Special Marine Warning 2, NWS Brownsville, TX

DEEP SOUTH TEXAS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
920 PM CDT FRI MAY 17 2002

NOT MUCH TIME TO LOOK AT MODEL DATA TONIGHT AS VERY ACTIVE WEATHER
CONTINUES ACROSS THE CWA. INTENSE THUNDERSTORMS OFF THE HIGHER
TERRAIN IN MEXICO CONTINUE TO FEED OFF EASTERLY INFLOW. INTENSE
STORMS ALSO ARE DRIFTING SOUTHWARD ALONG FRONTAL BOUNDARY. MERGING
AND COLLIDING CELLS AND BOUNDARIES ARE LEADING TO NEW DEVELOPMENT
OVER MAINLY HIDALGO AND BROOKS COUNTIES AT PRESS TIME. NUMEROUS
DAMAGE REPORTS HAVE BEEN RECEIVED FROM ZAPATA COUNTY. LATEST
TORNADIC STORM MAY PRODUCE DAMAGE IN BROOKS COUNTY AS WELL.

POTENTIAL REMAINS FOR SEVERE WEATHER AND FLOODING OVERNIGHT
CWA-WIDE. AN INCREASING THREAT OF HEAVY RAINS AND FLOODING CAN BE
EXPECTED OVERNIGHT AS THIS BECOMES MORE OF A RAIN EVENT. IT APPEARS
THAT CAMERON COUNTY WILL LIKELY BE THE LAST AREA TO EXPERIENCE SOME
WEATHER TONIGHT. ZONES WERE UPDATED EARLIER TO HANDLE THESE
CONTINGENCIES.

MARINE...SEAS 4 FEET OFFSHORE WITH EAST WINDS 15 TO 25 KNOTS. SCAS
REMAIN IN EFFECT DUE TO AN EXPECTED INCREASE IN WINDS AND
ANTICIPATED CONVECTION.

SYNOPTIC...60...58
MESO-MARINE-AVIATION...52

INTERNET ADDRESS...WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/BRO

.BRO...NONE.

TXZ248>257-181200-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
430 PM CDT FRI MAY 17 2002

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS...SOME POSSIBLY SEVERE...EXPECTED TONIGHT...

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...SOME POSSIBLY SEVERE...ARE
EXPECTED ACROSS DEEP SOUTH TEXAS THROUGH LATE SATURDAY MORNING.
THE AIRMASS OVER THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY IS VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE.
AN APPROACHING FRONTAL BOUNDARY...AS WELL AS OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES FROM
EARLIER CONVECTION...WILL SERVE AS THE FOCUS FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF
THESE STORMS. AS WE GO THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING AND LATE NIGHT
HOURS THE MAIN THREAT FROM THESE STRONG STORMS WILL BE GUSTY
WINDS...HEAVY RAINFALL...AND HAIL. ALL RESIDENTS OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS
SHOULD BE AWARE OF THE LIKELIHOOD OF THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING
THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. CONTINUE TO MONITOR LOCAL
TELEVISION...RADIO AND CABLE OUTLETS...ALONG WITH NOAA WEATHER
RADIO...FOR ANY WARNINGS OR WEATHER STATEMENTS. PHILO

PHILO