Alert archive / New York / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2002
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 23, NWS Albany, NY
NWS Albany, NY issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 31, 2002, 3:55 PM EDT for Herkimer County, New York. It was in force for 65 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- May 31, 2002, 3:55 PM EDT (19:55 UTC)
- Expired
- May 31, 2002, 5:00 PM EDT
- In force
- 65 min
- Issued by
- NWS Albany, NY
- Area
- Whole counties
County Herkimer County, NY
The watch it was issued in
The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.
| Issued | Product | Office | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2:00 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 5 hr |
The nearest sounding before it
Albany, NY (KALY), launched 12:00Z, 7.9 hours before the alert went out and 123 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 59 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -161 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 835 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 30 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 138 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 141 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WUUS51 KALY 311955 SVRALY NYC043-312100- BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 355 PM EDT FRI MAY 31 2002 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... SOUTHERN HERKIMER COUNTY IN CENTRAL NEW YORK * UNTIL 500 PM EDT * AT 351 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM NEAR WEST FRANKFORT...OR ABOUT OVER UTICA... MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH. * THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR... FRANKFORT AND ELIZABETHTOWN AT 400 PM EDT HERKIMER AND MOHAWK AT 405 PM EDT FAIRFIELD AND PAINES HOLLOW AT 410 PM EDT LITTLE FALLS AT 415 PM EDT THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH YOU SHOULD PREPARE FOR DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 55 MPH...LARGE HAIL...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER NOW. $$ LAT...LON 4326 7517 4298 7524 4290 7486 4324 7476
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Albany, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 31, 3:54 PM EDT, 1 minute earlier.
Area forecast discussion, May 31, 3:54 PM EDT, 1 minute before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 355 PM AM EDT FRI MAY 31 2002 WORKZONES AVAILABLE. ZONES OUT THE DOOR BY 4. .DISC...ITS DEJA-VOUS...FROM 4 YEARS AGO THOUGH WE WILL MAY NOT ISSUE WELL OVER 40 WARNINGS LIKE THAT DAY...WE HAVE ALREADY ISSUE 19 WARNINGS...WITH MANY OF THEM VERIFYING WITH WIND AND HAIL. (SEE THE LATEST ALBLSRALY FOR ALL THE DETAILS). THERE MIGHT BE A SECOND ROUND OF SVR AS ANOTHER SERIES OF LINES ARE STILL FIRING UP AHEAD OF THE REAL FRONT WHICH IS ONLY NOW ENTERING WRN NY STATE. WILL OBVIOUSLY INCLUDE AN EARLY UPDATE TO INCLUDE ONGOING WX. MODELS ALL INDICATE THAT THE ACTIVITY SHOULD BE OVER BY 8PM...JUST AS THE TONIGHT PERIOD REALLY GETS GOING. THE FRONT SHOULD BE CROSSING THE REGION BY THEN...WITH ALL THE ENERGY AND LIFT EXITING THE REGION TO THE SE. EXPECT A QUIET NIGHT WITH CLEARING AND LOWERING HUMIDITY AS THE WIND SHIFTS INTO THE W AND PICKS UP. THE WEEKEND WILL FEATURE DRIER WX (FOR A CHANGE). HOWEVER...ANOTHER COLD FRONT...FROM THE STILL MOSTLY FROZEN WATERS OF THE HUDSON BAY REGION WILL SLIP SOUTH BY LATE IN THE DAY/EVENING HOURS ON SAT. THE MESO-ETA GIVES A CAPE UP TO NEARLY 500 J/KG N OF KALB BY THE AFTERNOON...AND AT LEAST 300 ELSEWHERE. DIVERGENCE WITH THE RFQ OF THE UPPER JETLET WILL SKIM ACROSS OUR NRN SXNS BY LATE IN THE DAY. HAVE DECIDED TO INCLUDE A CHC TSRA/SHRA LATE IN THE NORTHERN ZONES BUT WILL KEEP THEM OUT FROM KALB SWD. (THE DIFFERENCE IN POPS BETWEEN THE MAV AND FWC ARE NEARLY 50...WITH THE MAVS HIGH). BELIEVE ANY STORMS THAT DO DEVELOP FROM THE CD ON SOUTHWARD WILL BE ISOLATED IN THE 20 PERCENT RANGE...AND NOT WORTH MENTIONING ATTM. WILL CONFINE A CHC OF SHRAS/TSRA FOR THE EVENING HOURS ONLY ON SAT AS THE ATMOSPHERE STABILIZES LATER ON. NO LIFT LEFT...AND SOME DRYING...SO WILL FORECAST DRY FOR OVERNIGHT. H8 TEMPS PROGGED TO DROP TO ABOUT 3C BY SUNDAY PM...QUITE UNSEASONABLY COOL FOR THE TIME OF YEAR. AM CONCERN THERE WILL LOTS OF SC (AND POSSIBLE MOUNTAIN SHOWERS) FOR SUNDAY...BUT WILL CONTINUE TO KEEP DRY WITH A PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKY. UA FLOW LOOKS SOMEWHAT ZONAL AS WE HEAD INTO NEXT WEEK. THE FLOW ACTUALLY REMAINS WNW ENOUGH TO POSSIBLY KEEP NEXT SHORT WAVE TO THE SOUTH...BUT WILL KEEP CHC FROM ABOUT KALB SOUTH SINCE THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY. UNCERTAINTY IS DEFINITELY THERE CONCERNING THE FOLLOWING SHORT WAVE FOR LATER TUE/WED...BUT AGAIN WILL CONFINE S...WHILE THE THIRD ONE COULD BRING PCPN EVERYWHERE LATER IN THE WEEK. NO HEAT WAVES ARE IN THE OFFING...TEMPS WILL RETURN TO SLIGHTLY BELOW SEASONABLE LEVELS DURING THIS TIME FRAME. .HYDROLOGICAL STATUS...KENX RADAR SHOWS STORM TOTALS TO BE MAX OUT ABOUT 2 INCHES ACROSS THE MOHAWK VALLEY WITH LESSER AMOUNTS ELSEWHERE. TOTALS MIGHT BE SOMEWHAT HAIL CONTAMINATED. EITHER WAY...STORMS HAVE BEEN MOVING QUICKLY (UP TO 50 MPH) AND RAINFALL THUS FAR HAS NOT BEEN THE MAIN PROBLEM. WILL HAVE TO KEEP AN EYE ON THE SECOND BATCH WHICH MIGHT DELIVERY UP TO AN INCH OR 2 MORE RAINFALL BUT ANY ANY FLOODING THAT MIGHT OCCUR WITH THE NEXT LINE WOULD BE EXTREMELY LOCALIZED AND NOT WARRANTED A FFA AT THIS TIME. .ALY...SVR THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR ALL ZONES UNTIL 7 OR 8 EDT.
