Flash Flood Warning 37, NWS Corpus Christi, TX

000 
WGUS74 KCRP 160920
FFSCRP
TXC131-249-297-161045-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
413 AM CDT TUE JUL 16 2002

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR DUVAL...JIM WELLS AND LIVE OAK 
COUNTIES REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH 530 AM CDT...

AT 420 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY 
HEAVY RAIN CONTINUING ACROSS NORTHEAST DUVAL...NORTHWEST JIM WELLS 
AND LIVE OAK COUNTIES.  NO REPORTS OF FLOODING HAVE BEEN RECEIVED AT 
THIS TIME.   WHILE THIS AREA HAS WEAKENED WITHIN THE PAST HOUR... 
ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE DEVELOPING AROUND THE AREA 
AND WILL CONTINUE THIS TREND THROUGH THE MORNING HOUR.  THUS... 
ADDITIONAL WARNINGS MAY BE NECESSARY.   

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODS AND FLASH FLOODS. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED...
ACT QUICKLY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT
STAY IN AREAS SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.

STAY TUNED TO LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS AND NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR THE 
LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION.

$$

MB

COASTAL BEND FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
223 AM CDT TUE JUL 16 2002

SHORT TERM...CONCUR WITH THE ETA/AVN THAT THE UPPER TROUGH WILL LIFT
SLOWLY NWD TDA...YET STILL CONTRIBUTE TO SYNOPTIC SCALE LIFT OVER
THE CWFA. EXPECT THE WEAK BNDRY CURRENTLY OVER THE SRN CWFA TO
PROVIDE SFC FORCING OVER THE CWFA TDA. PROXIMITY SOUNDINGS INDICATE
EXTREMELY MOIST CONDITIONS OVR THE REGION. THE COMBINATION OF
SFC-UPPER FORCING/COPIOUS MSTR WILL LIKELY RESULT IN WIDESPREAD PCPN
OVER THE CWFA TDA. WL MAINTAIN THE FFA FOR THE CWFA THROUGH 0Z WED.
AFTER 0Z...SIGNIFICANT DRYING/UPPER RIDGING EXPECTED TO TAKE PLACE.
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY CURRENTLY REVEALS THE DRYING ASSOCIATED WITH
THIS RIDGING MOVG WWD ACROSS THE CNTRL GULF. WL FCST AT LEAST LIKELY
POPS OVER THE CWFA TDA...WITH SIGNIFICANTLY LOWER POPS TONIGHT/WED.

EXTENDED...DO NOT ANTICIPATE PCPN THU-SAT...AS THE RIDGE
BUILDS/DRYING DEVELOPS OVER THE REGION. THE MRF PROGS THE FOREGOING
UPPER TROUGH TO ROTATE AROUND THE UPPER RIDGE AND AFFECT THE CWFA
AGAIN BY SUN. WL MAINTAIN A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR CONVECTION SUN-MON.

MARINE...DECENT DYNAMICS IN THE FORM OF UPR DIFLUENCE WL SUSTAIN
WIDESPREAD CONVECTION FOR AT LEAST ONE MORE FCST PERIOD. SOME STORMS
MAY CONTAIN MIX DOWN SOME STRONG WINDS AND WL MENTION THIS IN THE
FCST.  HOWEVER...IT DOES APPEAR THAT THESE DYNAMICS WL BEGIN
BREAKING DOWN LATER TDA AND ESPECIALLY TNT.  THUS...THE COVERAGE OF
PCPN WL BE ON THE DECLINE.  STILL THINK THERE WL BE ENOUGH RESIDUAL
LOW LVL MOISTURE TO KEEP IN ISOLATED POPS ON WED AND THU.  IT DOES
APPEAR THAT MARGINAL SCA CONDITIONS WL CONTINUE FOR THE
NEARSHORE/OFFSHORE WATERS FOR AT LEAST TDA WITH SCEC CONDITIONS FOR
THE BAYS.  ONSHORE FLOW WL SLOWLY RELAX TO MORE TYPICAL JULY LVLS AS
THE MODERATE LLJ SLOWLY DECREASES OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

CRP TE 087/078 090/075 093 87732
VCT TE 085/075 091/074 094 87632
LRD TE 087/076 092/075 095 87643

.CRP...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR TXZ229>234-239>247 TIL 0Z WED.
       SCA GMZ250-255-270-275.

87 (SYNOPTIC)
80 (MARINE)