Flash Flood Warning 55, NWS Little Rock, AR

000 
WGUS74 KLZK 162248
FFSLIT
ARC071-083-097-101-113-115-127-129-149-170000-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
445 PM CST SUN DEC 16 2001

FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM CST FOR THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN WESTERN ARKANSAS...

JOHNSON...LOGAN...MONTGOMERY...NEWTON...POLK...POPE...SCOTT...
SEARCY...AND YELL.

AT 440 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
THAT SHOWER INTENSITY HAD INCREASED IN WESTERN ARKANSAS...WITH
THUNDERSHOWERS BECOMING MORE NUMEROUS. RAINFALL RATES WERE PICKING
UP...WITH HEAVY DOWNPOURS ON AN ALREADY SATURATED GROUND.

FLASH FLOODING WAS ALREADY BEING REPORTED IN WESTERN SECTIONS OF
THE STATE...WITH SEVERAL COUNTY ROADS UNDER WATER. INDICATIONS
ARE THAT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSHOWERS WILL CONTINUE DEVELOPING FROM
MENA NORTHEASTWARD TO CLARKSVILLE AND MARSHALL.

PEOPLE IN WESTERN ARKANSAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT FOR FLOODING OF LOW
LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS AND DO NOT DRIVE ON FLOODED ROADWAYS.
BE CAREFUL AS NIGHT FALLS WHEN HIGH WATER IS MORE DIFFICULT
TO SEE...ESPECIALLY NEAR LOW WATER CROSSINGS.

$$

46

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1220 PM CST SUN DEC 16 2001

HEAVY RAIN OVERNIGHT IN NORTHERN/WESTERN ARKANSAS...WITH ONE TO
THREE INCHES COMMON...AND LOCALLY THREE TO FIVE INCHES. HEAVY RAIN
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON...WITH FLASH FLOODING LIKELY.

FARTHER SOUTHEAST...NOT AS MUCH RAIN OVERNIGHT...BUT PRECIPITATION
EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD THIS AFTERNOON. STORM SYSTEM IN
TEXAS WILL MOVE INTO THE STATE...AND WILL DRAG A COLD FRONT INTO THE
SOUTHEAST. SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING ALONG THE FRONT...WITH
SOME STORMS POSSIBLY SEVERE. DOWNPOURS WILL FALL ON AN ALREADY
SATURATED GROUND DUE TO RECENT HEAVY RAIN EVENTS...WITH FLASH
FLOODING POSSIBLE.

STORM SYSTEM WILL NOT ARRIVE UNTIL AT LEAST THIS EVENING...SO
EXTENDED FLASH FLOOD WATCH INTO TONIGHT. POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS
SITUATION CONSIDERING HOW WIDESPREAD FLOODING COULD BECOME.

ALSO...RIVER FLOODING ONGOING/EXPECTED TO OCCUR. THIS WILL SLOW DOWN
THE DRAINAGE PROCESS...WITH FUTURE RAIN HAVING NOWHERE TO GO. THIS
WILL INCREASE FLASH FLOOD THREAT. (46)

.LIT...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH TONIGHT FOR ALL OF LITTLE ROCK
       COUNTY WARNING AREA...
       ARZONES 3>7-12>16-21>25-30>34-37>47-52>57-62>69

ARZ047-055>057-062>069-170100-

SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
300 PM CST SUN DEC 16 2001

...SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING...

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING OVER
PARTS OF SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS. THE RISK AREA IS GENERALLY ALONG AND
SOUTH OF A LINE FROM ARKADELPHIA...TO PINE BLUFF TO MONROE.

LATE THIS MORNING...A WARM FRONT WAS LOCATED OVER EASTERN TEXAS
AND CENTRAL LOUISIANA. THE BOUNDARY IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWARD
LATER TODAY INTO ARKANSAS AS LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS OVER TEXAS. WARMER
AND MORE UNSTABLE AIR WILL PUSH INTO THE STATE SOUTH OF THE WARM
FRONT.

MEANWHILE...THE DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO
WESTERN ARKANSAS EARLY TONIGHT AND THEN LIFT QUICKLY NORTHEASTWARD
OVERNIGHT. A COLD FRONT TRAILING SOUTHWARD FROM THE LOW WILL THEN
SWEEP THROUGH ARKANSAS TONIGHT.

AS THE COLD FRONT PUSHES INTO THE WARM AND UNSTABLE AIR...A LINE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE FRONT
LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME OF
THE STORMS TO REACH SEVERE LEVELS...WITH THE PRIMARY THREAT BEING
DAMAGING WINDS. HOWEVER...AN ISOLATED TORNADO OR TWO CANNOT BE
RULED OUT.

PERSONS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF THE STATE SHOULD CONTINUE TO
MONITOR WEATHER CONDITIONS CLOSELY THROUGHOUT THE DAY AND THIS
EVENING. STORM SPOTTERS...AMATEUR RADIO OPERATORS...AND EMERGENCY
MANAGERS COULD BE ACTIVATED THIS EVENING IF SEVERE WEATHER
MATERIALIZES.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL TELEVISION OR RADIO
STATIONS...OR YOUR CABLE TELEVISION PROVIDER FOR UPDATED INFORMATION
FROM YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE REGARDING THE SEVERE WEATHER
THREAT.

&&

38