Flash Flood Warning 35, NWS Corpus Christi, TX

000 
WGUS74 KCRP 152346
FFSCRP
TXC131-160000-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
645 PM CDT MON JUL 15 2002

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR DUVAL COUNTY HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE...

AT 645 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED JUST AN
AREA OF LIGHT RAIN OVER DUVAL COUNTY.  SIGNIFICANT HEAVY RAINFALL IS
NOT EXPECTED FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT COUPLE HOURS.  THEREFORE...THE
FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR DUVAL COUNTY HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

STAY TUNED TO LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS AND NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR THE
LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION.

$$

TR

COASTAL BEND FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
225 PM CDT MON JUL 15 2002

WILL CONTINUE FLASH FLOOD WATCH THRU TUE. SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS
ABUNDANT MOISTURE RAPIDLY STREAMING UP FROM THE SRN GULF...AND A
NEARLY STATIONARY LOW OVER MEX/W CWA...WITH A VORT MAX STRETCHED
ACROSS S AND CENT TX. ANOTHER VORT MAX WAS OVER MEX SWINGING AROUND
BACK SIDE OF TROF AXIS...WHICH IS EXPECTED TO SWING AROUND AND UP
TWD THE CWA TONIGHT...AS WELL AS A VORT MAX MOVG N ALONG MEX COAST.
UPPER LEVEL STREAM LINE ANALYSIS ALSO INDICATES STRONG DIFFLUENCE
ALOFT...WITH CWA UNDER INFLUENCE OF RRQ OF JET. A SFC BDRY ALONG THE
COAST IS EXPECTED TO RETREAT AS A SEABREEZE...WHICH WILL BE ENHANCED
BY AN APPROACHING BDRY CURRENTLY OFFSHORE RAPIDLY MOVG TWD THE
COAST. THE COMBINATION OF THESE FEATURES WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE
NUMEROUS TSRAS THRU TUE...WITH A CONTINUED THREAT OF HVY
RAINFALL/FLOODING ACROSS S TX.

MODELS IN AGREEMENT WITH PLACEMENT OF MAIN TROF AXIS BUT DIFFER IN
PLACEMENT AND TIMING OF IMPULSES/VORT MAXS. WILL BE GOING MORE BY
SATELLITE FOR TIMING OF THE IMPULSES. ALTHOUGH AM EXPECTING HVY RAIN
ACROSS ALL OF CWA...MODELS AND MOS GUIDANCE INDICATE WEBB COUNTY
WITH A SLIGHTLY LESS CHANCE WITH THE MAIN FOCUS BEING OVER THE E AND
N PORTIONS OF CWA. AM PLANNING ON GOING CATEGORICAL N AND E ZONES
WITH LIKELY WEBB CO FOR TONIGHT. ETA KEEPS MOISTURE/VORT MAX
AFFECTING THE CWA THROUGH MUCH OF TUE WHILE AVN STARTS TO DRY US OUT
SOONER WITH A RIDGE BLDING IN FROM THE E. BOTH MODELS AGREE WITH
RIDGE IN CONTROL BY WED. SUFFICIENT RESIDUAL LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL
WARRANT KEEPING SLIGHT CHANCE TO LOW END CHANCE POPS WED.

WILL KEEP EXTENDED FCST DRY THRU NEXT SAT. AVN KEEPS PWATS AT OR
BELOW 1.5 INCHES WITH MOISTURE BEING LIMITED TO LOWEST LEVELS. CAN
NOT RULE OUT A MAVERICK STORM WITH SEABREEZE...BUT WILL BE TOO
INSIGNIFICANT ATTM TO MENTION IN ZONES. BY SUN...MRF INDICATES A
TROP WAVE WITH INCREASING MOISTURE SUN AND MON. WILL INCLUDE SLIGHT
CHANCE FOR SUN/MON.

WINDS/TEMPS...ASIDE FROM BDRIES...OVERALL WIND FIELD WILL BE SE WITH
GRADIENT TIGHTENING ON TUES WITH AROUND 15 MPH EXPECTED. OVERNIGHT
LOWS MAY BE A DEGREE OR TWO COOLER THAN GUIDANCE DUE TO RAINFALL.

MARINE...PRES GRADIENT WILL TIGHTEN THROUGH TONIGHT AND REMAIN MOD
TO STRONG THROUGH TUESDAY. WILL ISSUE SCAS FOR COASTAL WATERS
TONIGHT EXPANDING TO ALL AREAS TOMORROW AS LLJ IS MIXED DOWN. WILL
MAINTAIN NUM SH/TSRA AS TROPICAL MOISTURE STREAMS INTO THE REGION.
PRECIP WILL DIMINISH BY WED AS DRIER AIR MOVES IN. WILL KEEP DRY
FCST GOING INTO THE WEEKEND WITH WEAK-MOD ONSHORE FLOW.

PRELIMS FOLLOW...
CRP TT 076/084 078/091 077 8732-
VCT TT 073/082 076/089 075 8843-
LRD TT 075/084 077/088 077 7643-

TE(81)...SYNOPTIC
JM(75)...MESO/MARINE

.CRP...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR TXZ229>234-239>247 THROUGH TUE.
       SCA GMZ250-255-270-275.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI,TX
1035 AM CDT MON JUL 15 2002

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

1025 AM    COTULLA                   TX   FLOOD
07/15/02   LASALLE                        SEVERAL STREETS HAVE BEEN
                                          REPORTED FLOODED IN
                                          COTULLA.                              LIVE OAK COUNTY.

1030 AM    TILDEN                    TX   FLOOD
07/15/02   MCMULLEN                       SEVERAL STREETS HAVE BEEN
                                          REPORTED FLOODED IN
                                          TILDEN.