Severe Thunderstorm Warning 255, NWS Little Rock, AR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
320 PM CDT THU JUN 14 2001

OBVIOUS FORECAST CONCERN WILL BE WITH THE 1ST AND EARLY 2ND PERIODS
AS COLD FRONT MARCHES THROUGH THE STATE FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST.
MODELS IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT ON TIMING...THOUGH ETA/NGM SEEM JUST
A BIT SLOWER. THUS...WILL HOLD ONTO POPS INTO THE DAY FRI...
ESPECIALLY OVER THE SOUTHEAST HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA.

LOOKS LIKE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL BE WIDESPREAD OVERNIGHT...WITH
BEST CHANCES BEFORE MIDNIGHT OVER THE WEST AND AFTER MIDNIGHT
FURTHER EAST INTO CENTRAL...AND EVENTUALLY EASTERN AR. MISSING SOME
UPPER LEVEL DYNAMICS...BUT MID/LOWER LEVEL PARAMETERS AND
INSTABILITY ARE VERY SUPPORTIVE OF SEVERE STORMS IN EASTERN OK THIS
EVENING. SEVERE THREAT MAY DECREASE SOMEWHAT AFTER MIDNIGHT AS
HEATING WILL BE LOST AND MOST OF THE UPPER SUPPORT BRUSHES BY TO THE
NORTH. HOWEVER...STILL THINK SVR CHANCES ARE HIGH ENOUGH OVER THE
EASTERN ZONES TO WARRANT A MENTION IN THE ZONES.

WILL HANG ON TO POPS FRIDAY MORNING SOUTHEAST HALF. MAY EVEN BE
ENOUGH RESIDUAL MOISTURE ACROSS THE FAR SOUTHEAST ZONES FRI AFTERNOON
FOR SOME REDEVELOPMENT...BUT THINK MOST OF THE FORCING WILL BE EAST
OF THE REGION BY THEN.

LOOKS HIGH AND DRY SAT-MON AS UPPER HIGH BUILDS BACK IN AND TAKES
RESIDENCE. AIR WILL BE A BIT DRIER SAT-SUN...BUT WILL HEAT UP WELL
IN THE AFTERNOON. COULD SEE SOME 30-35 DEGREE DIOURNAL TEMP CHANGES
OVER THE WEEKEND. WILL STAY CLOSE TO THE AVN/NGM MOS TEMPS.

(45)

.LIT...NONE

ARZ003>006-012-021-030-037-040-041-052-150500-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1101 PM CDT THU JUN 14 2001

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 431 WHICH WAS ISSUED EARLIER THIS
EVENING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN
NORTHERN AND WESTERN ARKANSAS...

...FULTON...BAXTER...MARION...BOONE...NEWTON...JOHNSON...LOGAN...
SCOTT...POLK...MONTGOMERY...AND PIKE.

AT 1100 PM CDT...A LINE OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDED
FROM HARDY TO MOUNTAIN VIEW TO RUSSELLVILLE TO HOPE. THE STORMS ARE
MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 431 REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES UNTIL 100 AM CDT...

...YELL...PERRY...CONWAY...GARLAND...POPE...SEARCY...CLEBURNE...VAN
BUREN...STONE...AND IZARD.

22

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1106 PM CDT THU JUN 14 2001

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0905 PM    COVE                      AR   WIND DAMAGE
06/14/01   POLK                           TREES AND POWER LINES
                                          DOWN. REPORTED BY LAW
                                          ENFORCEMENT.

0905 PM    MENA                      AR   WIND DAMAGE
06/14/01   POLK                           TREES AND POWER LINES
                                          DOWN. REPORTED BY LAW
                                          ENFORCEMENT.

0947 PM    BOONEVILLE                AR   WIND DAMAGE
06/14/01   LOGAN                          TREES DOWN. REPORTED BY
                                          HAM RADIO OPERATOR.

0950 PM    3 NE COAL HILL            AR   WIND DAMAGE
06/14/01   JOHNSON                        TREES AND POWER LINES
                                          DOWN. PLYWOOD FLYING
                                          THROUGH THE AIR.
                                          REPORTED BY LAW
       n                                   ENFORCEMENT.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1145 PM CDT THU JUN 14 2001

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

1035 PM    OKOLONA                   AR   WIND DAMAGE
06/14/01   CLARK                          TREES DOWN. REPORTED BY
                                          EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

1055 PM    ARKADELPHIA               AR   WIND DAMAGEb
06/14/01   CLARK                          TREES AND POWER LINES
                                          DOWN. REPORTED BY
                                          EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

ARZ013-022-038-042-150530-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1148 PM CDT THU JUN 14 2001

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 431 WHICH WAS ISSUED EARLIER THIS
EVENING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN
NORTHERN AND WESTERN ARKANSAS...

...SEARCY...POPE...YELL...AND GARLAND.

AT 1145 PM CDT...A LINE OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDED
FROM MELBOURNE TO CLINTON TO PERRYVILLE TO CAMDEN. THE STORMS ARE
MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 431 REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES UNTIL 100 AM CDT...

...PERRY...CONWAY...CLEBURNE...VAN BUREN...STONE...AND IZARD.

22

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1209 AM CDT FRI JUN 15 2001

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

1125 PM    MORRILTON                 AR   .88 INCH HAIL
06/14/01   CONWAY                         REPORTED BY LAW
                                          ENFORCEMENT.

1138 PM    HOT SPGS                  AR   WIND DAMAGE
06/14/01   GARLAND                        TREES AND POWER LINES
                                          DOWN. REPORTED BY LAW
                                          ENFORCEMENT.

1145 PM    2 N BENTON                AR   WIND DAMAGE
06/14/01   SALINE                         TREES DOWN. REPORTED BY
                                          HAM RADIO OPERATOR.

1147 PM    BENTON                    AR   70 MPH TSTM GUST
06/14/01   SALINE                         REPORTED BY HAM RADIO
                                          OPERATOR.

1150 PM    CONWAY                    AR   60 MPH TSTM GUST
06/14/01   FAULKNER                       REPORTED BY HAM RADIO
                                          OPERATOR.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1219 AM CDT FRI JUN 15 2001

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

1205 AM    COLLEGEVILLE              AR   60 MPH TSTM GUST
06/15/01   SALINE                         REPORTED BY HAM RADIO
                                          OPERATOR.

1210 AM    JACKSONVILLE              AR   .88 INCH HAIL
06/15/01   PULASKI                        REPORTED BY PUBLIC.