In the hours before
Special weather statement, May 31, 12:27 PM EDT, 3 hours 28 minutes before
NYZ033-311700- SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 1227 PM EDT FRI MAY 31 2002 ...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM IN HAMILTON COUNTY... AT 1227 PM EDT DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 21 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SPECULATOR...MOVING EAST AT 55 MPH. THIS THUNDERSTORM...CAPABLE OF PRODUCING...WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH...AND HEAVY RAIN...WILL BE NEAR... LAKE PLEASANT AT 1235 PM EDT... WELLS AT 1240 PM EDT... HOPE AT 1245 PM EDT...
Special weather statement, May 31, 12:49 PM EDT, 3 hours 6 minutes before
NYZ033-039-311715- SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 1249 PM EDT FRI MAY 31 2002 ...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM IN HAMILTON AND FULTON COUNTIES... AT 1249 PM EDT DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER ARIETTA...OR 16 MILES NORTHWEST OF GLOVERSVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH. THIS THUNDERSTORM...CAPABLE OF PRODUCING...WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH...AND HEAVY RAIN...WILL BE NEAR... UPPER BENSON AT 105 PM EDT... HOPE AND WELLS AT 110 PM EDT... NORTHVILLE AT 115 PM EDT...
Special weather statement, May 31, 1:45 PM EDT, 2 hours 10 minutes before
NYZ063-064-311830- SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 145 PM EDT FRI MAY 31 2002 ...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM IN ULSTER COUNTY... AT 143 PM EDT DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 3 MILES NORTHWEST OF ULSTERVILLE...OR 3 MILES SOUTH OF ELLENVILLE... MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH. THIS THUNDERSTORM...CAPABLE OF PRODUCING...WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH...POSSIBLE SMALL HAIL...AND HEAVY RAIN...WILL BE NEAR... KERHONKSON AT 155 PM EDT... WALLKILL AT 200 PM EDT... MOHONK LAKE AT 205 PM EDT... MODENA AT 210 PM EDT... NEW PALTZ AND CLINTONDALE AT 215 PM EDT... TILLSON AND ROSENDALE AT 220 PM EDT... BRIEF HEAVY DOWNPOURS WILL PRODUCE RAINFALL IN EXCESS OF A QUARTER INCH. OTHER STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP IN NORTHERN ULSTER COUNTY. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM EDT FRIDAY EVENING FOR EASTERN NEW YORK. WASULA/CEMPA
Special weather statement, May 31, 2:32 PM EDT, 1 hour 23 minutes before
MAZ001-NYZ060-061-311915- SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 232 PM EDT FRI MAY 31 2002 ...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM IN BERKSHIRE AND COLUMBIA COUNTIES... AT 230 PM EDT DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 4 MILES NORTHWEST OF ANCRAM...OR 12 MILES SOUTH OF HUDSON...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH. THIS THUNDERSTORM...CAPABLE OF PRODUCING...WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH...POSSIBLE SMALL HAIL...AND HEAVY RAIN...WILL BE NEAR... COPAKE AT 240 PM EDT... SOUTH EGREMONT AND SHEFFIELD AT 250 PM EDT... GREAT BARRINGTON AND HOUSATONIC AT 255 PM EDT... MONTEREY AT 300 PM EDT... SANDISFIELD AT 305 PM EDT... OTIS AT 310 PM EDT... RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL VARY FROM ONE TENTH TO ONE THIRD OF AN INCH FROM THIS THUNDERSTORM. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM EDT FRIDAY EVENING FOR EASTERN NEW YORK. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM EDT FRIDAY EVENING FOR WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND SOUTHERN VERMONT. WASULA/CEMPA
Special weather statement, May 31, 3:15 PM EDT, 40 minutes before
