Alert archive / Arizona / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2001

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 33, NWS Phoenix, AZ

August 14, 2001Maricopa County, Arizona

NWS Phoenix, AZ issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Aug 14, 2001, 4:59 PM MST for Maricopa County, Arizona. It was in force for 46 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline the Iowa Environmental Mesonet reconstructed for it; the warning itself named whole counties.

The facts

Issued
Aug 14, 2001, 4:59 PM MST (23:59 UTC)
Expired
Aug 14, 2001, 5:45 PM MST
In force
46 min
Issued by
NWS Phoenix, AZ
Area
Whole counties; the outline is the Mesonet’s reconstruction

County Maricopa County, AZ

The radar

The Phoenix radar (KIWA), 97 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:02 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Phoenix, AZ (KPSR), launched 12:00Z, 12.0 hours before the alert went out and 72 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Phoenix, AZ at 12:00Z on 2001-08-14Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 486 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Phoenix, AZ at 12:00Z on 2001-08-14The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 0 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
486 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-154 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1726 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
0 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
0 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
0 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

010 
WUUS55 KPSR 150000
SVRPHX
AZC013-150045-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
459 PM MST TUE AUG 14 2001

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PHOENIX HAS CONTINUE A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST MARICOPA COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL ARIZONA...
  INCLUDING PARTS OF THE PHOENIX SOUTHWEST VALLEY.

* UNTIL 545 PM MST

* AT 446 PM MST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN THE BUCKEYE...ARLINGTON...GOODYEAR...
  AND LITCHFIELD PARK AREAS...MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 10 MPH TOWARD
  GILA BEND.  

DAMAGING MICROBURST WINDS ARE LIKELY WITH THIS STORM. VERY HEAVY RAIN
IS ALSO POSSIBLE. TAKE COVER IN A SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER UNTIL THE STORM
PASSES.

IF YOU ARE CAUGHT OUTSIDE...SEEK SHELTER FROM THE WEATHER IN A STRONG
BUILDING. DAMAGING WIND...LARGE HAIL...VERY HEAVY RAIN...AND DEADLY
LIGHTNING ARE ALL POSSIBLE IN SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. STAY INSIDE AWAY
FROM WINDOWS UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.

REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY. THEY
WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST
OFFICE IN PHOENIX.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM MST
TUESDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHWESTERN ARIZONA.

LAT...LON 3292 11294 3294 11239 3372 11240 3373 11289

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Phoenix, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Aug 14, 4:05 PM MST, 54 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 14, 4:05 PM MST, 54 minutes before
AZZ020>028-CAZ030>033-150545-

SOUTHWEST ARIZONA/SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
405 PM MST TUE AUG 14 2001

.SYNOPSIS...
ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED THIS
EVENING...OVER SOUTH-CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ARIZONA. MEANWHILE...
DRIER AND MORE STABLE AIR OVER SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA WILL LIMIT
EVENING STORMS TO THE LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY. . UPPER LEVEL
HIGH PRESSURE PUSHING IN FROM THE WEST WILL LEAD TO HIGHER DAYTIME
TEMPERATURES BUT LESS HUMIDITY. DRIER AIR EXPECTED TO INFILTRATE
MOST OF ARIZONA BY THURSDAY...FOR DECREASING CHANCES OF DAILY
THUNDERSTORMS. BY EARLY NEXT WEEK...THE HIGH WILL SHIFT TOWARD THE
EAST AND WILL ALLOW MOISTURE AND THUNDERSTORMS TO RETURN TO THE
FORECAST AREA.

.DISCUSSION...
ACTIVE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHAPING UP FOR THE ARIZONA PORTION
OF THE CWA TODAY. SO FAR...VERY STRONG-LOOKING STORMS SEEM TO BE
STRUGGLING TO PRODUCE SEVERE CRITERIA. BUT WITH ABUNDANT MOISTURE
AND STRONGER THAN NORMAL NORTHEASTERLY STEERING FLOW...EXPECT TO SEE
STORMS PRIMARILY IN ZONES 21...22...23...AND 24 DURING THE NEXT
SEVERAL HOURS. SPC WILL BE ISSUING A WATCH BOX FROM THE LOWER
COLORADO RIVER VALLEY WESTWARD TO WESTERN MARICOPA COUNTY. PHOENIX
METRO LEFT OUT OF WATCH DUE TO TIMING SINCE STORMS ARE ALREADY HERE
AND WILL END SOONER.

ON WEDNESDAY...STEERING FLOW REMAINS NORTHEASTERLY...BUT MOISTURE IS
ADVERTISED TO RETREAT SOUTHEASTWARD. HOWEVER...THERE SHOULD BE
ENOUGH MOISTURE AROUND TO GET STORMS OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN WHICH
CAN THEN PROPAGATE INTO THE LOWER ELEVATIONS OF SOUTH-CENTRAL
ARIZONA. BELIEVE AVN TOO QUICK WITH DRYING AND HAS SHOWN A BIAS IN
THAT REGARD. BY THURSDAY...DRYING SHOULD LEAD TO A LOW GRADE MONSOON
DAY. WITH THE DRYING WILL COME HIGHER TEMPERATURES.

IN THE EXTENDED...12Z AVN SHOWS MORE OF A SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW
INFLUENCING OUR CWA THAN 00Z MRF. THUS PUSHED BACK RETURN OF STORM
CHANCE FOR MANY OF THE ZONES. ECMWF SUPPORTS THIS AS WELL.

JAMISON

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Aug 14, 12:45 PM MST, 4 hours 14 minutes before
AZZ020>028-150200-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
1245 PM MST TUE AUG 14 2001

...HAZARDOUS WEATHER POSSIBLE OVER SOUTH-CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
ARIZONA THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

COUNTIES IN THE RISK AREA INCLUDE:
     IN ARIZONA...MARICOPA...NORTHWEST PINAL...SOUTHERN GILA...LA
PAZ AND YUMA.

THE PRIMARY HAZARDOUS WEATHER RISKS INCLUDE:
     LOCALIZED VERY HEAVY RAIN...AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS.

STORM SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NECESSARY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT.

JAMISON
Special weather statement, Aug 14, 12:45 PM MST, 4 hours 14 minutes before
AZZ020>028-150200-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
1245 PM MST TUE AUG 14 2001

...HAZARDOUS WEATHER POSSIBLE OVER SOUTH-CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
ARIZONA THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

COUNTIES IN THE RISK AREA INCLUDE:
     IN ARIZONA...MARICOPA...NORTHWEST PINAL...SOUTHERN GILA...
                  LA PAZ AND YUMA.

THE PRIMARY HAZARDOUS WEATHER RISKS INCLUDE:
     LOCALIZED VERY HEAVY RAIN...AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS.

STORM SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NECESSARY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT.

JAMISON

The office that day

Everything else NWS Phoenix, AZ issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 13, 5:18 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPSRPinal42 min
Aug 13, 6:00 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPSRPinal45 min
Aug 13, 6:07 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningPSRPinal53 min
Aug 14, 2:36 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPSRMaricopa54 min
Aug 14, 3:26 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPSRMaricopa64 min
Aug 14, 3:37 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPSRLa Paz53 min
Aug 14, 4:25 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPSRMaricopa35 min
Aug 14, 4:29 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPSRGila, Pinal51 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Arizona, 2001Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2001

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.