Severe Thunderstorm Warning 71, NWS Jackson, MS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1005 PM CST SAT FEB 24 2001

CELL INTENSITIES SLOWLY COMING DOWN AS MAIN SUPERCELL SUPPORT
PULLING NWD OUT OF THE REGION. LAPS CAPES(<1500)/HELICITIES(<200)
DROPPING OFF BUT A LINE OF CONVECTION FROM NW MS INTO SW LA STARTING
TO STALL OUT AND SHOULD PRODUCE SOME HEAVY RAINS OVERNIGHT. LATEST
ETA/MESOETA HOLDING LINE UP MORE THAN PREVIOUS RUNS SO HAVE BOOSTED
OVERNIGHT LOWS TO ACCOUNT FOR SLOWING LINE AND KEPT WIND ADVISORY UP
FOR REST OF THE NIGHT.

LOOK FOR LINE TO REACH ABOUT A KCBM-KMCB LINE ABOUT 15Z SUNDAY MORNING
AND STALLING EVEN MORE OVER SERN MS BY SUNDAY NIGHT. A SOAKER OF A
COMING WEEEK GETTING MORE AND MORE LIKELY.

JAN 61/70/45/64 8-24
MEI 63/72/45/65 9224

.JAN...
MS...WIND ADVISORY FOR AREA LAKES OVERNIGHT.
LA...WIND ADVISORY FOR AREA LAKES OVERNIGHT.
AR...WIND ADVISORY FOR AREA LAKES OVERNIGHT.

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>066-072>
074-261000-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTION TO SVR WX OUTLINE AREA...
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
645 PM CST SAT FEB 24 2001

...THUNDERSTORMS...
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT OVER SOUTHEAST
ARKANSAS...NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND MUCH OF MISSISSIPPI. THE HIGHEST
THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE THIS EVENING...GENERALLY
NORTHWEST OF A TALLULAH LA...TO ROLLING FORK...TO GREENWOOD MS LINE.

DURING THE EVENING HOURS...THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL BE
POSSIBLE TORNADOES...OVER THE AREA GENERALLY ALONG AND WEST OF
INTERSTATE 55. LARGE HAIL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE IN THIS AREA.
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BEGIN TO EVOLVE INTO A SQUALL LINE LATER TONIGHT.
THE SQUALL LINE WILL SWEEP EASTWARD AND REACH EASTERN COUNTIES AFTER
MIDNIGHT. THE PRIMARY SEVERE THREAT WITH THE SQUALL LINE WILL BE
DAMAGING WINDS.

PERSONS SHOULD BE PREPARED AND STAY ALERT FOR RAPIDLY CHANGING
WEATHER CONDITIONS.

...FLOODING...
HEAVY RAIN IS LIKELY WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE SQUALL LINE THIS EVENING
AND TONIGHT. AROUND ONE INCH OF RAIN IS EXPECTED IN ONE TO TWO
HOURS...WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE...WHICH WOULD RESULT IN
PONDING OF WATER IN LOW LYING AND POORLY DRAINED AREAS. THE HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL ONLY LAST FOR ONE OR TWO HOURS...SO WIDESPREAD FLOODING
IS NOT EXPECTED.

...WIND...
SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH...WITH A FEW GUSTS UP TO 40
MPH...WILL AFFECT SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND MUCH
OF MISSISSIPPI THROUGH THIS EVENING. THE WINDS WILL BECOME
SOUTHWESTERLY AND DIMINISH AFTER THE PASSAGE OF THE SQUALL LINE.

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN. THIS INCLUDES THE GRAPHICAL HAZARDOUS WEATHER
OUTLOOK.

JANWRKLSR 000
TTAA00 KJAN DDHHMM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
924 PM CST SAT FEB 24 2001

TIME(CST)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....PARISH/COUNTY LOCATION....

0650 PM    BELLAIRE                  AR   .75 INCH HAIL
02/24/01   CHICOT                         REPORTED BY EOC

0735 PM    1 W CLEVELAND             MS   WIND DAMAGE
02/24/01   BOLIVAR                        FARM SHOPS
                                          LEVELED....REPORTED BY EOC

0730 PM    BENOIT                    MS   WIND DAMAGE
02/24/01   BOLIVAR                        ROOF BLOWN OFF
                                          CHURCH..REPORTED BY EOC

0725 PM    LAMONT                    MS   WIND DAMAGE
02/24/01   BOLIVAR                        TRAILER HOUSE BLOWN
                                          OVER...REPORTED BY BOLIVAR
                                          EOC

0740 PM    PARCHMAN                  MS   1.75 INCH HAIL
02/24/01   SUNFLOWER                      REPORTED BY EOC

0845 PM    GREENWOOD                 MS   .88 INCH HAIL
02/24/01   LEFLORE                        REPORTED BY GREENWOOD
                                          CIVIL DEFENSE

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>066-072>
074-261000-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
955 PM CST SAT FEB 24 2001

...THUNDERSTORMS...
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT OVER NORTH CENTRAL
AND EAST CENTRAL PORTIONS OF MISSISSIPPI. THE LARGEST THREAT FOR
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL GENERALLY BE EAST OF A EUPORA TO CARTHAGE
LINE...AND NORTH OF A CARTHAGE TO DEKALB LINE. NON-SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
ARE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND
SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI.

THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL GRADUALLY TRANSITION FROM A
TORNADO AND LARGE HAIL THREAT...TO A DAMAGING WIND THREAT...AS THE
MAIN STORM COMPLEX SHIFTS EASTWARD ACROSS MISSISSIPPI. THE INTENSE
STORM SYSTEM RESPONSIBLE FOR THE SEVERE WEATHER IS PUSHING NORTHEAST
AWAY FROM THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY REGION. EXPECT THE THREAT FOR
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TO DIMINISH TOWARDS MORNING...AS THE STORM
SYSTEM MOVES AWAY.

...FLOODING...
LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN IS LIKLEY WITH ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP OVERNIGHT.
DEEP SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL ALLOW STORMS TO MOVE REPEATEDLY OVER THE
SAME AREAS CAUSING PONDING OF WATER IN LOW LYING AND POORLY DRAINED
AREAS.

...NON PRECIPITATION...
SOUTH WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH...WITH A FEW HIGHER GUSTS...WILL AFFECT
SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND MUCH OF MISSISSIPPI
THROUGH THIS EVENING. THE WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTHWESTERLY AND
DIMINISH TOWARDS MORNING.

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN. THIS INCLUDES THE GRAPHICAL HAZARDOUS WEATHER
OUTLOOK.