Severe Thunderstorm Warning 410, NWS Jackson, MS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1200 PM CDT MON JUN 4 2001

UPDATED FORECAST TO RAISE POPS IN ALL AREAS. 88D HAS SHOWN INCREASING
COVERAGE FOR THE LAST HOURS. EVERYTHING BELSE LOOKS TO BE ON TRACK
AND WILL NOT CHANGE CLOUDINESS OR TEMPS.

.JAN...
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.

32

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>066-072>074-
051200-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1101 AM CDT MON JUN 04 2001

...THUNDERSTORMS...
WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED
ACROSS EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND IN
MUCH OF MISSISSIPPI THROUGH TONIGHT. THE BEST COVERAGE OF
THUNDERSTORMS WILL GENERALLY BE SOUTH OF A BASTROP...LOUISIANA
TO JACKSON TO MERIDIAN LINE. ALTHOUGH AN ISOLATED STRONG
THUNDERSTORM IS POSSIBLE DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS...SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED.

THE AIRMASS IN PLACE ACROSS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY CONTINUES
TO BE WARM AND UNSTABLE AS LOW LEVEL SOUTHERLY FLOW PUSHES HUMID
GULF AIR INTO THE REGION.  AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS
SHOULD PROVIDE RAINFALL TO MANY LOCATIONS IN THE REGION...
ESPECIALLY IN NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND CENTRAL AND SOUTH
MISSISSIPPI. THE AFTERNOON ACTIVITY IN SOUTH MISSISSIPPI SHOULD BE
ENHANCED BY THE SEA BREEZE WHICH SHOULD MOVE MANY MILES INLAND IN
THE SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL WIND FLOW.

THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY MAY PRODUCE FREQUENT LIGHTNING...HEAVY
RAIN...AND SMALL HAIL. HOWEVER...THE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
STAY BELOW SEVERE LIMITS.

...NON PRECIPITATION...
BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL EXIST OVER MUCH OF CENTRAL AND SOUTH
MISSISSIPPI...EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS AND PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST
LOUISIANA. WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED OVER AREAS MAINLY
SOUTH AND WEST OF A LINE FROM GREENWOOD TO JACKSON TO LAUREL.
BOATERS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION ON AREA LAKES AS GUSTY SOUTHWEST
WINDS CAN MAKE WATERS CHOPPY.

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN. THIS INCLUDES THE GRAPHICAL HAZARDOUS WEATHER
OUTLOOK.

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>066-072>074-
051200-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
204 PM CDT MON JUN 04 2001

...THUNDERSTORMS...
ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS ARE
EXPECTED ALONG AND NORTH OF A RAYVILLE AND TALLULAH LOUSIANA, TO
MENDENHALL, TO RALEIGH, TO QUITMAN MISSISSIPPI LINE INCLUDING THE
CITIES OF BASTROP LOUISIANA, CROSSET ARKANSAS, VICKSBURG, JACKSON,
MERIDIAN, PHILADELPHIA, GREENWOOD, GREENVILLE, GRENADA, STARKVILLE,
AND COLUMBUS MISSISSIPPI.

ACTIVIATION OF STORMS SPOTTERS WILL BE NEEDED ACROSS THIS REGION
THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING HOURS.

A BOUNDARY WILL CONTINUE MOVING NORTH THROUGH NORTHEAST LOUISIANA,
EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS, AND CENTRAL AND NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI
THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING HOURS. BEST CONCENTRATION OF
THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR IMMEDIATELY ALONG AND NORTH OF THIS
BOUNDARY WHERE ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ALONG WITH VERY HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL OCCUR DUE TO VERY HIGH INSTABILITY IN THE AREA.

...FLOODING...
LOCALLY HEAVY TO TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AND NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI AS WELL AS NORTHEAST LOUISIANA
INTO SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING HOURS AS A SLOW...
NORTHWARD MOVING BOUNDARY MOVES NORTHWARD. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF
1-2 INCHES WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF 3 INCHES IS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE
GREEN-SHADED AREAS WHICH CAN CAUSE MINOR FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS
...SMALL CREEKS AND RAVINES AND STREETS.

REMEMBER...NEVER DRIVE THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.

...NON PRECIPITATION...
BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL EXIST OVER MUCH OF WESTERN AND SOUTHERN
MISSISSIPPI INTO PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST LOUISIANA INTO EXTREME
SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS. WINDS WILL BE ESPECIALLY GUSTY AND STRONG IN
AND NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  BOATERS AND RECREATIONISTS ON AREA LAKES
SHOULD BE AWARE OF CURRENT WEATHER CONDITIONS. WINDS MAY BECOME
VERY GUSTY IN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME...ESPECIALLY IN AND NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS. OTHERWISE...OUTSIDE OF THUNDERSTORMS...WINDS WILL BE
10 TO 20 MPH AND GUSTY IN THE SHADED AREA.

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN. THIS INCLUDES THE GRAPHICAL HAZARDOUS WEATHER
OUTLOOK.