Alert archive / Texas / Flash Flood Warnings in 2002
Flash Flood Warning 38, NWS Corpus Christi, TX
NWS Corpus Christi, TX issued this flash flood warning at Jul 16, 2002, 5:56 AM CDT for Goliad County, Victoria County, Texas. It was in force for 2 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 16, 2002, 5:56 AM CDT (10:56 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 16, 2002, 8:00 AM CDT
- In force
- 2 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Corpus Christi, TX
- Area
- Counties, with a storm outline in the text
Counties Goliad County, TX, Victoria County, TX
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this flash flood warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The nearest sounding before it
Corpus Christi, TX (KCRP), launched 00:00Z, 10.9 hours before the alert went out and 99 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1494 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -13 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 591 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 33 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 39 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 118 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.5
- Supercell composite
- 3.7
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WGUS54 KCRP 161056 FFWCRP TXC175-469-161300- BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED FLASH FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX 555 AM CDT TUE JUL 16 2002 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CORPUS CHRISTI HAS ISSUED A * FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR... GOLIAD COUNTY IN TEXAS WESTERN VICTORIA COUNTY IN TEXAS * UNTIL 800 AM CDT * AT 554 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED VERY HEAVY RAIN 18 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BERCLAIR...OR ABOUT 9 MILES WEST OF REFUGIO...MOVING NORTH AT 20 MPH. RAINFALL AMOUNTS BETWEEN 1 AND 2 INCHES HAVE ALREADY FALLEN ACROSS THE AREA. ADDITIONAL AMOUNTS BETWEEN 1 AND 2 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE. * SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED INCLUDE.... BERCLAIR... FANNIN... GOLIAD... MISSION VALLEY... NURSERY... SCHROEDER... EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM THIS STORM WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING OF SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS...HIGHWAYS AND UNDERPASSES. ADDITIONALLY...COUNTRY ROADS AND FARMLANDS ALONG THE BANKS OF CREEKS AND STREAMS AND OTHER LOW LYING AREAS ARE SUBJECT TO FLASH FLOODING. LAT...LON 2840 9748 2863 9698 2900 9706 2867 9770
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Corpus Christi, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Jul 16, 2:23 AM CDT, 3 hours 33 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 16, 2:23 AM CDT, 3 hours 33 minutes before
COASTAL BEND FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
223 AM CDT TUE JUL 16 2002
SHORT TERM...CONCUR WITH THE ETA/AVN THAT THE UPPER TROUGH WILL LIFT
SLOWLY NWD TDA...YET STILL CONTRIBUTE TO SYNOPTIC SCALE LIFT OVER
THE CWFA. EXPECT THE WEAK BNDRY CURRENTLY OVER THE SRN CWFA TO
PROVIDE SFC FORCING OVER THE CWFA TDA. PROXIMITY SOUNDINGS INDICATE
EXTREMELY MOIST CONDITIONS OVR THE REGION. THE COMBINATION OF
SFC-UPPER FORCING/COPIOUS MSTR WILL LIKELY RESULT IN WIDESPREAD PCPN
OVER THE CWFA TDA. WL MAINTAIN THE FFA FOR THE CWFA THROUGH 0Z WED.
AFTER 0Z...SIGNIFICANT DRYING/UPPER RIDGING EXPECTED TO TAKE PLACE.
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY CURRENTLY REVEALS THE DRYING ASSOCIATED WITH
THIS RIDGING MOVG WWD ACROSS THE CNTRL GULF. WL FCST AT LEAST LIKELY
POPS OVER THE CWFA TDA...WITH SIGNIFICANTLY LOWER POPS TONIGHT/WED.
EXTENDED...DO NOT ANTICIPATE PCPN THU-SAT...AS THE RIDGE
BUILDS/DRYING DEVELOPS OVER THE REGION. THE MRF PROGS THE FOREGOING
UPPER TROUGH TO ROTATE AROUND THE UPPER RIDGE AND AFFECT THE CWFA
AGAIN BY SUN. WL MAINTAIN A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR CONVECTION SUN-MON.
MARINE...DECENT DYNAMICS IN THE FORM OF UPR DIFLUENCE WL SUSTAIN
WIDESPREAD CONVECTION FOR AT LEAST ONE MORE FCST PERIOD. SOME STORMS
MAY CONTAIN MIX DOWN SOME STRONG WINDS AND WL MENTION THIS IN THE
FCST. HOWEVER...IT DOES APPEAR THAT THESE DYNAMICS WL BEGIN
BREAKING DOWN LATER TDA AND ESPECIALLY TNT. THUS...THE COVERAGE OF
PCPN WL BE ON THE DECLINE. STILL THINK THERE WL BE ENOUGH RESIDUAL
LOW LVL MOISTURE TO KEEP IN ISOLATED POPS ON WED AND THU. IT DOES
APPEAR THAT MARGINAL SCA CONDITIONS WL CONTINUE FOR THE
NEARSHORE/OFFSHORE WATERS FOR AT LEAST TDA WITH SCEC CONDITIONS FOR
THE BAYS. ONSHORE FLOW WL SLOWLY RELAX TO MORE TYPICAL JULY LVLS AS
THE MODERATE LLJ SLOWLY DECREASES OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
CRP TE 087/078 090/075 093 87732
VCT TE 085/075 091/074 094 87632
LRD TE 087/076 092/075 095 87643
.CRP...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR TXZ229>234-239>247 TIL 0Z WED.
SCA GMZ250-255-270-275.
87 (SYNOPTIC)
80 (MARINE)The office that day
Everything else NWS Corpus Christi, TX issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 16, 2:28 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | CRP | Duval, Jim Wells, Live Oak | 3 hr |
| Jul 16, 4:43 AM CDT | Special Marine Warning | CRP | 2 hr | |
| Jul 16, 4:43 AM CDT | Special Marine Warning | CRP | 2 hr | |
| Jul 16, 6:26 AM CDT | Special Marine Warning | CRP | 2 hr | |
| Jul 16, 6:26 AM CDT | Special Marine Warning | CRP | 2 hr | |
| Jul 16, 8:35 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | CRP | Victoria | 3 hr |
| Jul 16, 9:00 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | CRP | Aransas, Goliad, Refugio | 3 hr |
| Jul 16, 11:25 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | CRP | Victoria | 3 hr |
| Jul 16, 12:46 PM CDT | Special Marine Warning | CRP | 119 min | |
| Jul 16, 12:46 PM CDT | Special Marine Warning | CRP | 119 min |
Nearby
Flash Flood Warnings in Texas, 2002Every flash flood warning in 2002
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.