CTZ001-MAZ001-NYZ032-033-038>043-047>054-058>061-063>066-VTZ013-014- 010230- SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 315 PM EDT FRI MAY 31 2002 ...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING... A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH EASTERN NEW YORK AND ADJACENT WESTERN NEW ENGLAND THROUGH THIS EVENING. IN ADVANCE OF THIS FRONT...MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR IS IN PLACE...FUELING SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE REGION. A SERIES OF LINES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE MOVED THROUGH NEW YORK STATE AND VERMONT THIS AFTERNOON. THESE STORMS HAVE PRODUCED STRONG GUSTY WINDS...HAIL AND CAUSED NUMEROUS TREES AND POWERLINES DOWN THROUGHOUT EASTERN NEW YORK. ANOTHER LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP IN ADVANCE OF THE COLD FRONT AND BRING MORE SEVERE WEATHER TO NORTHERN NEW YORK AND VERMONT. A LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS JUST WEST OF THE NORTHERN ADIRONDACKS AND MOHAWK VALLEY WILL CONTINUE INCREASE IN INTENSITY AND MOVE ACROSS NEW YORK...SOUTHERN VERMONT...THE BERKSHIRES AND LITCHFIELD COUNTY BETWEEN 300 PM AND 800 PM. THESE STORMS WILL CONTAIN STRONG GUSTY WINDS...DOWNPOURS AND LARGE HAIL. THE STORMS WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL EVENTUALLY DISSIPATE LATE THIS EVENING AS A COLD FRONT MOVES OUT OF THE REGION. DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL...AND TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS WILL BE THE MAIN SEVERE WEATHER THREAT THROUGH THIS EVENING. STAY ALERT FOR THE LATEST UPDATES FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ...AND PREPARE NOW FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF SEVERE WEATHER. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR ANY MEDIA OUTLET THAT PROVIDES YOU WITH THE LATEST PRODUCTS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM EDT FRIDAY EVENING FOR EASTERN NEW YORK. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM EDT FRIDAY EVENING FOR WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND SOUTHERN VERMONT. VTK
Special weather statement, May 31, 3:18 PM EDT, 37 minutes before
NYZ032-033-311945- SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 318 PM EDT FRI MAY 31 2002 ...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS IN HAMILTON AND HERKIMER COUNTIES... AT 318 PM EDT DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 5 MILES SOUTHEAST OF INLET TO 3 MILES NORTHWEST OF HOFFMEISTER TO 3 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BARNEVELD...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 12 MILES EAST OF OLD FORGE TO 22 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SPECULATOR TO 11 MILES NORTH OF UTICA...MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH. THESE THUNDERSTORMS...CAPABLE OF PRODUCING...WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH...POSSIBLE SMALL HAIL...AND HEAVY RAIN...WILL BE NEAR... HOFFMEISTER AT 330 PM EDT... SPECULATOR AND SABAEL AT 345 PM EDT... A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM EDT FRIDAY EVENING FOR EASTERN NEW YORK. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM EDT FRIDAY EVENING FOR WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND SOUTHERN VERMONT.
The office that day
Everything else NWS Albany, NY issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 12:59 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Herkimer | 61 min |
| May 31, 1:21 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Fulton, Montgomery | 54 min |
| May 31, 1:35 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Saratoga, Warren, Washington | 55 min |
| May 31, 1:59 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Dutchess, Ulster | 61 min |
| May 31, 2:04 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Schoharie | 71 min |
| May 31, 2:15 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Saratoga, Schenectady | 60 min |
| May 31, 2:17 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Montgomery | 43 min |
| May 31, 2:38 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Washington | 67 min |
| May 31, 2:47 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Albany, Rensselaer | 58 min |
| May 31, 3:00 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Dutchess | 45 min |
| May 31, 3:46 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Rensselaer | 44 min |
| May 31, 3:49 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Columbia | 26 min |
| May 31, 4:16 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Fulton, Montgomery | 59 min |
| May 31, 4:46 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Saratoga | 59 min |
| May 31, 4:59 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Dutchess, Schenectady, Ulster | 61 min |
| May 31, 5:01 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Schoharie | 59 min |
| May 31, 5:10 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Washington | 65 min |
| May 31, 5:12 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Albany | 63 min |
| May 31, 5:22 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Rensselaer | 68 min |
| May 31, 5:25 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Greene | 50 min |
| May 31, 6:04 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Ulster | 56 min |
| May 31, 6:34 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Dutchess | 56 min |
| May 31, 6:59 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | ALY | Dutchess | 31 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in New York, 2002Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2002
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.