Alert archive / Arizona / Flash Flood Warnings in 2001

Flash Flood Warning 5, NWS Tucson, AZ

July 5, 2001Cochise County, Arizona

NWS Tucson, AZ issued this flash flood warning at Jul 5, 2001, 1:55 PM MST for Cochise County, Arizona. It was in force for 35 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline the Iowa Environmental Mesonet reconstructed for it; the warning itself named whole counties.

The facts

Issued
Jul 5, 2001, 1:55 PM MST (20:55 UTC)
Expired
Jul 5, 2001, 2:30 PM MST
In force
35 min
Issued by
NWS Tucson, AZ
Area
Whole counties; the outline is the Mesonet’s reconstruction

County Cochise County, AZ

The nearest sounding before it

Tuscon, AZ (KTUS), launched 12:00Z, 8.9 hours before the alert went out and 75 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Tuscon, AZ at 12:00Z on 2001-07-05Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1608 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Tuscon, AZ at 12:00Z on 2001-07-05The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 40 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1608 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-105 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1266 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
27 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
40 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
166 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.4
Supercell composite
1.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WGUS55 KTWC 052057
FFWTWC
AZC003-052230-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
155 PM MST THU JUL 5 2001

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TUCSON HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  WEST CENTRAL COCHISE COUNTY IN ARIZONA

* UNTIL 330 PM MST

* AT 145 PM MST...WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED VERY HEAVY
   RAIN 9 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BENSON NEAR ST. DAVID...OR ABOUT 22
   MILES NORTH OF SIERRA VISTA...MOVING WEST AT 10 MPH.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. VEHICLES CAUGHT IN RISING WATER SHOULD BE ABANDONED QUICKLY.
MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN
DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY AUTOMOBILE.

LAT...LON 3207 11011 3169 11008 3169 11043 3207| 11043

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tucson, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Jul 5, 9:25 AM MST, 4 hours 30 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 5, 9:25 AM MST, 4 hours 30 minutes before
SOUTHEAST ARIZONA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
925 AM MST THU JUL 5 2001

SYNOPSIS...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND. HIGH PRESSURE TO OUR
NORTH AND NORTHEAST WILL GUIDE DEEPER MOISTURE INTO SOUTHEAST
ARIZONA...WITH THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE AND THE THREAT OF HEAVY RAIN
INCREASING.

DISCUSSION...TSTMS CONTINUE ALONG MEX BORDER IN SOUTHWEST AZ DUE
TO TROF ON THE BAJA AND LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE. SHOULD SEE TSTMS
DECREASE NEXT HOUR OR SO AND SHIFT OFF TO THE NORTHWEST. MOISTURE
CONTINUES TO DEEPEN OVER THE AREA AS HIGH SHIFTS SLOWLY EAST. BY
LATER AFTERNOON WITH HEATING AND GOOD MOISTURE PROFILE ALONG WITH
STRONG UPPER DIVERGENCE SHOULD SEE MORE WIDESPREAD TSTMS. ALSO
MID/UPPER LEVEL WINDS ARE VEERING AND WEAKENING DURING THE DAY AND
TSTMS WILL BE SLOWER AND HEAVIER RAIN PRODUCERS. MODIFIED TUS
SOUNDING SHOWS VERY UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE THIS AFTN. LOOK FOR AN
ACTIVE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING THRU THE ENTIRE AREA BUT BEST
TSTMS SHOULD BE FROM WESTERN COCHISE CTY TO THE WESTERN END OF THE
STATE IN BEST MOISTURE AND UPPER DIVERGENCE.

.TWC...NONE.

m

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 5, 12:09 PM MST, 1 hour 46 minutes before
AZZ019-029>035-050700-

SOUTHEAST ARIZONA HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
1205 AM MST THU JUL 5 2001

.SYNOPSIS... A MOISTURE INFLUX FROM THE SOUTH IS HELPING INITIATE THE
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ACROSS THE COUNTY WARNING AREA. WITH SLOWER
WINDS ALOFT THE POTENTIAL FOR TRAINING OF STORMS AND FLASH FLOODING
HAS INCREASED.

.DISCUSSION...LOW LEVEL MOISTURE SURGED INTO THE AREA WITH THE 12Z
TUS SOUNDING HAVING PWAT VALUE OF 1.47. THUNDERSTORMS HAVE ALREADY
ERUPTED ACROSS WEST CENTRAL PIMA COUNTY THROUGH WESTERN COCHISE
COUNTY. TRAINING OF THESE STORMS IS LIKELY WITH THE SLOWER WINDS
ALOFT.  FLASH FLOOD THREAT WILL BE HIGHEST FROM EASTERN- PIMA COUNTY
TO CENTRAL COCHISE COUNTY. THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL ALSO BE
HIGH IN THIS SAME LOCATION.

STORM MOTION WILL BE TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST AT 15 MPH.
Local storm report, Jul 5, 1:12 PM MST, 43 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON ARIZONA
0112 PM MST THU JUL 5 2001

TIME (MST) .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

1250 PM    TUCSON                    AZ   70 MPH TSTM GUST
07/05/01   PIMA                           REPORTED AT PRINCE AND ROMERO USING
                                          HAND HELD ANEMOMETER

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tucson, AZ issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 5, 9:55 AM MSTFlash Flood WarningTWCPima20 min
Jul 5, 11:18 AM MSTFlash Flood WarningTWCPima12 min
Jul 5, 11:45 AM MSTFlash Flood WarningTWCPima30 min
Jul 5, 12:10 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTWCPima35 min
Jul 5, 12:35 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningTWCPima
Jul 5, 1:55 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTWCPinal65 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Arizona, 2001Every flash flood warning in 2001

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.