INFLOW. CRP AND BRO 12Z SOUNDINGS INDICATE A MOIST AND UNSTABLE
AIRMASS IS IN PLACE. MSAS ANALYSIS ALSO INDICATES SFC CONV/THETA E
RIDGING/LIFT ARE ALL IN PLACE ACROSS THE CWA. EXPECT TSRAS TO
INCREASE IN AREAL COVERAGE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. CURRENT FCST HAS
GOOD HANDLE ON EVOLVING WX SCENARIO AND WILL NOT BE MAKING ANY
CHANGES ATTM.

MARINE...MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS OVER THE AREA.  EXPECT SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP OVER THE MARINE ZONES THIS
AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL GENERALLY REMAIN OUT OF THE EAST AT 10 TO 15
KNOTS...WITH HIGHER GUSTS IN AND AROUND THE THUNDERSTORMS. SEAS WILL
RUN 3 TO 5 FEET. NO CHANGES NEEDED AT THIS TIME.

.CRP...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH TONIGHT TXZ229>234-239>247
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH UNTIL 4 PM CDT TXZ230>234-240>247

TE...81
CW...78

TXZ229>234-239>247-251100-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1145 AM CDT THU OCT 24 2002

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE COASTAL
BEND...VICTORIA CROSSROADS AREA AND PORTIONS OF THE RIO GRANDE
PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON. THE MAIN SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL BE
DAMAGING WINDS AND SOME HAIL. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT
THROUGH TONIGHT. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE WITH THE SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
EMERGENCY MANAGERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS AND STORM SPOTTERS MAY BE
NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...
A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES WILL COMBINE WITH ABUNDANT
MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY TO GENERATE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH
MONDAY.

TXZ230>234-240>247-242100-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1116 AM CDT THU OCT 24 2002

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CDT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
VALID UNTIL 400 PM CDT THURSDAY AFTERNOON. THE WATCH INCLUDES THE
COUNTIES OF ARANSAS...BEE...CALHOUN...DUVAL...GOLIAD...JIM WELLS...
KLEBERG...LIVE OAK...MCMULLEN...NUECES...REFUGIO...SAN PATRICIO AND
VICTORIA. SOME CITIES INCLUDED IN THE WATCH ARE ALICE...ARANSAS
PASS...BEEVILLE...BENAVIDES...CORPUS CHRISTI...GEORGE WEST...
GOLIAD...INGLESIDE...KINGSVILLE...MATHIS...PORT ARANSAS...PORT
LAVACA...PORT OCONNOR...PORTLAND...REFUGIO...ROBSTOWN...ROCKPORT...
SEADRIFT...SINTON...SKIDMORE...THREE RIVERS...TILDEN AND VICTORIA.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS TO OCCUR IN OR NEAR THE WATCH AREA. SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS ARE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL THE SIZE OF A DIME
OR LARGER...STRONG WINDS OF 58 MPH OR GREATER AND EVEN TORNADOES.

EMERGENCY MANAGERS AND SPOTTER GROUPS SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR POSSIBLE
ACTIVATION. RESIDENTS ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT AND BE
READY TO ACT QUICKLY IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES YOUR AREA. IF
SEVERE WEATHER THREATENS YOUR AREA...THEN MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM
AND LAY DOWN ON THE FLOOR. IF CAUGHT OUTSIDE...LAY FLAT DOWN ON THE
GROUND...PREFERABLY IN A DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT. NEVER TRY TO OUTRUN
SEVERE WEATHER.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR ADDITIONAL STATEMENTS OR
POSSIBLE WARNINGS REGARDING THIS DEVELOPING WEATHER SITUATION.

FOR THE LATEST WEATHER FORECASTS AND WARNINGS...CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/CRP